THE CLINTON COMEDIES:
…
Opinion Journal commentary: Hillary may be
the candidate to stop Dean and revive the Dem
Party. Headline yesterday in
OpinionJournal.com (The Wall Street Journal)
-- “The Stop-Dean Candidate: Hillary… If
Hillary wants to save her party, 2008 may be
too late” Excerpt from commentary by
Robert L. Bartley, editor emeritus of The Wall
Street Journal: “Last
week The Hill reported that Al Gore's
friends are urging him to get back into the
race, because President Bush's poll
ratings have slipped recently. Mr. Gore
also rhetorically opposed the Senate war
resolution, but the poll numbers may also
speak to the real potential stop-Dean
candidate. Hillary, she's the one. It's
not exactly my place, as one who joined the
vast right-wing conspiracy as soon as she
advertised it, to endorse Sen. Clinton.
But in recent polls among Democrats she swamps
the announced candidates if her name is
included. She's been stumping the country with
book signings, and is headed to California to
save Gray Davis. Since her health-care fiasco,
too, she's learned something about
triangulation. She did vote for the war
resolution, and has been cautiously supportive
since…At a confab of liberal lawyers last
week, Mrs. Clinton made an intriguing
comment that the depredations of the Bush
administration ‘can no longer be observed from
the sidelines.’ Onetime inside adviser Dick
Morris has predicted she'll run this year if
the Bush approval rating dips below 50%. It
dropped to 56% in the latest Wall Street
Journal/NBC News poll, down from 62% in May.
Yet the president probably turned a corner
with the capture of Saddam's sons in Iraq and
a surprising 2.6% GDP growth in the second
quarter. Also, getting out of the Beltway
bubble and spending a month on the ranch in
Crawford may be the ideal therapy for his
team's recent mistakes. They yielded to
conventional Washington opinion in needlessly
apologizing for citing British intelligence,
and also in proclaiming victory for
surrendering to Teddy Kennedy on health care.
Mr.
Bush is at his best refusing to yield the
moral high ground, demonstrating a capacity to
govern. This challenge to the moral authority
of a leftist elite is also why he stirs such
emotion among Democratic die-hards.
But
arrogating this authority--against the wishes
of the electorate on issues of war, taxes and
social policy--is precisely what has cost
Democrats their once-dominant position. Last
week the Democratic Leadership Council heard
that only 33% of voters identify themselves as
Democrats, the lowest in recent history and
weakest among younger voters. A poor 2004
race might also erode the party's last hold on
the legislative process; with a lot of
Democratic seats vulnerable, Republicans could
conceivably end up with 57 or 58 votes of the
60 needed to stop filibusters. The Democratic
Party is in danger of fading away like Alice's
Cheshire cat. Watching Mr. Dean's
surge in the primaries, Sen. Clinton may
have to rethink her preference of delaying a
presidential bid until 2008 to run against
Gov. Jeb Bush or some other non-incumbent.
By then it may be too late, not for her but
for her party. A Dean candidacy would stamp
Democrats more clearly than ever as a party
that runs hoping for a sour economy at home
and rooting for American humiliation in Iraq.”
IOWA/NATIONAL
POLITICS:
…
Nussle – urging
effort to return to the Bob Ray/Terry Branstad
era of GOP success – creates Iowa Priorities
Action Committee. Congressman says Iowa PAC
will concentrate on returning state to
“Republican leadership and setting Iowa back
on the path of prosperity.”
Excerpt from Nussle letter: (*
EDITOR'S NOTE: boldface added)
Are you
disappointed with the results of our
Republican statewide candidates in recent
elections?
I
certainly am!
In the past
four years, we as Republicans have fielded
qualified people for our state’s top offices
– Governor, U.S. Senate, and of course –
George W. Bush for President. We all know
what an incredible job President Bush has
done leading our nation and yet he lost in
Iowa by a mere 3,000 vote margin! Our
candidates for Senate and Governor share our
common-sense Iowa values of limited
government, protecting individual rights and
freedoms, and reducing the tax burden as
much as possible.
Iowa
Republicans certainly can claim success at
the Congressional and State house level…
If we
have good candidates ... and we have the
right ideas ... then why have we not been
successful at the top of the ticket?
This
is a question I asked many times over the
past six months and I have come to the
conclusion that we simply do not do a good
job of making a connection between our
philosophy and the more urban, Eastern and
Central Iowa independent voters.
These are
folks who are natural ‘ticket splitters’.
Research has shown that they are candidate
specific, and message driven. We must
generate a plan to speak directly
with independent voters about their
individualized concerns. Of course, we
must not compromise our core philosophy of
limited government and personal freedom, but
finding commonality with these urban,
independent voters is the only way we can
move from our current status into a position
where we can lead and govern Iowa…
I have
formed the Iowa Priorities Action Committee
(IowaPAC) to take on several key, statewide
projects which will be of immense benefit to
our candidates up and down the ticket for
many years to come. I believe this strategy
will get us back to the Bob Ray/Terry
Branstad years of responsible Republican
leadership for Iowa.
The first
priority of IowaPAC will be to identify and
survey each and every active no-party voter
in Iowa based on an array of issues that
will enable Republican candidates to tailor
their message to each voter individually.
The information we gather from these swing
voters will be like gold for GOP candidates
here in Iowa to use as they communicate with
these voters throughout the campaign.
We will
work with our Republican candidates in Iowa
to connect them with this key block of
voters. Our candidates will be able to
more effectively share our party’s positive
vision of a better Iowa – an Iowa that grows
with jobs for this new century, that
preserves quality job and educational
opportunities for all Iowans, and continues
to work toward making Iowa the best
neighborhood in America. We know that mud
slinging and name-calling certainly has not
worked – it is imperative that we share with
all Iowans our party’s vision for a better
Iowa.
The
second priority of IowaPAC is to develop a
statewide strike force, which can descend
upon any State House or Senate race in the
last 48 hours before an election to make
telephone calls, pick up absentee ballots,
knock on doors, and drive voters to the
polls. This ‘Old Fashioned’ style of
grassroots politics really works. In this
age of glitzy television, Internet spam, and
pre-recorded phone calls, we often tend to
forget that the only way to win is to
identify your supporters and get them to the
polls.
And last,
we will promote Iowa’s most important
priorities by financially supporting the
candidates who share these values and
providing communications in support of these
candidates to the independent ‘ticket
splitting’ voters that we know make all the
difference in the outcome of close elections…
But
unfortunately we cannot even begin these
projects without your help. Funding this
massive effort will be expensive, but will
yield victory and build the momentum for
Republican success in Iowa far beyond 2004.
We believe it will take approximately
$750,000 to fund this entire program…
Please
consider a contribution of $500, $1000,
$2500 or more to become a Charter Member of
my IowaPAC…Of course, the primary benefit
is that we will turn the experiences of our
past defeats into victory in the future,
returning our state to Republican leadership
and setting Iowa back on the path of
prosperity…
Sincerely,
Jim Nussle
(EDITOR'S
NOTE: No web address given, but listed
address is 4015 Ashby Ave., Des Moines, IA
50310
… The fight for Florida: The state’s
Cuban community was upset with GWB last week
for returning 12 to Castro – and now the
Arab-Americans are voicing displeasure with
the President and the Patriot Act.
Headline from Sunday’s Orlando Sentinel: “Bush’s
anti-rights actions turn off former
Arab-American supporters” Excerpts from
commentary by the Sentinel’s Mark Silva: “On
the fragile terrain where Florida's
elections are fought, President Bush may pay
a price for the USA Patriot Act. Among many
Arab-Americans who voted for Bush on Nov. 7,
2000, support for the president has turned
to resentment since Sept. 11, 2001. They
see friends and countrymen ensnared by a
federal law enacted to combat terrorism, an
act that enables authorities to detain
indefinitely and without explanation
immigrants suspected of wrongdoing. They
feel targeted. ‘I am very disappointed. I
hate to say it,’ says Sami Qubty, an
insurance agent in Orlando. A Palestinian
who immigrated in the 1960s, he registers
independently of any party and voted for the
Republican president. ‘Myself, my wife and
two children of voting age at the time voted
for Bush,’ says Qubty, president of the Arab
American Community Center in Orlando. ‘We
have another of voting age now. I believe
all five of us will vote against Bush.’
He's not alone, though the numbers are not
huge. The 2000 Census counted 77,461 people
of Arab ancestry in Florida, about 13,000
living in counties around Orlando. Qubty
says the numbers are greater: as many as
200,000 statewide and 22,000 in Central
Florida. In a pivotal state which Bush
requires for re-election, a state where the
last presidential contest turned on 537
contested votes, every one counts. No
one can speak for an entire community, of
course. But Qubty and others believe that
support for Bush, once overwhelming among
Arab-Americans in Florida, has shifted to a
bloc of opposition. It's not just the
Patriot Act, they say, but also the state of
the economy…the Patriot Act stands as a
symbol of alienation for many, and
Attorney General John Ashcroft the
personification of the administration's
disregard for civil rights. The Council
on American-Islamic Relations last week
joined a lawsuit challenging the Patriot Act
as unconstitutional. The Justice
Department's own inspector general says
law-enforcement agencies have mistreated
hundreds of immigrants detained since Sept.
11.”
MORNING
SUMMARY:
This morning’s headlines:
Des Moines
Register, top front-page headline: “Drugs
rules, insurance conflict” Report says
nursing home rules are forcing many Iowa
veterans and residents with private health
insurance to pay for medicine out of their own
pockets.
Quad-City
Times, main online stories: “Liberians
swarm peacekeepers” & “Vote delayed as
gay bishop is accused of inappropriate
touching”
Nation/world
online heads, Omaha World-Herald: “Episcopalians
delay vote on gay bishop” & “Peace
force delights Liberians”
Featured
stories, New York Times: “Iraqis Get the
News but Often Don’t Believe It” & “U.
S. May Reduce Aid to Get Israel to Halt
Barrier”
Sioux City
Journal, top online reports: “Peacekeepers
arrive in Liberia” & “Forest Service
exhausts firefighting funds”
Main online
headlines, Chicago Tribune: “Powell’s exit
could leave void” & “Secret task force
is spearhead in hunt for Saddam”
Radio Iowa
reports that the
month of July ended up being slightly cooler
than normal, but that doesn't mean we're in
for a cooler August.
Darwin Danielson reported that State
Climatologist Harry Hillaker says
temperatures will be a few degrees below
normal in the first week of August; maybe
getting up to normal the second week. He
expects the dry pattern to continue for
another two weeks. He says there's no real
strong tendency in the forecasts either way,
but he wouldn't be surprised if August ends
up a little bit drier and a little bit hotter
than normal. Hillaker says July was
slightly drier than normal and Iowa could use
some extra rain in August to catch up.
Iowa Briefs/Updates:
With the Iowa State Fair now less than 48
hours away, WHO-TV (Des Moines) and
other central IA outlets – as well as the Iowa
DOT – are encouraging fair visitors to use
“park and ride” sites. Fair officials are
concerned about major traffic jams because of
extensive road construction projects,
especially on the DSM freeway and other
locations near the fairgrounds.
WAR
& TERRORISM:
… On the Korean Front: Headline from
VOANews.com (Voice of America) – “White
House: Bolton Spoke for Administration in
Criticizing North Korea” Excerpt: “President
Bush is standing behind a senior U.S.
official's recent criticism of North Korea's
communist government. A White House spokesman
said Monday that Undersecretary of State John
Bolton was speaking for the Bush
administration last week when he described
living conditions in North Korea as a ‘hellish
nightmare’ and called leader Kim Jong Il a
‘tyrannical dictator.’ Pyongyang responded
with a warning that Mr. Bolton will not be
welcome at upcoming six-way talks on
dismantling its nuclear weapons program. But
White House spokesman Scott McClellan told
reporters that only President Bush will choose
who participates for the United States.
Earlier Monday, China welcomed the
expansion of talks to include South Korea,
Russia and Japan. A Foreign Ministry
spokesman said Beijing is offering to host the
talks, and will work to see that they take
place as soon as possible. Pyongyang's
state-controlled news media announced the
location for the talks, but did not give a
date. U.S. and South Korean officials have
said the discussions could begin by next
month.”
FEDERAL
ISSUES:
… Union
Leader editorial charges that Dems – despite
minority status – have maintained a “great
deal of control” Senate decisions.
Headline on yesterday’s editorial: “Stymied
in the Senate: Democrats are winning the big
battles” Editorial excerpt: “Here’s a
quick test of your political knowledge:
Which party controls the U.S. Senate? If you
answered ‘the Republicans,’ you're wrong.
Republicans have a 51-48-1 advantage in the
Senate, but Democrats have managed to maintain
a great deal of control over the chamber. Last
week the Senate passed an old
Democratic-sponsored energy bill from 2002
because Republicans could not muster the votes
for their own bill. Also last week, Democrats
prevented votes on four of President Bush's
judicial nominees. Before that, Democrats got
much of what they wanted in an astronomically
expensive Medicare prescription drug bill.
Democrats are outmaneuvering Republicans in
the Senate, and there seems to be little
anyone can or will do about it. Senate
Majority Leader Bill Frist appears to be in
over his head, while the more crafty and
experienced minority leader, Tom Daschle, is
winning victory after victory. Perhaps if
we had a President as conservative on domestic
issues as on foreign ones, this wouldn't be
happening.”
(See related item – next.)
… “GOP-Led
Congress Increasingly Defies Bush” –
weekend headline from the Los Angeles Times.
Excerpt from Sunday report by the Times’ Janet
Hook: “A feisty Congress has left for a
summer recess with a blunt reminder to
President Bush: Republican control of the
House and Senate does not give him carte
blanche on Capitol Hill. The
GOP-controlled Congress has in recent weeks
defied Bush on domestic policies ranging from
drug imports to media deregulation to tax
credits for the working poor. Congress is also
presenting new challenges to Bush in foreign
affairs. Members of both parties have
expressed qualms about postwar policy in Iraq.
The No. 2 House GOP leader has questioned
Bush's ‘road map’ to peace in the Middle East.
And the chairman of the Senate Armed Services
Committee last week criticized the president's
policy on Liberia. To be sure, Republicans
have stuck with Bush on major fiscal and
foreign policy matters. But on a variety of
fronts, Congress is showing more independence
from Bush than at any point since the Sept.
11, 2001, terrorist attacks. ‘I think
Congress has finally found a voice in
questioning the administration on a whole
range of issues,’ said Roger Davidson, a
visiting professor of government at UC Santa
Barbara. ‘This is a healthy sign because
the last Congress pretty much rolled over in
the wake of 9/11.’ It is a measure, in
part, of the dissipation of Bush's post-Sept.
11 aura of command — with Congress and among
the public, according to recent polls that
show his approval ratings dropping. But it is
also a reminder that presidential leadership
is not the only force that drives legislation
through Congress. On two striking occasions
this summer, populist tides moved Congress to
override Bush's objections. That is how
the House came to approve a bill allowing the
importation of lower-cost prescription drugs —
a measure that had built a powerful head of
steam among constituents angered by rising
drug prices.”
IOWA
ISSUES:
… Sioux
City Journal headline says “Vilsack chalks up
win with Wells Fargo move” – but House Speaker
Rants wonders how application for Iowa Values
Fund money was done day before the rules were
established. Excerpt from column by the
Lee Enterprises’ Kathie Obradovich: “Gov.
Tom Vilsack chalked up a big win this week
with the announcement that the first award
from the Grow Iowa Values Fund would be a
whopping, 2,000-job expansion by Wells Fargo &
Co. in the Des Moines metro area.
The
announcement overshadowed the news that
Republican legislative leaders had filed a
lawsuit, accusing the governor of overstepping
his constitutional authority when he vetoed
tax cuts and tort reform measures that the GOP
had packaged with the values fund.
The size of
the project will almost certainly mute
criticism that Vilsack and Department
of Economic Development Director Michael
Blouin let a potential western Iowa biotech
project, an anchor of the proposed Trans Ova
expansion in Sioux Center, slip away to
South Dakota.
(Republican lawmakers initially suggested
calling the program the BIO fund, which stood
for Bring it On, a bit of "in your face"
bravado aimed at S.D. Gov. Mike Rounds. Maybe
they should change the name to PSSS, which
stands for Please sir, sorry sir.)…House
Speaker Christopher Rants, R-Sioux
City, said nobody is likely to turn up his
nose at 2,000 good-paying jobs, so you're
unlikely to hear much quibbling over the fact
that the values fund will first benefit an
already-successful company in an
already-established industry in an
already-growing part of the state. However, he
said, he does wonder how Wells Fargo was
able to have a completed application for the
values fund, dated Tuesday, July 29, when the
rules to set up the program weren't even
approved until Wednesday, July 30. It raises
the question, he said, of whether other
companies had an equal chance to apply before
the first $10 million was awarded. ‘I want
to know how we got to this point, and where
we're going from here,’ Rants said.”
OPINIONS:
Today’s editorials:
Des Moines Register:
“Dean under the microscope…The former
Vermont governor will face tougher scrutiny
now that he’s the front-runner.” & “Take
the Smithfield deal” Editorial says
Congress and federal officials have “a right
to scrutinize the deal” for Smithfield to take
over Farmland Industries, but “this looks like
a good deal for Iowa and other states.”
IOWA
SPORTS:
… Several
sportscasts this morning report that former
Iowa QB Brad Banks – the runner-up in last
fall’s Heisman Trophy voting – has been
released by the NFL’s Washington Redskins
… Veteran NASCAR driver Ken Schrader is
scheduled to return to the Independence
Motor Speedway on Wednesday night to
participate in a race that was rained out on
7/9. Schrader and former Winston Cup champion
Bill Elliott are expected to appear in the
regular Dodge Weekly Series program in
Farley on Thursday night, 8/14. Sports
reports indicated they are to compete in the
late-model division race
IOWA
WEATHER:
… DSM 7 a. m. 66, light rain. Temperatures
across Iowa at 7 a. m. ranged from 55 in
Decorah and Monticello to 56 in
Dubuque and Davenport to 66 in six
locations – including Denison, Des Moines
and Lamoni and 68 in Clarinda.
Today’s high 81, chance T-storms. Tonight’s
low 65, chance T-storms. Wednesday’s high 84,
mostly sunny. Wednesday night’s low 63, partly
clear.
IOWAISMS:
…
Iowa has lowest car insurance rates in the
country. Excerpt from report by Radio
Iowa’s Darwin Danielson: “A study by the
National Association of Insurance
Commissioners says Iowa still has the lowest
car insurance rates in the country. Angela
Burke-Boston of the Iowa Insurance Division
says the rank is based on a variety of
factors. They consider our population, repair
cost, theft rates, and the number of
registered vehicles. Under the system used by
the study, Iowa's average premium was just
over $596. Burke-Boston says Iowa likely has
fewer claims than other states, which also
helps the ranking. She says she can't tell
that from the study, but it's probably safe to
say that we have fewer bodily injury claims.
She says the competition among companies in
Iowa keeps the cost of insurance down. She
says we have over 350 companies in Iowa that
offer auto insurance. New Jersey topped the
list with an average auto insurance premium of
nearly $1,200.”
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