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Iowa Presidential Watch's

IOWA DAILY REPORT

Holding the Democrats accountable today, tomorrow...forever.

Our Mission: to hold the Democrat presidential candidates accountable for their comments and allegations against President George W. Bush, to make citizens aware of false statements or claims by the Democrat candidates, and to defend the Bush Administration and set the record straight when the Democrats make false or misleading statements about the Bush-Republican record.

THE DAILY REPORT for Wednesday, October 15, 2003

... QUOTABLE:

  • “Roughly 70 percent of Democratic primary voters nationally are 50 or older, according to AARP. Iowa's Democratic caucus-goers are even older, with 74.4 percent 50 and older and 37 percent 65 and older.” – today’s Des Moines Register.

  • “By raising the issues - often pointedly - in the state where more than a third of Democratic caucus-goers are at least 65 years old, the candidates are demonstrating how competitive the caucus campaign has become and the force seniors pose in Iowa and nationally” – Thomas Beaumont, in Des Moines Register.

  • “…the shift by the United States' toughest critics in the [U.N.] 15-nation council has placed the Bush administration within reach of a diplomatic victory a week after it was on the verge of withdrawing the resolution” – today’s Washington Post.

  • “[members of Congress] are going to be scurrying for shelter, just like a giant flashlight on a bunch of cockroaches.” – Howard Dean, yesterday in Montrose, Iowa.

  • “The White House believes that the recall election has fundamentally shaken the political status quo in California — so much so that Bush stands a chance of carrying the state in 2004” – Los Angeles Times article, on the importance of the Bush-Schwarzenegger meeting tomorrow in Riverside, CA.

  • “Six of the nine Democrat presidential candidates will be in Des Moines today to attend the AARP forum, but Wesley Clark isn’t among them.” – today’s IPW report.

… Among the offerings in today’s update:

  • Desperately seeking seniors’ votes

  • Wesley Clark continues his ‘Retreat from Iowa’ – no show for AARP forum

  • Will John Kerry and John Edwards vote ‘no’ to $87B for Iraq?

  • Bush re-election campaign: $49.5M for last quarter

  • NH polls: Dean strong, Clark waning

  • Dean attacks Kerry on Vietnam bragging

  • U.N. role concession – France, Russia, Germany back down

  • The Congressional Exterminator: Howard Dean

  • Dean hits all 99 counties in Iowa

* CANDIDATES/CAUCUSES:

Six of the nine Democrat presidential candidates will be in Des Moines today to attend the AARP forum, but Wesley Clark isn’t among them. Iowa seniors have received a flurry of attention in recent days, as the Dem candidates compete for caucus voters’ support. Iowa seniors are among the highest percentage of voters in Iowa. The six candidates coming to Des Moines are: John Edwards, John Kerry, Howard Dean, Dick Gephardt, Carol Moseley Braun and Dennis Kucinich. Noticeably missing from the pack is top-tiered candidate Wesley Clark -- further evidence of Clark’s retreat from Iowa. Why is Clark a no-show today? IPW is uncertain. Is it part of Clark’s ‘Retreat from Iowa’ or is it part of Clark’s lack of stance on issues? Overall media consensus on Clark has been that he is weak and/or lacks of positions on domestic issues.

Howard Dean was in Montrose, Iowa, yesterday declaring himself tantamount to the ‘Congressional Exterminator.’ According to an article in today’s New York Times, Dean is quoted as saying that if he won, members of Congress were “going to be scurrying for shelter, just like a giant flashlight on a bunch of cockroaches.” The article cites the question prompting Dean’s statement: how would Dean handle Congress and the entrenched Beltway bureaucracy. Excerpts from NY Times: “Howard Dean, who is increasingly giving his presidential candidacy an anti-Washington cast, cranked up his rhetoric on Tuesday, saying that if he won, members of Congress were "going to be scurrying for shelter, just like a giant flashlight on a bunch of cockroaches." …The remark was one of dozens of sharp comments about "Washington politicians" that Dr. Dean, the former governor of Vermont, tossed out in a 15-hour, nine-city, 329-mile sprint across Iowa, as he intensified his effort to separate himself from the pack by claiming the "outsider" mantle. … Dr. Dean said: "We need to clean house in Washington. That's what this campaign is about." At lunchtime in Mount Ayr, he responded to a question about whether he had a bad temper by saying, "The problem is, everybody gets along and goes along in Washington, and nothing ever happens."

Iowa, with its disproportionately high percentage of senior citizens, is getting the political ‘rush’ as top contenders squabble and vie for the Democratic Party’s nomination for president. The high number of seniors and the fact that seniors are far more prone to vote creates quite a potent combination when the caucuses come around. The Des Moines Register’s Thomas Beaumont takes a look at the situation in today’s Register, headlined, “Seniors’ issues grab center stage.” Excerpts: “… Missouri Rep. Dick Gephardt has signaled his willingness to broaden his assault on former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean's commitment to Medicare today, as the AARP hosts six of the candidates at an issue forum in Des Moines. …Dean has come to Iowa to unveil proposals for long-term nursing home care and importing from Canada cheaper prescription drugs for seniors … By raising the issues - often pointedly - in the state where more than a third of Democratic caucus-goers are at least 65 years old, the candidates are demonstrating how competitive the caucus campaign has become and the force seniors pose in Iowa and nationally … Last month, Gephardt chose Iowa to first criticize Dean's 1995 support of a proposal by the Republican-led Congress to cut $270 billion from Medicare, which led to President Clinton's veto and the subsequent shutdown of the federal government. Dean supported the cuts and, as head of the National Governors Association, sharply criticized Medicare's administration as inefficient. Because of those positions, Gephardt linked Dean with then-House Speaker Newt Gingrich, the polarizing Republican who led the fight for the cuts. Dean has said he supported the cuts to save the program from going bankrupt and that Clinton, two years later, adopted the same view by signing a budget agreement that cut Medicare. … Roughly 70 percent of Democratic primary voters nationally are 50 or older, according to AARP. Iowa's Democratic caucus-goers are even older, with 74.4 percent 50 and older and 37 percent 65 and older.

Senators Kerry and Edwards have both given signals of ‘no’ votes, regarding the requested $87 billion to rebuild Iraq. According to a Thomas Beaumont article in today’s Des Moines Register, Edwards says he’s dissatisfied with the Bush administration’s current plan. The article quotes Edwards as saying, “I believe this is a vote where, if I vote yes, it would be the equivalent of giving a stamp of approval to what this president is doing now. And I do not agree with what he’s doing now.” Meanwhile, Kerry’s attempt to link a repeal of income tax cuts (for the top brackets) failed, prompting this response from Kerry, “As I said on Sunday, unless this proposal is changed to better protect taxpayer dollars and shares the burden and risk of transforming Iraq with the United Nations and the rest of the international community, then I will oppose it.” The article goes on to say that Senator Joe Lieberman planned to vote for the measure. It is expected that the Senate will take a vote on the proposed $87 billion for Iraq this Friday, with the measure then heading into the House of Representatives, where Gephardt is expected to vote for it and Kucinich against.

Howard Dean is clearly campaigning hard in Iowa. He not only is currently sending in seniors from Vermont to Iowa, but is also working hard on the Iowa party activists. And, notably, Dean is the only presidential candidate who has visited all – yes, all – of Iowa’s 99 counties. Dean recently participated in the Lee County Democrats’ annual picnic in Montrose, Iowa. Montrose is a community of about 1,000 people. It is in the far southeast part of Iowa and is just across the Mississippi River from Nauvoo, Ill.--  for those who know their Mormon history. … A review of the local newspaper, The Burlington Hawkeye, is proof that Democratic presidential candidate Howard Dean is waging an aggressive grassroots effort against rival Dick Gephardt’s union strength.  The following is a quote from a letter from Lee County Dean Co-Chair Larry Jackson in the Hawkeye:

“Being a unionist, I have listened to all of the potential candidates and have concluded that Howard Dean is the best candidate of the Democratic candidates. Howard Dean has been listening to what Iowans need and he has a history of creating jobs and rejuvenating cities and towns. Vermont has a minimum wage nearly $2 above our own minimum in Iowa. Vermont guarantees health care for all children so that doesn't have to be a part of labor negotiations.” … “Iowa's union members have had plenty of candidates come by and make promises. They know how to separate the doers from the talkers. Howard Dean has a record of getting things done and his supporters recognize that.”

… New Hampshire’s undecided voters remain at the same levels – about 30 percent – as they were this summer. And their initial zeal for newcomer candidate Wesley Clark appears to have waned. Today’s UnionLeader.com takes a look at the situation. Excerpts: “Two prominent New Hampshire pollsters say former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean, the front-runner in the state’s leadoff primary race, is doing the best job among the Democratic candidates attracting independent voters. But, say Dick Bennett and Rich Killion, the majority of independents remain undecided. The pollsters say this group is largely undecided not only about which of the Democratic Presidential candidates they will vote for, but also whether they will vote in the Democratic primary at all. Both pollsters say retired Gen. Wesley Clark, the newcomer to the race, has a resume that may attract independent voters, especially moderates who supported Republicans in other elections. But they say he appears to have already lost momentum generated by his entry into the race on Sept. 17. …. In Bennett’s latest New Hampshire poll, issued last Thursday, Dean was favored by 29 percent of likely Democratic primary voters, while Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry was favored by 19 percent. No other candidate was favored by more than 6 percent of likely voters. The poll sample included 413 Democrats, or 69 percent, and 187 independents, or 31 percent. …Killion said Dean’s overall performance is especially strong “when you consider that he has not been on the air (advertising) for the past month. That hasn’t affected his polling. He’s still the front-runner and isn’t losing an inch on the ballot test.”

Howard Dean is rat-a-tat-attacking rival John Kerry on his vacillating views on the important of his service in Vietnam. Here are some excerpts from the article in today’s The Hill: “Howard Dean’s presidential campaign sharply criticized Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.) yesterday for seemingly flip-flopping on the importance of serving in Vietnam in presidential politics. Kerry seeks to distinguish himself from his White House rivals — both Democratic and Republican — by drawing attention to his war record. But this emphasis stands in marked contrast to his past utterances about service in Vietnam as a qualification for the highest office. … On numerous occasions this year, Kerry cited his distinguished war record as a decisive factor in who should be the nominee.” More excerpts: 

Kerry now:

·        “There are some people in high office today who pulled strings to get into the National Guard.” President Bush served as a pilot in the Air National Guard.”

·        “I think I stand here with a broader base of experience, both in domestic affairs and in foreign affairs, than any other person.”

·        “I am the only person running for this job who has actually fought in a war.” 

Kerry then

·        “I am saddened by the fact that Vietnam has yet again been inserted into the campaign, and that it has been inserted in what I feel to be the worst possible way… What saddens me most is that Democrats, above all those who shared the agonies of that generation, should now be re-fighting the many conflicts of Vietnam in order to win the current political conflict of a presidential primary.” Feb. 27, 1992 (during the Bill Clinton-Bob Dole presidential battle)

·        “Is your desire to hold office really so great that you would betray your own sense of decency and fairness? Is your desperation now really so great that you would adopt a conscious strategy of reopening and pouring salt on some of the most painful wounds that our nation has ever expected? “You and I know that if service or non-service in the war is to become a test of qualification for high office, you would not have a vice president, nor would you have a secretary of defense, and our nation would never recover from the divisions created by that war.” Kerry again defending Clinton from remarks by then-President George H.W. Bush.

* ON THE BUSH BEAT:

President Bush’s re-election campaign has released last quarter’s fundraising numbers, showing $49.5 million for the period. This puts the Bush total at $70 million, thus far, according to the Des Moines Register. Today is the FEC deadline for filing of campaign finance reports. As expected, President Bush’s campaign will not be taking public financing for the 2004 race. Democratic rivals Howard Dean and John Kerry have also indicated the possibility of  opting out of public financing – a move that could position them with more, rather than less, ‘war chest’ money.

Bush and Schwarzenegger to meet tomorrow in Riverside, California to test the waters of mutual support. In an article in today’s Los Angeles Times, the first meeting of President Bush and California governor-elect Arnold Schwarzenegger is characterized as holding great potential for both men. Excerpts: “When President Bush shakes hands with California Gov.-elect Arnold Schwarzenegger on Thursday in Riverside, the event will be as scripted as if Bush were meeting a foreign head of state. There will be attire to coordinate: Bush is usually buttoned-down and wearing a tie; Schwarzenegger tends to distain neckwear. There will be the setting to arrange — one that doesn't dwarf the president's runner-trim frame to disadvantage against the bodybuilder governor-elect. More important, for the last several days, both sides have been carefully negotiating what each can deliver politically. Schwarzenegger has made clear that he wants Bush to help cover California's budget deficit — the issue that looks likely to decide the success or failure of his governorship. For his part, Bush wants Schwarzenegger to lead a resurgence of the Republican Party in California — a movement that might just allow the president to win the state's large number of electoral votes in his reelection bid next year. … some California officials clearly are excited by the meeting. "It's the start of turning the economy around in California," said Kevin McCarthy of Bakersfield, the incoming state Assembly GOP leader. "You've got to have a dialogue start with Washington." It's a dialogue Bush also is eager to begin. The White House believes that the recall election has fundamentally shaken the political status quo in California — so much so that Bush stands a chance of carrying the state in 2004.

* WAR/TERROR:

According to an article in today’s Washington Post, the U.N. has backed off demands to have a central role in the reconstruction of Iraq. Excerpts: “France, Russia and Germany on Tuesday dropped their demands that the United States grant the United Nations a central role in Iraq's reconstruction and yield power to a provisional Iraqi government in the coming months. The move constituted a major retreat by the Security Council's chief antiwar advocates, and signaled their renewed willingness to consider the merits of a U.S. resolution aimed at conferring greater international legitimacy on its military occupation of Iraq. All three countries seem willing to accept a resolution that would retain U.S. authority over Iraq's political future while extending only a symbolic measure of sovereignty to Iraqis. But a major sticking point remains: The three governments made new demands, including setting a timetable for ending the U.S. military occupation in Iraq and strengthening the Security Council's role in monitoring Iraq's political transition. Still, the shift by the United States' toughest critics in the 15-nation council has placed the Bush administration within reach of a diplomatic victory a week after it was on the verge of withdrawing the resolution … U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan said he was disappointed with the resolution because it does not set the stage for a swift transfer of power to a provisional Iraqi government, but said he could live with it.  


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