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IOWA DAILY REPORT

Holding the Democrats accountable today, tomorrow...forever.

Our Mission: to hold the Democrat presidential candidates accountable for their comments and allegations against President George W. Bush, to make citizens aware of false statements or claims by the Democrat candidates, and to defend the Bush Administration and set the record straight when the Democrats make false or misleading statements about the Bush-Republican record.

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PAGE 1                                                                                                                           Sunday, Aug. 3, 2003


Quotable:  “It seems like a very odd political strategy to attack the Catholic Church but Howard Dean is forcing Sen. Kerry to take a number of odd positions on a number of odd issues.” – RNC spokeswoman Christine Iverson, commenting on Kerry’s criticism of the Vatican


Quotable:  “There's an expectation that I'm going to be in lock step with the administration, and that tends to happen. But from time to time I have to disagree, and this is one of them.”Jeb Bush, disagreeing with administration’s decision to send 12 back to Cuban prison


Quotable:  “Federal money, the senator said, should be spent on better things than tax cuts.” Excerpt from The Union Leader coverage of Lieberman visit to New Hampshire


Quotable:  "I'm recognizing unless we get the private sector out of health care, we will never have health care for everybody in this country."Kucinich, one of five wannabes at San Francisco health care forum


Quotable:  “If Al Gore or Hillary Rodham Clinton sought the Democratic Presidential nomination, either would immediately become the front-runner in New Hampshire, according to a new poll.” John DiStaso, The Union Leader’s senior political reporter on details of NH polling


Quotable:  “People are really open to look for someone else to get into the race.”Rich Killion, director of the Franklin Pierce College poll, commenting in DiStaso’s report.  


Notable Quotable:

 From CNN transcript of Friday’s “Crossfire” with co-hosts Robert Novak and James Carville interviewing prospective – but, obviously, unprepared – wannabe Gen. Wesley Clark

NOVAK:

 OK. General Clark, how would you vote -- if you were president of the United States -- I'm sorry -- would you pass -- would you sign the partial-birth abortion bill, which is about to be passed by Congress?

CLARK:

 I don't know whether I'd sign that bill or not. I'm not into that detail on partial-birth abortion. In general, I'm pro-life -- excuse me, I'm pro-abortion rights.

CARVILLE:

 General, are you a Democrat?

CLARK:

 I've not declared that I'm a Democrat yet.


GENERAL NEWS:  Among the offerings in today's update:

  • NEW IOWA POLL -- Dean moves into slim lead over Gephardt – 23%-21% -- with Kerry (14%), Lieberman (10%) still viable in Iowa Poll on front page of Des Moines Sunday Register. One in five remain undecided

  • After battling with Dean and attacking GWB throughout the campaign, Kerry tackles another target – the Pope. Catholic wannabe says Pope John Paul II has “crossed the line” and tells Vatican to stay out of American politics

  • While GWB vacations in Texas, unpredictable Dean launches anti-Bush TV spot in Austin – beginning tomorrow

  • SC poll reveals interesting developments – Lieberman has slim lead, Sharpton tied with Gephardt, Edwards’ Southern strength nearly invisible

  • Miami Herald report: Jeb Bush “took the unusual step” of criticizing his brother’s administration on Cuban repatriation issue. Jeb said decision to send 12 boaters to Cuba “just not right.”

  • Concord Monitor staffer unearths Edwards’ “three strikes” tort reform initiative to discourage frivolous malpractice suits

  • In Iowa, Graham continues beating the Iraq intel drum, wants at least one head to roll & blasts Bush tax cuts

  • New Hampshire poll analysis shows Gore and/or Hillary would become immediate Dem favorites, NH voters open to another – presumable better wannabe – in the nominating derby

  • Hillary blasts Supreme Court – says recent rulings do not make up for other “legally dubious” decisions such as the Bush v. Gore outcome

  • In New Hampshire, Lieberman blames Bush for job losses

  • The Great New England Sparkler Dispute continues: Dean – apparently feeling some political heat – moves to snuff out criticism from his home state firefighters

  • Protecting his options? Edwards’s surrogates – claiming to be drumming up support for his prez run – to hold NC town-hall meetings

  • Weekend report: Probe suggests 9/11 hijackers linked to Saudi government

  • “I think I am the Democratic candidate to make [a Sun Belt] breakthrough” – Graham contending he can beat Bush, but conceding it is “unlikely that we will win” in IA or NH

  • Follow the Leader – or the Wannabe? First it was Edwards who hadn’t paid his property taxes and now Kerry misses tax payment on one of five homes

  • Kucinich, Moseley Braun advocate “throwing out” private health insurance system

  • Iowaism: Grassley’s Ambassadors Tour to attract representatives from at least 62 countries to Iowa

All these stories below and more.


More weekend coverage tomorrow: Due to the extensive political news during the weekend – not to mention a series of events today – Iowa Pres Watch will carry additional weekend coverage in Monday’s Daily Report.


CANDIDATES & CAUCUSES

People-powered Howard Dean moves into lead over Gephardt. Kerry and Lieberman only other wannabes in double digits. Edwards at 5% with Kucinich at 4% -- and Graham, Moseley Braun and Sharpton all at 1%. Excerpt from coverage of the copyrighted poll in this morning’s Sunday Register by Jonathan Roos: “Former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean narrowly leads U.S. Rep. Dick Gephardt as the Democratic presidential frontrunner in a new Des Moines Register poll of Iowans likely to participate in the Democratic caucuses. The Iowa Poll shows Dean, who has emerged nationally as a major contender for the Democratic nomination, is the first choice of 23 percent of those who say they definitely or probably will attend the January precinct caucuses, which kick off the nominating season for the nation. ‘I like his stand on the war in Iraq,’ said poll respondent Wendy Parker, 39, an assistant principal from Newton. ‘He's thoughtful and willing to take risks, willing to speak out for what he thinks is right.’ Gephardt, a Missouri congressman who won the Iowa caucuses in 1988 but went on to lose the Democratic nomination to Michael Dukakis, is favored by 21 percent in the poll. Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry was third with 14 percent. Although the race for the Democratic nomination is a long way from the finish line, Dean's vote-getting power in Iowa and his strong poll numbers in other key states show he has created momentum during the summer. He has helped himself in Iowa by spending more time campaigning in the state than any other candidate so far. Candidates generally aim to finish third or better in Iowa to strengthen their bids in New Hampshire and other states with early primaries. The bar is set high for Gephardt because of his 1988 victory and familiarity to Iowans. Gephardt is Parker's second choice. ‘He's got experience and has certainly gone down this road before,’ she said. ‘I don't think that he's a risk-taker. He's probably more willing to say what people want to hear.’ The only other candidate in double digits in the nine-member field is Joe Lieberman. The Connecticut senator and running mate of Al Gore in 2000 garners the support of 10 percent of likely caucus participants. Those further back in the pack are U.S. Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina at 5 percent and U.S. Rep. Dennis Kucinich of Ohio at 4 percent. The poll shows Edwards has failed to get much traction in Iowa so far despite making a concerted campaign effort. He built up good will with the Iowa Democratic Party last year by visiting four times and by contributing significant resources to the party's 2002 election efforts. Bringing up the rear at 1 percent each are U.S. Sen Bob Graham of Florida, former U.S. Sen. Carol Moseley Braun of Illinois and the Rev. Al Sharpton of New York. The Iowa Poll, taken July 22-29, has a margin of error of 4.9 percentage points.”

No sign of Ted & Alice, but wannabes Bob & Carol weekending in Iowa. Moseley-Braun will be the guest Bush-basher this afternoon at a Harkin-sponsored forum in Waterloo. The fun begins at 2 p.m. – available live on C-SPAN…Meanwhile, Graham – wrapping up three-day northern/northwest IA swing – scheduled in Mason City and Fort Dodge after visiting the Kossuth County (Algona) Fair yesterday. Kerry in state tomorrow – visit includes an evening rally in Council Bluffs to support Dem candidate Paul Shomshor in Tuesday’s legislative special election. 

“Catholics were stunned at the broadside from Kerry, saying he's sure to draw the ire of some 65 million voting Catholics.” – sentence from the following except on Kerry’s call for the Vatican to stay out of American politics. Headline from yesterday’s Boston Herald: “Kerry raps Pope: Senator fuming over gay marriage order” Excerpt from coverage by Herald’s David R. Guarino: “Bluntly telling the Vatican to stay out of American politics, U.S. Sen. John F. Kerry yesterday said Pope John Paul II ‘crossed the line’ by instructing pols to block legalization of gay marriage. A fuming Kerry, taking on his own Catholic Church in the midst of a campaign for president, said Rome should have more respect for America's long-held separation of church and state. ‘It is important not to have the church instructing politicians. That is an inappropriate crossing of the line in this country,’ Kerry said. ‘President Kennedy drew that line very clearly in 1960 and I believe we need to stand up for that line today.’  The Democrat said political concerns are secondary to his moral outrage over Thursday's Vatican statement on gay marriage. ‘Our founding fathers separated church and state in America. It is an important separation,’ he said. ‘It is part of what makes America different and special, and we need to honor that as we go forward and I'm going to fight to do that.’ Catholics were stunned at the broadside from Kerry, saying he's sure to draw the ire of some 65 million voting Catholics. ‘What one often calls separation of church and state guarantees the religion the right to express its convictions,’ said Monsignor Francis Maniscalco of the U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops. ‘To object to religious people's deep moral convictions . . . would also create a problem because it would also (fail to) recognize something the First Amendment guarantees.’ Former Vatican Ambassador Raymond Flynn said Kerry was just wrong. ‘I don't see it as crossing any line at all,’ Flynn said. ‘Too many Catholic politicians want to have it both ways, they want the Catholic vote but then they go ahead and ignore Catholic teaching.’ The Vatican injected itself into the simmering gay marriage debate Thursday, firing off a letter issuing instructions to Catholic politicians to oppose any legalization efforts…The statement followed by a day strong comments from President Bush denouncing gay marriage proposals. Kerry, who supports civil unions but opposes the legalization of same-sex marriage, took pains to say, ‘I believe in the church’ and ‘care about it enormously’ but said church leaders went too far. Alone among Democrats in criticizing the church, Kerry said he didn't weigh the political impact of his statement. ‘This isn't a matter of political calculation, it's simply a matter of strong personal beliefs,’ Kerry said. The Democratic senator also railed against Republicans who this week said Democratic efforts to block the judicial nomination of Alabama Attorney General William H. Pryor were anti-Catholic. One group, the Ave Maria List, ran print ads equating Democrats' opposition to Pryor as saying ‘Catholics need not apply’ to the federal judiciary. ‘That couldn't be further from the truth. This judge is not a good judge,’ Kerry said. ‘He should not be appointed to the court, and many of us who are Catholic voted against him without regard to Catholicism.’  Kerry also continued his criticism of Bush's ‘faith-based’ programs, saying he would end government funding to any religious group.  The White House and Kerry's opponents declined comment.  But the Republican National Committee blamed the sudden attack on the growing popularity of Kerry opponent, former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean. ‘It seems like a very odd political strategy to attack the Catholic Church but Howard Dean is forcing Sen. Kerry to take a number of odd positions on a number of odd issues,’ said RNC spokeswoman Christine Iverson.”

Dean drills in Bush Country – TV spot (produced in Council Bluffs last week) set to begin airing tomorrow in Austin. U. S. News & World Report’s Roger Simon says the ad, taped in Iowa last Wednesday, has Dean facing the camera saying: “I want to change George Bush’s reckless foreign policy, stand up for affordable healthcare, and create new jobs…Has anybody really stood up against George Bush and his policies? Don’t you think it’s time somebody did?” Additional coverage by AP’s Nedra Pickler: “Democratic presidential candidate Howard Dean has chosen Bush country as the site for a second television advertisement that will begin broadcasting before any other candidate has gone on the air. The ad will begin airing Monday in Austin, Texas. The goal is to show that Dean won't back down from President Bush, even in the city were he served as governor before moving to the White House. The commercial will broadcast while Bush is vacationing at his ranch in western Texas and before any other presidential candidates have gone on the air. The Dean campaign revealed few details of the ad, which was announced Friday on his Web site. ‘The people of Texas know George W. Bush better than anyone,’ said the announcement. ‘Throughout this campaign, Howard Dean has been standing up to George W. Bush, and what better place to stand up against what George W. Bush has done to the economy and our nation than in Bush's home state of Texas.’ The ad is being paid for with donations raised last week in a challenge to the Bush-Cheney re-election team, the posting said. Dean raised $508,640 in mostly small donations over the Internet in a four-day push to raise more than Vice President Dick Cheney could at a private $2,000 per plate event Monday in Columbia, S.C. The ad will cost a fraction of that, well under $200,000, according to the campaign. Dean's growing support largely has been organized on the Internet. The ad will include a toll-free number so people who do not have Internet access can call to get more information about his candidacy. Austin is one of the more liberal areas in the Republican stronghold of Texas…Dean is the only candidate who is advertising on television so early in the race. His first ad ran in Iowa this summer and cost the campaign more than $300,000. ‘When we've said we're building a grassroots campaign in all 50 states, we've meant all 50 states,’ the Dean posting said. North Carolina Sen. John Edwards plans to air his first ads later this month to boost his stagnating campaign. Other candidates are waiting until closer to primary season that begins in January to launch ads.

Lieberman – ready to slug it out with any and all – takes on Bush in New Hampshire, says GWB responsible for job losses. Excerpt from report – datelined Keene – by Union Leader correspondent Stephen Seitz: “Creation of manufacturing jobs is the key to economic recover, says Sen. Joseph Lieberman. The Democratic Presidential candidate brought his ‘Jobs Tour’ through Keene in his latest campaign swing through the Granite State yesterday. He stopped to talk with employees at ES3, an arm of grocery giant C&S Wholesale Grocers. ‘America has lost 3.1 million jobs under the Bush administration, and 2.4 million of them have been in manufacturing,’ Lieberman said. ‘Neither the country nor the economy is headed in the right direction, and that’s why I’m running for President.’Lieberman said he wanted to make America prosperous again and bring integrity back into the White House. ‘President Bush’s tax cuts go to the people who don’t need them,’ Lieberman said. ‘I’m not against tax cuts, just the ones that have helped the wrong people. But what’s needed is fiscal discipline. We need to get out of debt. We need to invest in education, national security and the economy.’ Federal money, the senator said, should be spent on better things than tax cuts. ‘The fact is that if you spend $3 trillion in tax cuts, there’s no money left to invest in education. Public schools are the way up for people. Investing in education is the best investment for our economic future.’”

Edwards and Kerry discover common bond: Tax delinquencies. Kerry’s tax problem surfaces a day after the political world discovers Edwards’ haphazard record in DC and NC. Headline from Friday’s Boston Globe: “Bank error blamed for late tax payment on Kerrys’ vacation home” Excerpt from coverage by the Globe’s Glen Johnson: “A bank's lapse left more than $10,000 in property taxes owed on a vacation home overlooking Nantucket Sound shared by Senator John F. Kerry and his wife, Teresa Heinz Kerry. Mellon Financial Corp., the Pittsburgh bank that manages the trust owning the property, issued a statement yesterday saying it had failed to pay the fourth and final installment on the couple's 2003 tax assessment. That amount, $9,978.49, was due to the town's tax collector on May 2. When it went unpaid, the couple were assessed interest, leaving the Kerrys $10,326.79 in arrears…’It was our responsibility to make the payment and we are researching this matter to determine why the fourth installment was not paid in a timely way,’ said company spokesman Ron Gruendl. ''We have sent the payment in the overnight mail.’ The amount of delinquent taxes owed could be considered personally inconsequential to the couple, with Heinz Kerry as the heiress to a Heinz ketchup fortune assessed at more than $550 million. The senator is also a millionaire, according to his Senate financial disclosure form. The Nantucket home is one of five the couple share, although Heinz Kerry is considered the sole owner of all but one of them…Politically, the error could prove something of an embarrassment, coming at a time when Kerry, a candidate for the Democratic presidential nomination, is hammering President Bush over the fairness of his tax-cut policy. The news of Kerry's delinquency came the same day one of his rivals for the nomination, Senator John Edwards of North Carolina, conceded tax problems. Confirming a report in The Washington Times, the senator said he was delinquent on more than $11,000 in property taxes due on a house in Washington's Georgetown section. He also said he had been delinquent on several occasions on both property and automobile tax payments in his home state of North Carolina.

The Great New England Sparkler Dispute: Dean under fire from Vermont firefighters” – Headline from yesterday’s The Union Leader. Excerpt from report by Union Leader senior political reporter John DiStaso: “Facing criticism by the top firefighters union official in his home state, former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean agreed yesterday to clear the air in a meeting with officials of the New Hampshire firefighters union. In a letter inviting Dean to the meeting, David Lang, president of the Professional Firefighters of New Hampshire, wrote: ‘While I appreciate your willingness to protect the public from the potential dangers of sparklers, we are more interested in what you did as governor to secure adequate fire protection resources for your state, Pre and Post September 11.’ A Dean spokesman this week called the Presidential hopeful ‘a national advocate against sparklers’ in response to criticism of Dean’s record by Steven Locke, president of the Professional Fire Fighters of Vermont. As the Professional Firefighters of New Hampshire considers its key endorsement for the state’s leadoff Democratic Presidential primary, the [Union Leader’s] ‘Granite Status’ political column reported on Thursday that Locke had written to Lang warning that Dean “would not be a firefighter’s candidate for President. Locke charged that Dean did not help firefighters and public safety in general during his 10 years as governor. Locke said Dean did not include firefighter training funds in his budgets, did not attend firefighters’ legislative luncheons, did not ‘put the weight of the governor’s office behind any piece of legislation firefighters,’ and seldom allowed firefighters to speak with him personally. Dean spokesman Tricia Enright responded with a lengthy statement she said showed Dean’s ‘record of support’ for firefighters.”

In Sioux City: Graham wants somebody’s head for State of Union intel flap, criticizes Bush tax cut approach. Headline from yesterday’s Des Moines Register: “Graham: Bush should assign speech blame…’There should be some heads rolled,’ he says” Excerpt from coverage by the Register’s Lynn Okamoto: “President Bush's taking responsibility this week for incorrect information in his State of the Union speech isn't good enough, Democratic presidential candidate Bob Graham said Friday. ‘If he's as mad as he says he is, he ought to be determining who was responsible for misleading the American people,’ Graham said. ‘There should be some heads rolled. If you are outraged, you need to impose accountability.’ Graham, a U.S. senator from Florida and former chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, made his comments in Sioux City during the first of a three-day visit to Iowa. He joins Democratic presidential candidate Howard Dean in saying that someone should be fired over Bush incorrectly saying in his January speech that Iraq was seeking materials from Africa to build nuclear weapons. The White House has acknowledged that the information was wrong. Also Friday, Graham promised that millions of dollars more would be spent in Iowa under his plan for the economy. The plan includes $160 million more each year for Iowa highways, $128 million more a year for Iowa school buildings, and $31 million more a year to expand high-speed Internet access.”… Headline from yesterday’s Sioux City Journal: “Democrat Graham blasts Bush tax cuts; says consumers afraid to spend” Excerpt from report by the Journal’s Bret Hayworth: “U.S. Sen. Bob Graham said he believes tax cuts can be a valuable tool, but not when used as the Bush administration recently did. The Democrat from Florida was in Sioux City Friday, speaking to folks at The Daily Grind downtown about his plan to right the U.S. economy. The 60-minute stop turned into something of a status report on the Sioux City business climate, as local Democrats were chagrined at the loss of jobs. Graham said the economy is stagnant because Americans are afraid to spend money for cars and furniture, because when they consider the unemployment rate, the highest in 11 years, they are fearful of being laid off. ‘This is not a supply-side problem, it is a demand-side problem,’ the senator said. Saying ‘tax cuts have a role to play,’ in laying out his economic plan, Graham said the chief piece would ‘eliminate all the tax cuts that Bush has promoted, except for those that go to the middle class.’ He specified a multi-year stimulus package and middle class tax cuts that would total $134 billion in 2005 alone, amounting to $1 billion in Iowa. Graham said tax cuts should go to the middle class, since ‘they are the ones who will spend it.’

Poll from South Carolina – supposedly a “breakthrough state” for Lieberman and Edwards (after they fail in IA and NH) – shows the wannabe who’s really breaking through is Sharpton. Dean, surging in early states, drops to sixth in SC with 4%. Headline from yesterday’s The Union Leader: “Lieberman’s margin narrows in South Carolina survey Excerpt from AP report on latest SC Zogby survey: “Presidential candidate Joe Lieberman maintained a slim lead among likely Democratic primary voters in South Carolina, according to a survey released Friday. The Connecticut senator had 13 percent support to 8 percent for Rep. Dick Gephardt of Missouri and Al Sharpton, according to the poll conducted by the Zogby Group. A larger percentage of South Carolinians - 42 percent - remain undecided. John Edwards, a senator from neighboring North Carolina, and Sen. John Kerry of Massachusetts had 5 percent support. Former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean was at 4 percent, and Sen. Bob Graham of Florida and former Illinois Sen. Carol Moseley Braun were at 3 percent. Rep. Dennis Kucinich of Ohio was at zero percent. An American Research Group poll in April showed Lieberman with a 10-point lead over his closest rivals. A Zogby poll in March had showed Lieberman and Gephardt sharing the lead, with both in the low teens. The latest Zogby poll of 501 likely primary voters was conducted July 26-30 and has an error margin of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.”

In San Francisco, five wannabes outline health care plans with two – Kucinich and Moseley Braun – favoring universal approach over private insurance system.  Excerpts from coverage of forum – at the United Food and Commercial Workers’ convention – by the San Francisco Chronicle’s Victoria Colliver: “While all promised to reduce the number of uninsured, two of the 2004 candidates -- Rep. Dennis Kucinich of Ohio and former Sen. Carol Moseley Braun of Illinois -- supported throwing out the private insurance system in favor of a universal, single-payer plan in the style of Medicare with a prescription drug coverage. Former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean and Sen. John Kerry of Massachusetts, who joined the forum from Washington, D.C., via satellite, proposed expanding government programs to cover more people. Rep. Richard Gephardt of Missouri offered a plan to extend tax credits to businesses to subsidize coverage to all employees. While it's estimated to cost more than $200 billion its first year -- more than any of the plans on the table -- Gephardt promises it will cover 97 percent of Americans. Gephardt wants to repeal the Bush tax cuts, which he called a joke, and put that money into health care…While Gephardt sees keeping the health coverage for those who already have it as an advantage, candidates with a more purist approach to universal coverage criticized his plan for retaining too much of what they considered a broken system. ‘I'm recognizing unless we get the private sector out of health care, we will never have health care for everybody in this country,’ Kucinich told about 4,500 UFCW delegates gathered at the Moscone Center. The union is concerned about health care benefits, especially in light of its efforts to unionize Wal-Mart Stores Inc…Kucinich's proposal to establish a single-payer system would cover all Americans, but critics question whether there is the political will to pass such a sweeping change. Moseley Braun, who also supports such a system, said she wants to shift the cost burden from payroll taxes to income taxes because that would decouple health care from employment. ‘Part of the problem is we have an employment-based system,’ she said, adding that the high cost of health care puts American businesses at a competitive disadvantage with businesses from other countries that do not have to pay for health care. Dean, also a physician, touted the fact he has passed a state budget that included extended health care coverage to Vermont residents. ‘The advantage I have is I have done it,’ he said…Kerry said his plan lowers the cost of premiums by having the government cover ‘catastrophic’ or high-risk cases instead of allowing them to remain in the employee risk pool. He said his plan, which he says would cover 27 million people immediately, would also help people pay for 75 percent of the cost of COBRA, or Consolidated Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act, which allows employees who leave or who were laid off to pay for their group coverage for a limited time. Kerry said the country needs to stop considering health care to be a privilege. ‘Health care is a right for every single American. We have to cover it.’

Graham says if Dems fail to challenge Bush with credible message on national security issues “everything else in irrelevant.” Headline from Friday’s Chicago Tribune -- “Graham: Democrats must beat Bush on U. S. security” Excerpts from report by the Tribune’s Jeff Zeleny: “Democratic presidential hopeful Bob Graham said Thursday his party would lose the White House in 2004 if primary voters selected a candidate who failed to credibly challenge President Bush on national security. ‘If you can't meet that test,’ Graham said, ‘then everything else is irrelevant.’ The Florida senator, fighting to improve his standing in the presidential race, declined to criticize his rivals directly. But during a hourlong interview, he suggested that he was the only candidate who combined security credentials with Southern roots, a historically winning factor for presidential hopefuls. ‘The last three Democrats elected president came from Texas, Georgia and from Arkansas,’ Graham said, speaking to reporters at the Tribune Media Center in Washington. ‘To get to 270 electoral votes, it's very difficult for a Democrat unless you can make some breakthrough in the Sun Belt states. I think I am the Democratic candidate to make that breakthrough.’ In the last two elections, Democrats have suffered stinging losses in several Southern states. Graham and Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina are the two Southern Democrats in the race. Of the nine candidates in the field, Graham has the most elected experience but ranks near the bottom in fundraising. This year, the senator has raised $3 million compared to $16 million for Sen. John Kerry of Massachusetts, $12 million for Edwards and $11 million for former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean. Still, Graham argues that he is ‘the kind of Democrat the American people will be comfortable with,’ moderate and independent-minded. ‘The American people have shown a preference to elect non-ideologues,’ said Graham, 66. ‘I define myself as being a pragmatic Democrat.’ In the wide-ranging interview on Thursday, Graham conceded that it was ‘unlikely that we will win’ the Iowa caucuses or the New Hampshire primary, the launching points for the presidential nominating season. Even so, Graham said he planned to spend nearly two weeks of August campaigning in Iowa with his family.”

 Edwards touches tricky issue for him – tort reform. His proposal was lost in coverage earlier in the week, but Concord Monitor staffer revives Edwards’ “broadside aimed at unethical lawyers.” Monitor headline from Friday: “Edwards adds tort reform to message…Subject tricky for former trial lawyer Excerpt from report by Daniel Barrick: Tucked inside the health care speech Sen. John Edwards delivered on Monday was a broadside aimed at unethical lawyers. Edwards's ‘three-strikes-and-you're-out’ policy, designed to discourage frivolous malpractice lawsuits against doctors, didn't attract much attention in coverage of the speech. But the senator, a former trial lawyer himself, included it for a reason. Republicans have vowed to make medical malpractice reform a key issue in the 2004 elections, linking large jury payments to the rising costs of health care. Edwards and other Democrats running for president are trying to blunt charges that they're in the pocket of trial attorneys, significant contributors to many of their campaigns. This is especially delicate territory for Edwards. The first-term senator from North Carolina made millions as a lawyer - including many medical malpractice cases - before jumping into politics in 1998. And more than half of the $7.4 million he raised in the first quarter of this year came from trial attorneys. For months, Republican critics have slammed Edwards for his ties to that community and have tried to make him the public face of the debate on malpractice reform…Edwards, like most Democrats in the presidential campaign, has tried to shift the debate away from jury award limits. He advocates a range of solutions for rising malpractice premiums: tightening professional standards for doctors, direct aid to doctors driven out by high premiums, limiting "price-gouging" by insurers. His ‘three strikes’ policy would require lawyers to swear that an expert doctor is ready to testify that malpractice had actually occurred before a case goes to court. Lawyers who file frivolous cases would face sanctions; three frivolous cases, and lawyers would be barred from bringing another suit for 10 years…Sen. John Kerry, another Democratic presidential contender, has advocated a similar panel system to screen out invalid cases. Former Vermont governor Howard Dean, a physician, has said he prefers leaving the issue to state legislators.”

Question of the weekend: Are the Edwards henchmen really drumming up support for his presidential bid – or keeping the political home fires burning until he drops out of the wannabe parade? From News & Observer online report: “U.S. Sen. John Edwards' presidential campaign announced Thursday that it will conduct a half-dozen town-hall meetings across North Carolina this month to drum up support for the Democrat's presidential run. The meetings will be led by Ed Turlington, a Raleigh lawyer who serves as general chairman of Edwards' campaign. Edwards is not scheduled to appear himself. ‘North Carolinians are the people that know Senator Edwards the best, and we're going to get them involved in the campaign,’ Turlington said. ‘This is the best group to show voters in other states where Senator Edwards comes from and what his values are.’ The first meeting takes places Monday in Wilmington.”

Fickle New Hampshire voters indicate they could abandon their current favorite for Al or Hillary. One-third of those committed to Kerry might go with Gore – if he’d run. Poll director says there’s an opening for another – presumably better and electable wannabe, not another Kucinich. Headline from Friday’s The Union Leader: “NH poll: Clinton or Gore could grab primary lead” Excerpt from report/analysis by John DiStaso, the UL’s senior political reporter: “If Al Gore or Hillary Rodham Clinton sought the Democratic Presidential nomination, either would immediately become the front-runner in New Hampshire, according to a new poll. The Presidential race is so ‘soft,’ said Franklin Pierce College poll director Rich Killion, that many people who had told the survey they were ‘committed’ to one of the announced candidates jumped to the former vice president or the New York senator when their names were brought into the mix. The college had released a poll on Tuesday showing former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean and Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry in a virtual tie. The poll had a high undecided rate of 37 percent. Yesterday, FPC released more information from the same poll, showing, according to Killion, ‘more likely primary voters would make Al Gore or Hillary Clinton their first choice in this primary than the current leaders.’ FPC asked 500 likely Democratic primary voters the hypothetical question, ‘If Al Gore were to become a candidate, would he be your first choice?’ According to the poll, 26 percent answered yes, 59 percent said no and 15 percent were undecided. That is enough to put Gore in the lead, Killion said. Gore’s support was primarily drawn from backers of the existing candidates. One-third of those who had said they were committed to Kerry then turned around a few minutes later and said they would support Gore. The same can be said of 22 percent of Dean’s supporters, 39 percent of Missouri Rep. Dick Gephardt’s supporters and 34 percent of Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman’s backers, according to the poll. Gore would get the vote of 23 percent of the likely voters who said they were undecided on the current crop of candidates, the poll said. Twenty-four percent of men and 28 percent of women surveyed would back Gore. If, instead, the former first lady were to run, 25 percent of those surveyed told FPC that Sen. Clinton would be their first choice, 59 percent said she would not and 16 percent were undecided. Among women, 26 percent would make her their first choice, while Clinton would be the first choice of 23 percent of the men surveyed. Clinton’s support is drawn mainly from supporters of the two front-runners, with 28 percent of Dean’s vote and 27 percent of Kerry’s support going to her, along with 29 percent of Gephardt’s vote and 22 percent of Lieberman’s vote. Clinton would receive the vote of 20 percent of the undecided. ‘This result directly relates to the high number of undecided voters and the fact that no one is a front-runner and the pack is either not known or not catching on,’ said Killion. ‘People are really open to look for someone else to get into the race.’ Killion said that a ‘nationally known leader would assume the lead.’ He said Gore and Clinton were the only two major national Democratic leaders with wide name recognition he could think of to put in the poll.”


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