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Iowa Presidential Watch's

IOWA DAILY REPORT

Holding the Democrats accountable today, tomorrow...forever.

Our Mission: to hold the Democrat presidential candidates accountable for their comments and allegations against President George W. Bush, to make citizens aware of false statements or claims by the Democrat candidates, and to defend the Bush Administration and set the record straight when the Democrats make false or misleading statements about the Bush-Republican record.

THE DAILY REPORT for Sunday, October 19, 2003

... QUOTABLE:

"We're going to have to limit the growth of entitlement programs. We don't have to cut,"  -- Howard Dean, during the taping of "Iowa Press at Iowa Public Television.

"You cannot make cuts, slowdowns in growth or changes. They're all words that mean the same thing. It winds up to be cuts in benefits or increases in costs." – Dick Gephardt, responding to Howard Dean’s Medicare entitlements statement (see above)

"What entitlement is Howard Dean going to reduce? What is he planning to reduce to balance his budget? To balance the budget today the way Howard Dean is talking about it is to promise greater cuts than at the moment he stood with Newt Gingrich." – John Kerry

“…Clark represents the fantasy candidate and I don’t think that he has come down to earth yet,” -- Eleanor Clift, regular panelist on “The McLaughlin Group,” responding to the question of whether she is surprised by Clark’s high standing in the polls.

"As usual, Congressman Gephardt's Washington insider's handbook has steered him in the wrong direction," said Sarah Leonard, Dean's Iowa spokeswoman, rejecting Gephardt’s claims that NAFTA has cost the state of Vermont more than 1,600 jobs and had caused a 38 percent drop in foreign exports.

"Our economy can turn around, and it will turn around, but we need to put jobs back at the top of the nation's agenda. For most people, a jobless recovery is just a fancy term for recession." – John Kerry

"I think Kucinich is attractive to some progressive voters, however, a lot of us concluded a long time ago that Kucinich doesn't stand a chance of receiving the Democratic Party nomination. It's not going to happen, so why bother." -- David Larson, a Green Party spokesman from Waterloo.

"I get the feeling that some Democrats had so much hatred for Bush that they had no hatred left over for Saddam," David Brooks, former Weekly Standard writer who recently became a New York Times columnist.

… Among the offerings in today’s update:

Dean campaign hit by elderly quake

Gephardt starts Democrat Trade War

Bad news for Democrats

Kerry focuses on jobs

Arab’s prefer Dean

Dean vs. Gephardt

Dean as Schwarzenegger?

Kucinich remains out-there

Sharpton profiled

Bush corner

* CANDIDATES/CAUCUSES:

Dean campaign hit by elderly quake

A major fault line developed over the weekend between Dean and the unholy alliance of Gephardt and Kerry. (Iowa Presidential Watch has reported in the past regarding the unacknowledged agreement to gang up on Dean.) Dean touched the third-rail of American political fault lines and stated that he would consider slowing the rate of growth of entitlements. Can you say Social Security cuts? He did so while discussing balancing the budget this weekend on Iowa Public Televisions program, “Iowa Press.” "We don't know what numbers are going to fall where," Dean said in an interview Saturday. "The only thing I can tell you is we'll balance the budget faster than any other candidate, and we will not make any cuts in any major programs." Rival presidential candidates Rep. Dick Gephardt of Missouri and Sen. John Kerry of Massachusetts were quick to reframe Dean as being wrong not to take Medicare off the table. Dean said he wants to balance the federal budget within five years and admitted disagreement within his campaign staff over whether it can be done as quickly as he would like, he said. "We're having a big internal fight about it. I want to do it as soon as possible," Dean said during "Iowa Press." "My goal is five years. Some people say it can't be done for six. Some say seven." Dean has already been taking flack on Medicare because as chairman of the National Governors Association in 1995, Dean endorsed a Republican-led effort in Congress to reduce Medicare spending in order to balance the federal budget and save the federal health insurance program. His current statement can only be causing huge internal. Dean did receive some cover from the AARP political director Mike Naylor. Reducing Medicare's rate of growth doesn't necessarily mean cuts in benefits, said Naylor. When you talk about cuts and slowing the rate of growth, there are a lot of ways you can do that," Naylor said. "In fairness to Dean, leaving Medicare on the table covers an awful lot of options." Iowa Presidential Watch predicts Gephardt will pull ahead of Dean in the next Iowa Caucus poll. We also predict that Dean will very soon be running an add showing that seniors in Vermont have prescription health coverage.

Gephardt starts Democrat Trade War

James Q. Lynch reporter for the Cedar Rapids Gazette said that Dick Gephardt touched off a trade war among Democrats running for president Saturday when he lumped his rivals with President Bush for failing to stand up for American workers by supporting NAFTA and other trade agreements that have cost Iowa and the nation jobs. Gephardt singled out Senator John Edwards for the first time in the speech in Cedar Rapids Union Hall. Gephardt cited Senators Edwards, Lieberman and Kerry’s vote to normalize trade relations with China. "Most disappointing on this issue was Sen. Edwards," Gephardt said. "The Carolinas have been devastated by our current trade policies." "Rep. Gephardt's misleading attack is clearly a response to Sen. Edwards' rising popularity in Iowa," said Edwards' campaign spokeswoman Jennifer Palmieri. "Textile workers in the Carolinas will tell you no one has been a stronger advocate for them than Sen. John Edwards." Edwards did seem to be making strides in Iowa and has been running an effective campaign ad on Iowa television stations. His new ad doesn’t reference the fact that his “daddy was a mill worker.”  Gephardt actions on NAFTA are seen as continuing to position himself as the union candidate. He is the one candidate in the field of nine who knows how to speak the union language. "When a worker loses his job in the Square D plant in Cedar Rapids because his plant closed and moved to Mexico, it hurts all of us," he said. "When workers lose their jobs in the high tech sector -- the jobs of the future -- to low-wage workers all across the world, it hurts all of us.” "And when Mexican families live in cardboard houses next to open polluted drain age ditches, it also hurts all of us."

Bad news for Democrats

Opinion Dynamics Corporation conducted the national telephone poll of registered voters October 14-15 and found that over half of voters are still clearly unfamiliar with most of the contenders and have no opinion of them, according to FoxNews.com, "This race is still wide open," comments Opinion Dynamics President John Gorman. "While Clark has a resume advantage and Dean has a money advantage, the majority of Americans and of Democrats simply does not know these people well enough to make a choice."

Kerry focuses on jobs

AP story today highlights Kerry’s newest try to bring attention back to his campaign. Kerry, a Massachusetts senator, toured a community college job training site in Waterloo, Iowa, as he spelled out what he would do to support job training and education and invest in high-tech industries likely to create jobs. He put no price tag on the idea. His proposal includes giving $25 billion to the states in each of two years to help avoid soaring college tuition that have blocked many from higher education and tax credits for college tuition and vocational training. Kerry said the help to the states is needed because a sour economy and deep tax cuts pushed by President Bush have left them with cumulative budget shortfalls of up to $90 billion.

Arab’s prefer Dean

While the Arab community booed and hissed Lieberman they clearly are backing Dean in the presidential horse race according to The Washington Post. An assemblage of politically active Arab Americans gave former Vermont governor Howard Dean repeated ovations Saturday at the windup of a two-day meeting that marked a clear shift of allegiance from President Bush to his Democratic rivals. Dean got by far the warmest response of any of the seven presidential hopefuls who addressed the 300 people attending the national leadership conference of the Arab American Institute (AAI), a Washington-based advocacy group. But every Democratic speaker was applauded for criticizing the administration's policies in the Middle East and especially for the anti-terrorism tactics of Attorney General John D. Ashcroft, condemned by participants in a morning panel as targeting immigrants from Muslim countries and routinely violating their civil liberties. The political tilt of the nominally

Dean vs. Gephardt

The Washington Times is predicting the race is already winnowed to two. "This race is still wide open," comments Opinion Dynamics President John Gorman. "While Clark has a resume advantage and Dean has a money advantage, the majority of Americans and of Democrats simply does not know these people well enough to make a choice." There is unexpected agreement in this prediction from Pat Buchanan who knows first hand about Iowa Caucuses.

Dean as Schwarzenegger?

Des Moines Register feature cartoon shows Dean imitating the “Terminator.” Check it out: http://desmoinesregister.com/duffy//.

Kucinich remains out-there

Planet Kucinich was heard from again. Lee Enterprise reporter Kathie Obradovich reported on Kucinich’s performance. "I think he says all the right things for a lot of the groups that matter, especially labor and peace activists, but clearly there are not enough folks at the moment who are willing to caucus for him," said David Loebsack, a Democratic activist and political science professor at Cornell College. While Dean likes to say he's from the Democratic wing of the Democratic Party, Kucinich argues he's the rightful tenant of that turf. Instead of merely opposing the war in Iraq, Kucinich says he'd cut the Pentagon budget 15 percent and establish a Department of Peace. While many candidates call for expanding access to health care, Kucinich pushes for a government-run, single-payer system his opponents say can't pass Congress. While all candidates talk about improving trade and workers' rights around the globe, Kucinich pledges to scrap the World Trade Organization and NAFTA.

Sharpton profiled

The controversial Presidential Candidate Al Sharpton is profiled in the Des Moines Register. The article by Lynn Okamoto begins with a photo of Sharpton being arrested in St. Louis, Mo. While the article highlights Rev. Sharpton’s controversial civil rights career, the interesting quotes are regarding Sharpton’s effect on potential black voters.  Register quotes: “If Al Sharpton were not in this race, I don’t know if some of the issues that candidates are forced to deal with would be dealt with,” said Kwesisi Mfume, a former Maryland Congressman who is president of the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People. Iowa State Rep. Wayne Ford co-chairman of the Brown and Black Presidential Forum, predicts there will be more blacks participating in the Iowa caucuses than ever in light of the recent election of a black man, Ako Abdul Samad to the Des Moines school board. He [Ford] also pointed out that two blacks – Sharpton and Sen. Carol Moseley Braun – have stayed in the presidential race, while Florida Sen. Bob Graham has dropped out. But Abduhl-Samad, the Muslim imam who founded the Creative Vision social services agency in Des Moines is not optimistic about a black candidate’s chances in the race for president. He instead is leaning toward supporting Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich. “It’s unfortunate that this country is not ready for an African-American candidate, nor a woman,” said Abdul-Samad. “We have to say, ‘This is the beginning, this is a process.’ It’s unfortunate, but it’s reality. Sharpton has raised $272,705 this year. He is ranked last among the nine candidates. A recent Des Moines Register poll taken in late July showed that 55 percent of Iowans had an unfavorable impression of him. Ten percent had a favorable impression, while 35 percent weren't sure.

* ON THE BUSH BEAT:

Bush corner

Recent articles have begun to examine liberal left’s downright hatred of Bush. Mainstream journalism, with its traditional parameters, has somehow failed to connect with the notion that there are lots of Americans who walk around sputtering about Dubya -- despite fairly healthy approval ratings for a third-year incumbent. The press was filled with stories about Clinton-haters, but Bush-hating is either more restrained or more out of control, depending on who's keeping score.

 

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