Iowa 2004 presidential primary precinct caucus and caucuses news">

Iowa 2004 presidential primary precinct caucus and caucuses news, reports and information on 2004 Democrat and Republican candidates, campaigns and issues

Iowa Presidential Watch's

IOWA DAILY REPORT

 Holding the Democrats accountable today, tomorrow...forever.

Our Mission: to hold the Democrat presidential candidates accountable for their comments and allegations against President George W. Bush, to make citizens aware of false statements or claims by the Democrat candidates, and to defend the Bush Administration and set the record straight when the Democrats make false or misleading statements about the Bush-Republican record.

The Iowa Daily Report, Saturday, November 22, 2003

* QUOTABLE:

Adam Parkhomenko, founder of VoteHillary.org, which is urging the senator to accept a draft at next summer's Democratic convention, said he was not discouraged that Clinton would not be on the New Hampshire ballot. "We're looking for a deadlocked convention," he said. "We're trying to convince her that a draft at the convention is what the Democratic Party needs."

"If George Bush wants to make this election about national security, I have three words for him he'll understand: Bring. It. On," said John Kerry.

"There is not much you can say when your only son has been killed in a war that the American people ... increasingly recognize as not necessary. I put my arms round her and she cried and I did too," said Wesley Clark.

"It is imperative that creeping protectionism be thwarted and reversed. The costs of any new such projectionist initiatives, in the context of wide current account imbalances, could significantly erode the flexibility of the global economy," said Alan Greenspan.

Jonathan Chait writes in the New Republic that Dean's stance "takes some guts. He framed his own platform using terms that are guaranteed to make it sound like old-fashioned big government -- perhaps the only way to make the word "regulation" even less appealing is to add on the prefix 're.' "This is reason number 457,862 why Dean would get torn to shreds in a general election match-up with Bush. But you have to admire his courage."

“The chasm between how the general speaks about foreign policy and about the bread and butter issues of American life may help explain why General Clark has not been able to maintain the kind of excitement and attention he attracted when he cannon-balled into the race two months ago,” writes Edward Wyatt.

''I'm not going to trash anybody on it. These are some very thorny, legitimate issues,'' said John Kerry about Gov. Jeb Bush regarding his controversial push to keep a brain-damaged woman alive.

* TODAY’S OFFERINGS:

*Dean, Dean the mean machine   *Dean’s new handler

*Speaking of Carville   *Dean’s deferment

*Gephardt responds to Dean ad   *Gephardt responds to RNC ad

*Gephardt, the alternative   *The real goods

*Edwards endorsed by educators

*Edwards to visit every county in Iowa

*Edwards responds to Republican ad

*Edwards: Bush a turkey   *Not looking good for Edwards

*Lieberman door-to-door   *Clark & Clinton

*Job loss real   *Kucinich as an Independent

*Kucinich would close School of Americas

*Kucinich responds to Republican ad

*Sharpton upset   *Poll watching   *Bush’s strength

*Bush’s belief   *Trojan horse   *Trade war clouds

*There is new religious group in town  

* CANDIDATES & CAUCUSES:

Dean, Dean the mean machine

Howard Dean has proven himself as the angry candidate who in his own words “gets in your face if it is necessary.” He has said that America wants a candidate who can get in President Bush’s face. The Dean campaign’s current website once again follows the rapid response method invented by James Carville during the Clinton campaign. They have responded to the Republican National Committee’s ad with an appeal for their supporters to contribute $360,000 to their campaign by midnight Tuesday.

Campaign Manager Joe Trippi sent the following email to more than 503,000 online supporters of Howard Dean on Friday:

This weekend, the Republican National Committee is launching its first television ads for George W. Bush. The ads show the fear-mongering that George Bush and Karl Rove are going to use, with their $200 million in special interest money, to try to distort what we are fighting for in this election.

There is only one way to stop them -- and that is by standing up and telling the truth about what this president has done to our country. To do that, we’ve put up the bat on our website. Our goal is to raise $360,000 by Tuesday at midnight -- $5,000 for every hour they are going to lie to the Americans people with their ad…

Dean’s new handler

Gina Glantz will be a senior adviser to the former Vermont governor and will travel with him as he campaigns for the Democratic presidential nomination, the campaign announced Friday.

Glantz, a highly regarded political operative, is currently an assistant to the president of the Service Employees International Union, the labor group that helped to solidify Dean's status as the Democratic front-runner when it endorsed him earlier this month.

Speaking of Carville

Political commentator and consultant James Carville is the TV ad pitchman asking for money for the Democrats. “Bush will raise $250 million to fund relentless attacks on our Democratic nominee — he'll stop at nothing," Carville says in the ad. "With your help, I know we can win. So stand up, be counted and contribute today."

The 30-second spot will air in Iowa on broadcast stations and nationally on the cable channel MSNBC on Monday, the day of a televised Democratic debate. Democrat National Committee spokesman Tony Welch said the ad was not in response to the Republican National Committee’s ad running in Iowa before the Democrat debate on Monday…

Dean’s deferment

The NY Times has a lengthy story on Howard Dean’s deferment from the Viet Nam War. The issue is at the forefront because of the challenge in New Hampshire from John Kerry. Dr. Dean got the medical deferment, but in a recent interview he said he probably could have served had he not mentioned the condition:

"I guess that's probably true," he said. "I mean, I was in no hurry to get into the military."

The desire by Dean not to serve his country during the Viet Nam War is also complicated by the fact that he cavorted as a ski bum after graduating from Yale.

In the 10 months after his graduation from Yale, time he might otherwise have spent in uniform, Dr. Dean lived the life of a ski bum in Aspen, Colo. His back condition did not affect his skiing the way the rigors of military service would have, he said, nor did it prevent him from taking odd jobs like pouring concrete in the warm months and washing dishes when it got cold.

Even the candidate's mother, Andree Maitland Dean, said in a recent interview about his skiing after receiving a medical deferment, "Yeah, that looks bad."

Gephardt responds to Dean ad

Rep. Dick Gephardt appears to be the fighter with the cool head in the ring as he responds to the war to both Howard Dean and the Republican National Committee. Gephardt, who in surveys does not gather in the anti-war vote into his supporters the way that Howard Dean and John Kerry do, is chiseling into the minds of the voters his steadfastness on the issue. This is meant to not only clarify the nuances of his differences with Bush, but also to entrench in the mind of the voters that he is a steadfast leader who does not act out of the petulance of anger.

The Gephardt campaign has a new ad up in Iowa that hits hard at Dean’s latest mailer and TV ad that singles out rival Gephardt on the war issue. It seems that Gephardt is not afraid to take Dean on with his war stance. The ad takes clips from Deans’ response to a moderator during the NY debate where Dean says, "On the $87 billion for Iraq?" Dean asks. "We have no choice, but it has to be financed by getting rid of all the president's tax cuts." The other clip of Dean is from Iowa Public Television where Dean states: "I don't think this Iraq disagreement frankly rises to the level of a big campaign issue and I don't, I don't intend to make whether you voted for it or against the supplemental appropriation a campaign issue."

Gephardt’s campaign clearly put to the forefront the issue of Dean’s truthfulness – a valid question that has been raised by political commentators who have been watching Dean.

Gephardt had been on the air with moderate $100,000 buys every week in Iowa since September until his two-week hiatus. The buy for the new ad was larger — $170,000 for a weeklong run — and airtime was purchased statewide, including in the Davenport media market for the first time.

Dean spent $250,000 for a 10-day run on his latest ad in Iowa. He has spent more than $1 million on ads there, typically in spurts of $200,000 buys.

The Associated Press offers an exchange between the two campaigns staff:

Gephardt campaign manager Steve Murphy, who earlier this week said Gephardt would not engage in a slugfest with Dean, said the ad sets the record straight. "We are challenging the credibility of his ad. We are not going to get into a negative slugfest with Howard Dean in Iowa. That statement still stands," Murphy said.

A Dean spokeswoman shot back. "The Gephardt campaign has been attacking the Dean campaign since August, and not just on the air," said spokeswoman Sarah Leonard in Iowa.

Gephardt responds to RNC ad

Gephardt has released the following statement in response to the Republican National Committee’s ad in support of the President this weekend.

"Once again, the president has chosen to politicize the war on terror for partisan gain. Democrats have supported the war on terror and I have backed the president when he was right, but forcefully pointed out when he was wrong.

"I supported his decision on Iraq because I believed it was the right thing to do. But, I have told him he was wrong to go without our allies and leave us isolated and alone in the world.

"Debating national security is fair game, but questioning others' patriotism is beneath this president."

Gephardt, the alternative

The singling out of Gephardt for attack ads by Howard Dean is causing some to look at Gephardt as the alternative to Dean. Gephardt is also looking past Iowa for a strategy that can gain him momentum. It seems that S. Carolina and Michigan are the keys to keeping his campaign going against the greater possible expenditures of Dean. Gephardt expects to be outspent two to one in Iowa. Dean has not yet made a push in S. Carolina and the Boston Globe covers the state’s field of candidates and their standing and offers this insight about Dean in the state: 

Moreover, his campaign's vaunted use of technology as an organizing tool does not seem to be as effective here. Several websites of Dean supporters in the state show modest activity, and the last entry posted on the SC for Howard Dean weblog was dated Aug. 4.

Gephardt has big plans for the Feb. 3 round, according to Gephardt’s campaign manager:

But Gephardt has other prospects on Feb. 3, and his campaign manager, Steve Murphy, predicts he will win the most states and the most delegates that day -- an accomplishment that could create momentum during the intense month of primaries that follows.

Gephardt's home state of Missouri, with 74 delegates, is the biggest prize, and none of his opponents is contesting him there. Gephardt is the only candidate to have stumped in North Dakota, a caucus state with 14 delegates up for grabs. Clark is scheduled to make an appearance today. There, Gephardt has three paid staff working and was endorsed this week by 11 state legislators, one-fourth of the state's Democratic lawmakers.

In Oklahoma (40 delegates), where Lieberman has won some major endorsements, Gephardt has picked up important labor union backing in recent weeks and has four paid operatives on the ground.

The Globe reports that a major problem for Gephardt could be Wesley Clark’s campaign:

Despite his late entry in the race, Clark is also a major factor, hoping to grab an early win to establish his political legitimacy. He has led in one South Carolina poll, and his background opens doors to about 400,000 military retirees plus a large population of active personnel. He was endorsed recently by former governor Jim Hodges and gained infrastructure when most of Senator Bob Graham's campaign staff and many of his supporters jumped to Clark after the Floridian dropped out of the race on Oct. 6.

The real goods

John Kerry, who has finally become engaged in his campaign, is rolling out the real goods on himself and offering the country his real deal. Kerry’s campaign has launched a two front attack with television ads.  Kerry is taking advantage of the fact that Howard Dean supporters see Kerry stronger on the environment than Dean to run a new ad in Iowa highlighting his record of standing up against special interests to protect our environment. The new ad in New Hampshire is about standing up to Bush and his HMO and drug company friends to lower the costs of prescription drugs and cut the costs of health care.

He has launched a bus tour of New Hampshire where he will outline what he would do in the first 100 days of his Presidency.

“I believe in a Democratic Party of real solutions, of real leaders, that offers a real deal to the American people. I’m running to replace George Bush’s Raw Deal with a Real Deal that stands up to the powerful interests. That’s built on people and products not privileges and perks. And that stands on the side of those who are standing up for what’s right,” said John Kerry.

“It’s a President we’re choosing here. That’s why today I want to lay out some of what I’ll do in the first hundred days of a Kerry Administration to make the Real Deal a reality. In the weeks ahead, I’m going to lay out an Action Plan for the First 100 Days. The specific steps we will take to change America – the steps I will fight for in the early days of a Kerry Presidency.”

And the real deal would:

1. ban lobbying for five years

We will reinstate the five-year ban on lobbying so that government officials - like Bush’s former campaign manager and FEMA director - cannot cash in by peddling influence. We will also shine the light on the secret deals in Washington by requiring every meeting with a lobbyist or any special interest deal inserted into a bill by a lobbyist be made public.

2. First major legislative affordable health care

John Kerry’s first major proposal to Congress will be a realistic plan that stops spiraling healthcare costs, covers every child in America, and makes it possible for every American to get the same health care as any Member of Congress.

3. Reward companies that create jobs not phony corporate profits

We will work to reward companies that create jobs by helping with health care costs, a new manufacturing jobs tax credit and new assistance for small businesses. We will also close every single loophole for companies that take jobs offshore and apply new criminal penalties, such as RICO penalties, on companies that defraud their customers and workers.

4. A new national education trust fund

We will propose a National Education Trust Fund to make sure that, for the first time ever, we fully fund our schools so they have the tools to assure our kids can succeed in the 21st century economy. We will make a new deal on education – if Washington is going to mandate something for our schools, then the funding should be mandatory.

5. End of an era of Ashcroft

John Ashcroft has launched an all-out assault on individual rights, allowing for a wholesale invasion of attorney-client conversations, e-mails and telephone calls. Immediately after the election, John Kerry will name a new Attorney General whose name is not John Ashcroft. We will also fight to protect women’s rights, civil rights and workers rights and enforce anti-trust laws.

6. Repeal Bush assault on the environment &make US energy independent

We will rollback the George W. Bush assault on clean air and clean water and work to strengthen our nation’s environmental laws. Kerry will also put forward a plan to make the U.S. energy independent of Middle East oil in ten years—and create 500,000 jobs by investing in energy renewable sources, such as ethanol, solar, and wind.

7. A new era of national service

John Kerry will call on Americans of all ages – from students to America’s seniors - to serve in our classrooms, after school programs, nursing homes and nursery schools. We will fight to allow students to earn four years of college tuition in exchange for two years of national service. His plan will require mandatory national service for high school kids and enlist a million Americans in service a year.

8. Create a middle class economy and end the privileged class economy

We will fight to repeal the Bush tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans so that we can invest in education and health care. We will also protect middle class tax cuts, such as the child credit and the elimination of the marriage penalty and propose additional tax credits to help middle class families make ends meet.

9. Cut the deficit in half in four years

We will put forward a budget to restore fiscal sanity, eliminate corporate welfare, and cut the deficit in half in four years. However, we will keep our compact to seniors by securing Medicare and Social Security and protecting our children and veterans.

10. Rejoin the community of nations

We will immediately declare the Bush policy of unilateralism over and work to rebuild our shattered alliances all across the globe. We will launch a successful war against terrorism and also restore trust here at home and abroad by making sure that America always tells the whole truth.

Edwards endorsed by educators

The Edwards for President campaign announced that the North Carolina Association of Educators (NCAE) has recommended Senator John Edwards for president. The educators offered the following comments:

"John Edwards supports public education in his personal as well as public life," said Carolyn McKinney, president of the NCAE. "He not only says the right things, he does the right thing for students and educators. As a senator, he listens to the concerns of educators and follows through with proposals for action. NCAE particularly appreciates his intent to fix and fund the No Child Left Behind (NCLB) legislation."

This is a big boost to Edwards in a state that he must win given that presently indications are that he will come in fourth in Iowa and is unlikely to reach the top three in New Hampshire.

Edwards to visit every county in Iowa

The Edwards’ campaign announced that Sen. John Edwards will campaign in all 99 Iowa counties by the end of the year, despite spending fewer days in Iowa to date than Dick Gephardt, Howard Dean, and John Kerry. Edwards follows Dean in being the first to campaign in all 99 counties. It is likely that Edwards and Dean will be the only two candidates to accomplish this. However, Gephardt could decide to duplicate this campaign ritual. Edward,s commenting on the commitment to visit every county, stated:

"Iowa is an extremely important component to my overall campaign. I am very proud that I have been able to take my campaign from a community center in Des Moines to a living room in Sac City and will be able to meet caucus goers in every single Iowa county as a result," Edwards said. "I grew up in a small, rural community in North Carolina, and so I know about the issues facing small towns and rural communities firsthand. I have a strong commitment to revitalizing rural areas, and I look forward to sharing my ideas directly with caucus-goers in all 99 counties."

Edwards responds to Republican ad

The Republican National Committee's new ad is misleading, and it implies that Democrats across the country are not committed to fighting terrorism. This ad is morally reprehensible - it is wrong to suggest Democrats are attacking the president for attacking the terrorists. The RNC is using this ad to disguise the truth: that this administration has not done all that it can and should to secure our ports and borders, assist our first responders, and protect our chemical and nuclear power plants.

"The recent attacks in Turkey show that the terrorists are growing stronger. Instead of running ads that do nothing to make this country stronger and safer, the RNC should demand that this administration do more to invest in the security of our nation," said John Edwards.

Edwards: Bush a turkey

Edwards is offering campaign contributors a premium of a T-shirt with President Bush’s head on the body of a turkey during these Thanksgiving times. It is his way of saying that he is thankful for the contribution. However, the King of the trial lawyers contribution is being a turkey by suggesting that other Democrat candidates agree to a ban on contributions from Washington lobbyist. Edwards should try to see the hypocrisy.

Not looking good for Edwards

With John Kerry making statewide media buys after foregoing spending caps it begins to look more difficult for John Edwards. Edwards needs to make it to N. Carolina and win to establish himself as the candidate of the South and the heir to those delegates on the convention floor. The two big winners of Edwards’ failure to make to N. Carolina would be Dick Gephardt and Wesley Clark. The Raleigh News Observer did an in-depth on Edwards’ chances:

Most recent polls have shown Edwards running fourth in Iowa, and Hanna said Edwards has a shot at third. That would set him up to survive New Hampshire and send him to South Carolina ready to emerge, he argued.

"You can see the path," Hanna said.

But how realistic is it? And how daunting are the obstacles?

One prominent pollster, John Zogby, said Edwards' numbers have risen enough in recent weeks to catch his attention. Zogby said Edwards' chance of capturing the nomination are "remote" -- though not implausible.

Lieberman door-to-door

The Joe Lieberman for President Campaign today announced a weeklong all-out canvassing blitz covering more than 10,000 households in 13 towns and cities across New Hampshire's North Country.

"The Lieberman Campaign is on a mission in the North Country," said Lieberman's NH State Director Peter Greenberger. "We will leave no stone unturned, no door un-knocked and no question in any Granite Stater's mind that Joe Lieberman should be the next President of the United States."

Clark & Clinton

The Associated Press has a story on the uncanny similarities between Wesley Clark and Bill Clinton. The resemblance is more than being from Arkansas, Rhodes Scholars, adopted, married Northern women, modest origins. You get the picture… and to get more, use the link. 

Job loss real

Wesley Clark took on Commerce Secretary Lane Evans article in the Wall Street Journal:

According to the Wall Street Journal, Commerce Secretary Evans said it's "one of the great myths" that anything is wrong with the U.S. manufacturing sector.

General Wesley Clark disagrees:

"Mr. Secretary, manufacturing job loss is no myth. Under the Bush administration, 2.6 million manufacturing jobs have been lost. New Hampshire lost 1 in 5 factory jobs. South Carolina lost 55,000. The Bush administration hasn't done anything to help the manufacturing sector, and now we know why-they don't even think it's a problem."

Kucinich as an Independent

There is talk of Dennis Kucinich running as an Independent after the primaries. This of course presupposes the obvious that Kucinich is not going to win his party’s nomination. There is one drawback to his doing this and it come from the fact he would have to give up his Congressional seat that he is also running for -- or maybe the Democrats in his District wouldn’t be mad at him for destroying their Presidential candidate’s hopes. They certainly haven’t forgotten Ralph Nader. Here is what MSNBC First Read says:

On Kucinich’s USA Today comments that the Democratic party “doesn’t have a compass” and that he rejects “where the party has gone,” embed Karin Caifa gets this elaboration from the campaign press secretary: Kucinich’s remarks were “not an attack, but an attempt to reform” the party. “He believes that in order for the Democratic Party to win, it has to reclaim what Senator Wellstone called the ‘Democratic wing of the Democratic Party... Democrats are not going to excite third-party voters or attract blue-collar Republicans if they stay ‘Republican-Lite.’” Caifa notes Kucinich has been actively courting third-party voters, receiving endorsements from members and leaders of the Natural Law Party, the Green Party, and the Libertarian Party. Kucinich insists his run for the presidency will be as a Democrat and only a Democrat, but some supporters have told Caifa they hope to see him further his bid past the primaries by being an Independent.

Kucinich would close School of Americas

Dennis Kucinich release points out that over the next three days, thousands are expected to protest the School of the Americas in Fort Benning, Ga. (The school has been renamed Western Hemisphere Institute for Security Cooperation.) Presidential Candidate Dennis Kucinich today released the following statement:

"I stand against terror and violence and in solidarity with the victims of the School of the Americas graduates. I support nonviolent demonstration against the SOA. The United States' ability to persuade other nations to investigate terrorism will be strengthened by the closing of a US school that has trained over 60,000 Latin American soldiers to wage war against their own people, against union organizers, religious workers, teachers, and student leaders. As president I will close the School of the Americas."

Kucinich responds to Republican ad

Kucinich points out that a press release from the Republican National Committee states:
"'After 10 months, Democrats running for President have coalesced around policies that are wrong for America. They unanimously oppose the President's policy of pre-emptive self-defense. They unanimously support massive tax increases. The RNC will continue to highlight the differences between the two parties on policy after policy that will provide the American people a clear choice in the next election,' said Ed Gillespie, Chairman of the Republican National Committee." The release provides this text of an advertisement:

PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH: "It would take one vial, one canister, one crate slipped into this country to bring a day of horror like none we have ever known."
ON-SCREEN TEXT: Strong and Principled Leadership
PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH: "Our war against terror is a contest of will in which perseverance is power."
ON-SCREEN TEXT:: Some are now attacking the President for attacking the terrorists.
PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH: "Some have said we must not act until the threat is imminent. Since when have terrorists and tyrants announced their intentions, politely putting us on notice before they strike?"
ON-SCREEN TEXT:: Some call for us to retreat, putting our national security in the hands of others.
ON-SCREEN TEXT: Call Congress Now
ON-SCREEN TEXT: Tell them to support the President's policy of preemptive self-defense.

Presidential Candidate Dennis Kucinich today released the following statement:

"I agree with Ed Gillespie. We need to highlight the differences between our two parties. Not all of the Democratic candidates are doing so, and most of them are supporting the President's policy of keeping our troops in Iraq. I oppose this policy and have a plan to quickly bring our troops home. I also intend to repeal President Bush's tax cuts for the super wealthy but leave in place those small cuts we managed to win for ordinary Americans. The Republican National Committee is using money that derives largely from the wealthiest few in America to pay for advertisements aimed at keeping all Americans scared. We will not be frightened into submission. We will not forget the lies we were told about weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. We will not forget that Iraq had nothing to do with 9-11. We will remember that for the hundreds of billions we are spending on an unjust and destabilizing occupation in Iraq, we could have an investment in American education that would include free pre-kindergarten and free college tuition. We need to get our priorities straight and not give in to the fear-mongering. I offer America the hope of a new approach and a clear choice in the next election."

Sharpton upset

Howard Dean is not the only one upset about his words being used in a campaign ad. Al Sharpton is too, according to the Charlotte Observer:

"I am outraged and disgusted to see the Committee for Justice -- a White House front group -- use my name, my face and my statements in a misleading manner to smear Sen. John Edwards," Sharpton said in a statement. "I am strongly opposed to the nomination of Janice Rogers Brown.

"... Sen. Edwards properly voted against Janice Rogers Brown."

C. Boyden Gray, White House counsel for the first President Bush, created the Committee for Justice. Sean Rushton, the group's executive director, stood by the ad.

"Our ad doesn't claim that Sharpton supports her," he said. "It claims he doesn't support her filibuster."

Poll watching

Kerry falls

Howard Dean remains ahead in New Hampshire at 38 percent in the American Research Group poll, but John Kerry's support dropped 7 percentage points to 17 percent. It is imperative to each that they win New Hampshire. Dean and Clark were the gainers of Kerry falling percentage because Twenty-one percent remained undecided from two weeks earlier.

Wesley Clark –7; Joe Lieberman - 5 percent; John Edwards and Dick Gephardt at 4 percent; Dennis Kucinich – 3; Carol Moseley Braun – 1; Al Sharpton - less than 1.

National Journal Insider poll has Howard Dean moving up with 41 first place votes -- up from 39 votes. Dick Gephardt dropped to 5 first place votes from a previous 8 first place votes but stays in second place. In third place is John Kerry with 0 first place votes. Wesley Clark is in fourth place and John Edwards is fifth place and Lieberman is in sixth place.

The comments for Clark were good: Finally gets good fitness reports. "If he’s really raising as much money as they claim, he’s moving back up my list," said one Insider. "On Sunday’s Meet the Press, we saw the Wes Clark we had hoped to see all along," said another. "He’s worth watching again," added a third.

The comments for Lieberman were bad: Bad karma. "How is he hanging on with all that overhead?" asked one Insider. "Seems like something has to give soon." Said another, "When the only folks who show up for a major campaign event like registering for a primary are your staff, family, and friends, it is possible that it might be time to reconsider the decision."

Time CNN Poll

A national poll shows Bush would win: In a direct run against Bush, Gen. Wesley Clark fares the best among registered voters (Clark 42%, Bush 49%), closely followed by Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry (Kerry 41%, Bush 49%).

Bush would beat any of three other Democrats, 52 percent to 39 percent, in a direct match: Missouri Rep. Dick Gephardt, Connecticut Sen. Joseph Lieberman, or Vermont Gov. Howard Dean. Against Bush, North Carolina Sen. John Edwards would lose, 38 percent to 52 percent.

When registered Democrats are asked which Democratic presidential nominee they would vote for, Dean edges out Clark 14 percent to 12 percent, followed Lieberman (11%), Kerry (9%), Gephardt (6%), then Edwards and the Rev. Al Sharpton (5%).

* ON THE BUSH BEAT:

Bush’s strength

The Associated Press in covering the story of the Republican ad on Democrats attacking Bush for fighting terrorism covers the question of Bush’s strength on the issue.

A new Los Angeles Times poll shows a majority of voters disapprove of the way Bush has handled Iraq, and don't think the outcome there has been worth the number of lives lost. Nevertheless, the opinion survey finds that voters trust Bush to make the right decisions in Iraq, and they give him high marks for his handling of the war on terrorism.

Bush’s belief

President Bush sent shock waves in the Christian right when he answered a British reporter’s question as to whether they worship the same god as Christians, according the Washington Post:

"I do say that freedom is the Almighty's gift to every person," the president replied. "I also condition it by saying freedom is not America's gift to the world. It's much greater than that, of course. And I believe we worship the same god."

The head of the Richard D. Land, president of the public policy arm of the Southern Baptist Convention:

We should always remember that he is commander in chief, not theologian in chief," Land said in a telephone interview yesterday. "The Bible is clear on this: The one and true god is Jehovah, and his only begotten son is Jesus Christ."

American Muslims had a different response:

Sayyid M. Syeed, secretary general of the Islamic Society of North America, responded to Bush's statement with a single word: Alhamdullah, Thanks be to God.

"We read again and again in the Koran that our god is the god of Abraham, the god of Noah, the god of Jesus," he said. "It would not come to the mind of a Muslim that there is a different god that Abraham or Jesus or Moses was praying to."

* THE CLINTON COMEDIES:

Trojan horse

Hillary is ginning up opposition to the Medicare bill. She sent out the following e-mail:

In recent days, I have been trying to study and understand the implications of the Medicare compromise, which totals 1100 pages. In an attempt to hide its worst elements, this bill has been designed to be purposely confusing and cumbersome. Read my full statement at http://activate.friendsofhillary.com/t?ctl=4B3763:1F0AD46

I am astonished and saddened at how this legislation wraps a skimpy drug benefit around many radical elements that will harm Medicare and undermine programs that people need. This bill is a Trojan horse for our seniors!

In medicine, the core ethical principle is the Hippocratic Oath: "First, do no harm." This legislation should be held to the same standard. But this legislation violates the Hippocratic Oath:

> It takes away benefits people already have.

> It forces people to pay more out of pocket for benefits that they already receive.

> It drastically skews the system against traditional Medicare.

This bill is confusing and there's a catch. The catch is: The whole bill is designed to bring about the demise of Medicare.

SPEAK OUT! I have said that Medicare is a promise we made to our seniors, a promise that I am not willing to break. Talk to your friends, your family, your Representatives in Congress and tell them that you will not undermine Medicare. Visit http://activate.friendsofhillary.com/t?ctl=4B3723:1F0AD46 to let us know your thoughts about this Trojan horse of a bill.

* NATIONAL:

There is new religious group in town

A group is forming in opposition to the Christian conservative Christian Coalition -- although the did not say so. But clearly their aims are different from the Christian conservatives according to a CNN story:

The Clergy Leadership Network will help churches, temples and mosques develop voter registration programs, run its own get-out-the-vote drives and, if it has enough money, air issue ads, said the Rev. Albert Pennybacker, the group's president and chief executive. He is former president of the Interfaith Alliance.

The group, which includes Jews, Muslims and Christians, will counter the conservative voice of Christian groups such as the Christian Coalition, said Pennybacker, who belongs to the Disciples of Christ, a Protestant denomination.

Network leaders stop short of saying they want a Democrat in the White House after next year's elections, but make it clear they want a change in leadership, including the president and the Republican-controlled Congress.

Trade war clouds

The Washington Times covers Alan Greesnpan’s warning about trade wars threats to the American and global economy. This comes at a time when most Democrats are campaigning on protectionism and the President announced tariffs against China on textiles. The Times story opens with:

Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan warned yesterday that "creeping protectionism" in the United States and elsewhere threatens the world economy and will make it harder for the United States to finance its massive trade deficits.

His comments came as China announced it might impose tariffs on imports from the United States in retaliation for U.S. tariffs on steel imports that have been ruled illegal by the World Trade Organization. The mini-trade war with China was sparked Tuesday by President Bush's decision to slap quotas on some Chinese clothing imports.

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