Iowa 2004 presidential primary precinct caucus and caucuses news, reports and information on 2004 Democrat and Republican candidates, campaigns and issues

Iowa Presidential Watch's

IOWA DAILY REPORT
Holding the Democrats accountable today, tomorrow...forever.

Our Mission: to hold the Democrat presidential candidates accountable for their comments and allegations against President George W. Bush, to make citizens aware of false statements or claims by the Democrat candidates, and to defend the Bush Administration and set the record straight when the Democrats make false or misleading statements about the Bush-Republican record.

The Iowa Daily Report -- Friday, January 16, 2004

* QUOTABLE:

“I do not understand how anyone can vote for a resolution to send our people over there [Iraq] and then not back the funds to see that they succeed," Dick Gephardt said.

"I ask you please to bring a friend, I ask you to bring five friends, drag somebody with you, I ask you to make phone calls," Howard Dean said.

“I needed to have TV commercials on the air a week ago in South Carolina,' Braun explained, 'but I did not have the money.' And without TV or radio ads, she felt it was unfair to ask her volunteer ground troops to work the streets," Carol Moseley Braun said.

"My campaign has always been about a positive, optimistic, unifying vision for America ... I will not change over the next five days. I am reaching out and lifting up this country," John Edwards said.

“[Clark] is a good guy, but I truly believe he's a Republican," said Howard Dean.

“… if the economy continues to improve and Iraq stabilizes, "it almost doesn't matter who our candidate is -- it's going to be very hard for our side to win," said Democrat Pennsylvania Gov. Edward Rendell.

"We have a superior ability to get our people to actually appear on caucus night and stand up for us," Dick Gephardt said.

“Rudy Giuliani will be out in Iowa on Monday speaking to first responders who know firsthand how hard President Bush continues to work to keep our country safe and secure," said Giuliani's spokeswoman, Sunny Mindel.

``I think everybody has a little anxiety when they approach a job like that,'' Howard Dean said of the presidency. ``During my life, I've made hard decisions about people who could die if I made the wrong decision.

She [Carol Moseley Braun] has been a welcome surprise, with her quick tongue, impressive knowledge of politics and connection to the lives of real, middle-class Americans. She held the other candidates accountable during the debates. Her presence brought female and minority perspective. She was bold, and some might say she could be that way because she didn't have much to lose. -- writes Des Moines Register editorial.

Gephardt "is reigning Iowa champ with 20 years of building the ground game," and "Dean's headquarters is the size of a city block," said Michael Meehan of the Kerry campaign. "We are competitive but definitely outgunned" on the ground, he said.

"…the Republicans are much meaner than the Democrats are. I don't want to absolve the Democrats, but Republicans are just brutal. They do not care what happens to the country as long as they stay in power, and they're willing to do anything they can to stay in power." – Howard Dean, in a new interview with Rolling Stone magazine.

"I think we're going to win here [Iowa]," Howard Dean said, "though we need every single Iowan to get to the polls in order to do it."

* TODAY’S OFFERINGS:

IPW Analysis: *Race up for grabs

John Kerry: *Digs at Dean

Carol Moseley Braun: *Braun’s debt erased?

Dick Gephardt: *New Dean attack ad

Howard Dean: *Is Dean electible?

John Edwards: *On FIRE!

Wesley Clark: *Defends the indefensible
*Airport security

Dennis Kucinich: *Airline profiling

Howard Dean: *NASCAR dads

Just Politics: *Just fun

* CANDIDATES & CAUCUSES:

Race up for grabs

In a tight race anything can happen and usually does. However, an organization that has been identifying which voters are favorable to the candidate and turnout of those voters is everything at this point. The polls are probably underestimating the Gephardt and Dean support. Many of Dean’s supporters have cell phones and are not being called in the polling numbers we are seeing. The other group that is probably under-represented are the union members supporting Gephardt. Contrary to popular belief, many of these people are not registered as Democrats, and therefore not called in polling endeavors.

In the latest three-day tracking poll, Kerry gained two percentage points to 24 percent, with Howard Dean and Richard Gephardt each dropped two points to 19 percent. John Edwards is holding steady at 17 percent. "Any one of the four can win this one," pollster John Zogby said.

Reports are that lots of undecided voters are showing up at all of the candidates’ visits. Clearly Iowa Caucuses could see a very large turnout and the buyers are hot to decide.

It will be interesting to see how well the old industrial unions deliver for Gephardt. They are in the fight of their life to maintain top influence over the service unions, who have endorsed Howard Dean. How well they perform in the Iowa contest has great consequences for them within the union movement.

Kerry continues to surprise and impress people with his late push to the front of what is a statistical dead even race within polling margins of error. Iowa’s First Lady Christie Vilsack seems to be providing a flood of women joining the Kerry campaign. And Kerry’s personal performance seems to be catching on with some voters. He is giving 20-minute stump speeches that focuses on issues -- corporate responsibility, foreign policy, taxes and health care. He verbally slaps around President Bush and does not say a word about any of his Democratic opponents. His close is:

"As Democrats, we cannot just offer anger," he said. "We've got to offer solutions." He ends by urging people to caucus for him and to "go there not just to send a message, but to send America a president."

A big part of the issue in campaigning is how the Democrats run against Bush. If a candidate goes to the middle, they will depress their base vote turnout. President Bush’s political advisor Karl Rove complained about the millions of Christian Right that sat out the last election, for example. The debate at hand in the Democrat Party right now is the core of the question of electability among Democrat candidates. Here is what the Post quotes Dean’s campaign manager Joe Trippi saying:

In an interview, Trippi said, "The established way is to go after the middle, even if it means depressing your base." He said that swing voters will look at large issues -- the war and the budget -- but that policy positions are secondary to the larger mood and promise Dean conveys.

Kerry gets a dig in on Dean in Ft Dodge

Looking over his audience in Fort Dodge, many of them retirees and veterans, Kerry dryly said, “This is a great tribute to the democratic process … out here in Iowa, and I respect it. I have not seen any special interests anywhere in this Iowa caucus process.”

Kerry is strong in his attack on Bush according to the Mason City Globe Gazette:

“If you’re a drug company, if you’re a polluter, if you’re among the wealthy in this country, then George Bush can beat his chest and say ‘mission accomplished.’

“But if you’re unemployed, if you’re a family farmer, if you’re without health insurance, it’s mission deserted, mission abandoned, mission not even tried,” said Kerry.

Braun’s debt erased?

We now know why Carol Moseley Braun was defending Dean during the Brown and Black Forum Debate. Look for sometime in the future that the Dean campaign helps her retire her debt. In fact, The Chicago Tribune reports on that very fact:

Braun campaign manager Patricia Ireland -- the former National Organization for Women president who was never able to energize the feminist community behind Braun -- started talking to Dean campaign manager Joe Trippi at the end of last week. Trippi turned her over to Dean senior adviser Jon Haber.

Ireland is quoted as saying:

"We are going to help her with the debt," Haber told me. The debt tab could be in the neighborhood of some $300,000 and Dean's camp will help Braun raise the money to pay it off.

Gephardt launches new attack ad against Dean

"Did you know Howard Dean called Medicare 'one of the worst federal programs ever?"' the narrator asks.

"Did you know he supported the Republican plan to cut Medicare by $270 billion dollars? And, did you know Howard Dean supported cutting Social Security retirement benefits to balance the budget?"

Gephardt concludes the ad by saying "I will be a president who will fight to protect Medicare and Social Security."

Dean is still airing a television ad in Iowa criticizing Gephardt, Edwards and Kerry for supporting the war.

The key to a Gephardt victory rests with the unions and yesterday 18 unions held a rally for him.

"Dick Gephardt has stood up for workers for 27 years. Now we're going to stand up for Dick Gephardt," Joe Hart, president of the steelworkers' union said.

Teamsters President James Hoffa called Gephardt labor's bona fide friend, one who has steadfastly during nearly three decades in Congress pushed to protect U.S. jobs, expand health care and upgrade education. Hoffa has been in Iowa for days now. He and Gephardt attended University of Michigan Law School together.

Gephardt said on Thursday the state is key to all of the Democratic presidential contenders who are trying to unseat Bush. He said regardless of the outcome, he will be campaigning the next day in New Hampshire, which holds its presidential primary on Jan. 27.

Meanwhile, Kerry has distributed fliers that attack Dean and Gephardt for advocating repeal of all of President Bush's tax cuts, including those that benefit the middle class. The Gephardt camp responded with an attack on Kerry's position on the farm bill and ethanol.

Is Dean electable?

Iowa Sen. Tom Harkin is doing the warm up as Howard Dean continues to tour Iowa. “In my adult lifetime I have never seen anyone energize and bring people into this party as much as Howard Dean has done in the last year,” Harkin says in introducing Dean. Harkin’s efforts are full blown and could provide some tilt into a Dean campaign that has faltered of late. However, Dean’s organization supplemented by Harkin has got to be a daunting picture for his opponents.

Dean’s electability continues to be the central issue that dogs him. Dean for his part asserts that he is the only one who can beat Bush. The Washington Post carries a couple of stories that explore the question:

The question haunting Dean, raised in various ways by all his main rivals in recent days, is whether he stands any chance of exerting appeal beyond core Democrats who share his strong opposition to the Iraq war and his liberal social views, and who raise their fists in agreement with his biting attacks on Bush.

The LA Times reports on how the insider endorsements may have cooled some of the ardor for Dean and now he is going back to his ‘running against Washington’ message:

But privately, even some Dean advisors agree that his backing from Gore and the others has blurred his appeal to supporters — one reason that Dean this week, in both his television advertising and stump speeches, has recharged his attacks on "Washington Democrats."

Edwards on fire

John Edwards is on fire in his campaign:

“We have five days to change this country," the North Carolina senator told a noisy, packed ballroom at a Des Moines hotel. "I can't do it alone but you and I can do it together. There is so much energy and excitement around this campaign ... it is everywhere."

"You give me a shot at (President) George Bush. I'm gonna give you the White House!" Said Edwards.

Elizabeth Edwards, 54, is campaigning in Iowa for her husband and the NY Times does a story about this bankruptcy lawyering and how her support is in sharp contrast to rival candidate Howard Dean’s wife. Elizabeth says she has a hard time with everyone saying her husband is so young:

"Truth is, my hair is more like yours," Mrs. Edwards said with characteristic bluntness at a restaurant in rural Marshalltown, Iowa, the other day. "But I don't want to walk around and hear people say, `Oh, look, there's John Edwards with his mother.' "

She often participates in the campaign's daily conference call, in which strategy and tactics are discussed. She likes to make sure the staff doesn’t mislead her husband:

"Sometimes when they're talking about planning a message, some of the folks will get full of themselves sometimes and they'll start being more negative than John would be," she said in an interview. "Sometimes he'll let them talk on — I don't know why he does that — but I won't let them talk on. I'll say, `O.K., that's all fine, but that's not the way John thinks about it.' "

The story also covers the effect of the loss of their son Wade, who was killed in an automobile accident at the age of 16.

Defends the indefensible

Wesley Clark’s statements before a Congressional hearing on Saddam Hussein have been brought out on the Republican National Committee website. In his testimony concerning the fact Hussein had chemical weapons and desire to acquire nuclear weapons Clark urged Cocngress to take action.

"It needs to be dealt with and the clock is ticking on this," Clark was quoted as telling committee members six months before U.S. forces invaded Iraq last March.

Clark now spins his congressional testimony by saying, "What I was saying then is what I'm saying today, that Saddam Hussein was not an imminent threat ... Was he troublesome? Sure. Was he a threat eventually? Sure. Was a clock ticking in a two-year, five-year, 10-year time period? Sure. Did we have to do this? No."

Clark’s flip-flops on this subject are beginning to come back home on him.

"I think there are some mass destruction capabilities that are still inside Iraq. I think there's some weapons that have been shipped over the border to Syria. But I don't think we're going to find that their capabilities provided the imminent threat that many feared in this country. So I think it's going to be a tough search, but I think there's stuff there." Clark said on (NBC's "Meet The Press," 6/15/03)

Clark subsequently stated that he talked with people inside who said that the bombings destroyed the weapons even though in an earlier statement he said that the bombing hadn’t destroyed the weapons of mass destruction. These same “inside” people are the ones he was alleged to have talked to that he later said had destroyed all the WMD.

There is also the bumbled aspect of advising a candidate for Congress to support the Iraq war resolution and his later denial that he couldn’t have told her to support it because he wasn’t following the resolution.

"[2002 Congressional Candidate Katrina] Swett said ... 'At that time, frankly, he spoke with great knowledge about Iraq and the upcoming vote ... My impression is that he knew more about it than most of us.'" (Nedra Pickler, "Swett: Clark Knew Facts Of Iraq Resolution," The Associated Press, 10/24/03)

Clark’s continual shifting of positions and lack of consistency may make for an interesting contest between him and Howard Dean if the two eventually match up as so many think they will. Reuters reports that Clark is continuing to push for Congress to investigate President Bush:

Asked if it was "criminal" to mislead a country into war, Clark responded: "I think that's a question that Congress needs to ask. This Congress needs to investigate precisely why this administration determined to take us into a war with Saddam Hussein that wasn't connected with the threat of al Qaeda."

The Wall Street Journal raps Clark in an editorial: "Mr. Clark is reinventing himself almost daily to serve the goals of his new political ambition."

Clark on airport security

Wesley Clark has laid out a plan to tighten air transport security. Preceding his announcement, Clark was introduced by Maura Landry, a New Hampshire campaign staffer whose fiancee perished in the attack on the World Trade Center.

"We shouldn't have to wait for another September 11th to take every preventative step possible to secure America's skies," Clark said.

Although we've made progress since 9/11, Clark believes that America still faces too many unnecessary risks in aviation. The Bush Administration has made matters worse with its plan to cut the number of federal airport security screeners by 6,000. At the same time, the President plans to out-source another 4,000 airport security positions.

Clark plan to strengthen air transportation security includes:

·        Invest in more screeners and better technology. Ending cutbacks to the federal airport security screener program, maintaining this security force as a federal program and improving training programs for both screeners and screener supervisors.

·        Require background checks for individuals with access to sensitive areas of airports and air operations. Require background checks of individuals with access to commercial airliners, sensitive areas of airports and air operations.

·        Work to protect airplanes from surface-to-air missiles. Fund experiments to test methods of protecting airplanes from the danger of surface-to-air missiles.

·        Enhance air cargo security. Expand non-intrusive inspection systems to greatly increase the percentage of air cargo that is inspected before it is loaded aboard airplanes, and set a goal of inspecting all cargo loaded aboard commercial passenger planes.

Kucinich: airline profiling

Today Democratic presidential candidate Dennis Kucinich released a statement strongly opposing the Bush Administration's latest plan to effect the in-depth profiling of airline passengers:

"The Bush Administration is diverting resources to measures that appear to make us safer but actually make our lives more difficult and violate our privacy," said Kucinich. "The new system will require all airline passengers to provide their full names, home addressees, phone numbers, and dates of birth when they book flights. The government will feed that information into databases and produce profiles on all passengers. The databases will include government records, information from commercial systems such as Lexis-Nexis and Acxiom, and mailing lists and other commercial information. And the databases will be secret, and therefore no one will have any idea why they would be given a specific security level.

"The Administration is turning every airline ticket counter into a Big Brother Booth. Our freedoms and our liberties are on the line. This Administration is moving with breathtaking speed to demolish the Bill of Rights and privacy protections. In a democratic society we have a right to live free and they're taking that right away.

"What conceivable right does the government have to develop these database profiles? What else will the government do with the information? The FBI is already collecting information on people who attend peace demonstrations. What purposes will all of this data be put to? Once someone is deemed a threat to air travel, will they also be denied a driver's license? Will they be denied admittance to large public events?

"These are serious questions. Big Brother is here. This is absolutely unacceptable in a democracy. We have to live free, or it's not America anymore. I will work quickly to repeal the 'PATRIOT Act,' to repeal the intelligence authorization bill that slipped in sections of Patriot Act II, and to rescind all practices that mine data for the purpose of profiling.

"We are being driven to fear each other, and it is not helpful. There is no evidence that this new scheme, or duct tape and plastic, or the general color-coded terror threat warnings actually make us safer. Rather than pouring hundreds of billions into an illegal war that is destabilizing the Middle East and additional resources into assigning people color codes, we should be working to rejoin the world community and make the world safer through diplomacy and cooperation."

Dennis Kucinich is the only candidate for President who voted against the Patriot Act. He has introduced a bill to repeal major sections of that act. He has protested the proposals for a Patriot Act II. And he has committed to file suit to overturn the Patriot Act upon election as President.

NASCAR dads

A group of people wanting to help Howard Dean are looking at spending $2.5 million to sponsor a race car. There seems to be some questions about compliance with the Federal Elections Commission laws, though, according to the Washington Times:

"As complicated as the new campaign-finance laws are, this is a no-brainer," said a Democratic campaign-finance lawyer. "If they're paying for something that benefits the campaign, then it's either an in-kind contribution or an independent expenditure. Either way, they have to file with the" Federal Election Commission (FEC).

Erin Titman, spokeswoman for Team Dean Racing, said federal election lawyers have reviewed their plans and determined that they are free from campaign-finance laws, are not required to publicly list supporters and don't need to file papers with the FEC.

Just fun

The Des Moines Register has a story that’s just plain fun. It covers the question of what day is it with Carol Moseley Braun telling Comedy Central that the Caucuses are on Tuesday -- try Monday. It also offers this ditty about Iowa Democrat Chairman Gordon Fischer’s observations:

Best Questioner - Adam Nagourney of the New York Times. "He seems to be quite insightful, and he's also just kind of a charming guy."

Favorite Reporter - "I really like all the local reporters because they have a good grasp of the caucuses." (Good answer, Gordon!)

Most Distant Interview Request - Jakarta TV, which called from Indonesia. "Apparently they were doing a documentary on the caucuses."

Biggest Misconception - That Iowa is all farms and pigs. "I think the caucuses have really helped shape an image of a more diverse Iowa, a more cultured Iowa, a more urban Iowa, even a more hip Iowa than reporters may have thought." (Nice try, Gordon!)

Second Biggest Misconception - That the caucuses are complicated. "It's a lot like sixth-grade gym," he said. "You just divide up into different groups and go to your corner."

* ON THE BUSH BEAT:

Elections now

Iraq's most revered Shi'ite cleric, Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, has refused to support the U.S. plan for regional caucuses to select a transitional assembly which will pick an interim government to take sovereignty by the end of June.

Paul Bremer continues to meet with President Bush in Washington trying to work through the Shi’ite Muslims objections to caucusing first in setting up a new controlling government for Iraq.

If (Sistani) issues a fatwa (edict) all the Iraqi people will go out in protest marches and demonstrations against the coalition forces," Ayatollah Mohammad Baqer al-Mohri said.

Bush in Atlanta

President Bush proclaimed Martin Luther King’s Holiday today stating, “all Americans benefit from Dr. King's work and his legacy of courage, dignity, and moral clarity." However, while joining King’s family laying a wreath on King’s graveside, protesters booed the President and protested his visit.

Bush received a warmer welcome from Georgia’s Democrat Senator Zell Miller, who has publically supported Bush’s re-election. Bush also raised $1.3 million in Georgia and $1 million in New Orleans in his two-state swing for his reelection efforts.

President Bush announced new rules while in Georgia that help "faith-based" charities compete for $3.7 billion in Justice Department funding.

State of the Union

President Bush will try to revive a proposal that would allow younger workers to invest a portion of their Social Security taxes in the stock market, aides say; make already-enacted tax cuts permanent, such as the elimination of inheritances taxes and reductions in capital gains taxes; push for a new kind of tax-preferred savings accounts that could be used for retirement, college, health care or other purposes.

* THE CLINTON COMEDIES:

Vote for Hillary

Bob Kunst, a Florida supporter of the Draft Hillary movement, said 110 ads were bought in the Des Moines media market and are aimed at moving undecided voters. The group is running TV ads in New Hampshire as well. Clinton has said she does not intend to seek the nomination in 2004.

Health care

Hillary Clinton has sent out an email regarding her efforts concerning health care.

Hillary is speaking out on health care: "Americans need a new, modern, 21st-century health care system. Information in the hands of the right people at the right time will improve quality and reduce costs." CLICK HERE TO READ MORE:
http://activate.friendsofhillary.com/t?ctl=50ED57:1F0AD46 !

Health care is an issue that has long been important to Hillary, as it is to so many of us. Her new plan will use the advances of information technology to improve the quality of our health care system, and improve the care each American receives. Hillary envisions a system in which we can use technology to lower costs for patients. Her proposal promotes a system that enables doctors to access the latest research, and provides patients with the resources they need to make informed decisions about their own healthcare. At the same time, her legislation safeguards patient privacy.

While the United States has the most advanced medical system in human history, we know we can do better. Our current health care system is fragmented, inefficient, and bureaucratic. Health spending is skyrocketing; but too much money is being spent on bureaucracy and not on improving patient care. Administrative costs alone consume up to 25 cents out of every health care dollar. By using information more wisely and effectively, Senator Clinton believes we can lower the costs of health care and improve access to quality health care.

Hillary will be working hard to move this legislation forward in the United States Senate. She knows that by promoting quality in the health care system, we will be able to lower health care costs for all Americans.

* NATIONAL:

E.U. calls for trade sanctions

The European Union is increasing tensions with the United States by calling for trade sanctions against America just as Washington begins efforts to revive global commerce talks. The Trade Ambassador recently called on Europe to give up agricultural subsidies in order to move global trade talks. The U. S. is expected to protest the trade sanctions and that will delay the imposing of what could be $4.0 billion in duties to a variety of U. S. exports by the E.U.

Democrats behind in fund-raising

The Associated press reports the Democrat National Committee is not doing well compared to the Republicans in fundraising:

With $33.1 million in the bank and more to come, the RNC is laying plans to spend in races up and down the ticket as the Democratic National Committee works to complete its first task: raising $16 million to help promote its presidential nominee.

The parties' finances as the year began offer a striking look at the effect broad new fund-raising restrictions are having. The DNC started with $10 million in the bank, one-third as much as the RNC.

 

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