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Iowa Presidential Watch's

IOWA DAILY REPORT

Holding the Democrats accountable today, tomorrow...forever.

Our Mission: to hold the Democrat presidential candidates accountable for their comments and allegations against President George W. Bush, to make citizens aware of false statements or claims by the Democrat candidates, and to defend the Bush Administration and set the record straight when the Democrats make false or misleading statements about the Bush-Republican record.

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PAGE 1                                                                                                                   Thursday, September 4, 2003


GWB

“An ordinary president would be reeling from these setbacks. But while Bush's stratospheric popularity ratings have returned to the normal range, he is no ordinary president.” Columnist Robert Kuttner, writing about the challenges facing GWB as the ’04 campaign starts

DEM

“Harkin conceded that one difficulty he faced was making sure enough Democratic senators are in town for the vote, which may not come until next week. Four of them are running for president and often are on the road campaigning.” CNN/AP report on Harkin vowing to lead fight against overtime rules, but acknowledging that some Dem wannabes keep wandering away

HILLARY

 “After Hillary Clinton's book came out, people said they would rather vote for her than the candidates who are actually running. To me, that's a scary thought.Iowan Rhonda Schwarzkopf, commenting in the New York Times

DEAN

“John Ashcroft is not a patriot.” Dean


“Howard Dean is a cruel and extremist demagogue…John Ashcroft loves America more than Howard Dean could ever know.”House GOP Leader Tom DeLay


“Dean strategists, relishing the latest poll that shows the former Vermont governor beating Kerry by 21 points, want a quick TKO.” – Boston Herald report

KERRY

“Kerry was a courageous warrior, but he is a notorious political coward. His long history of equivocation makes him appear irresolute and wishy-washy.” The Union Leader editorial, reacting to Kerry’s announcement statement


“South Carolina is not going to be John Kerry's firewall — but a firestorm. A strategy for a New England liberal to lose in New Hampshire and win in South Carolina is not a strategy at all. It is a delusion. Politically speaking, Sen. Kerry is campaigning while dead. Johnny boy, we hardly knew ya Washington Times columnist Tony Blankley


“Three million jobs lost, too many of them in the heartland. That is an astonishing failure.” – Kerry, in TV spot that will be airing in six Iowa media markets


“It’s hardly the sort of send-off a candidate wants as he begins his grand announcement tour.”Boston Globe columnist Scot Lehigh, commenting on unfavorable news accounts about Kerry’s campaign over recent days

LIEBERMAN

“Nobody believes that Mexican immigration is part of a terrorist threat to America.Lieberman, outlining immigration reform plan yesterday prior to tonight’s Albuquerque debate

CLARK

“I am proud to be a Democrat.” Clark, announcing his party affiliation yesterday after apparently finding his Dem Party membership card at breakfast in a Wheaties box

KUCINICH

“Americans should reject the lies that brought us into Iraq.”Kucinich, during campaign stop on Iowa State University campus in Ames


 “To make matters worse, the battery alarm [in his computer] had begun to beep, forcing him to speed-read before losing his text.” – Quad-City Times’ Kathie Obradovich, reporting on Kucinich’s campaign adventures in Iowa.   

GENERAL NEWS:  Among the offerings in today's update:

  •  Let the games begin – Boston Herald reported yesterday that Kerry is ready for “a breakneck fight to reclaim New Hampshire from an upstart fellow New Englander”

  • The Union Leader, in an editorial, says Kerry’s rhetoric doesn’t match reality

  • Heavyweight battle: Dean and DeLay square off over Ashcroft’s patriotism

  • With Albuquerque wannabe debate tonight targeted toward Hispanics. Lieberman jumps first with an immigration “reform” plan

  • Stop the political presses: Clark announces that he’s a Democrat. Iowa Pres Watch question of the day: Was ever been any doubt that the Little Rock native and Rhodes scholar would want to grow up to be like Bill Clinton?

  • On Iowa State University campus, Kucinich quotes George Bernard Shaw and commits to put U. S. on a course toward peace, jobs and justice

  • Kerry begins TV commercials in Iowa with familiar theme – citing the “astonishing failure” of GWB’s policies

  • Harkin vows to be key player in opposing Bush’s new overtime rules

  • In Boston Globe, columnist Kuttner reports that “this election will rouse the base constituencies of both parties like no election in recent memory. Democrats are in a state of rage about the stolen election of 2000, the gutting of public services, the assault of liberties, the economic damage, the environmental pillaging, and the foreign policy calamity. Republican conservatives, meanwhile, view Bush as Reagan redux, only better.”

  • The Union Leader, in an editorial yesterday, responds to Rush Limbaugh – says, in headline, that “RNC chief rejects GOP traditions”

  • Washington Times columnist Blankley dismisses Kerry’s South Carolina strategy, suggests his proposals won’t play well at The Swamp Fox

  • Boston Globe’s Lehigh says that the fight for the “hearts and minds of Democratic voters” is just beginning with Kerry’s kickoff

  • Congress returns – so it’s time to check on the wannabe voting records again

  • Issue: Washington Times says GOP will force “gay marriage” issue in congress

  • Quad-City Times’ Obradovich reports that Kucinich is engaged in a “balancing act” to attract Iowa caucus support – his message hits the right buttons, but he’s “too liberal or too quirky” to win

All these stories below and more.


Kerry dominates today’s Report as reporters and columnists weigh in with day-after observations about the Mass Sen’s announcement – and prospects. The problem for Kerry: It sounds like they are preparing for a political wake.  From David R. Guarino’s report in the Boston Herald – “Kerry returns to hometown turf -- where allies admit they worry a primary loss to Howard Dean could be a death knell.”…From Washington Times columnist Tony Blankley – “Politically speaking, Sen. Kerry is campaigning while dead. Johnny boy, we hardly knew ya.”…From Boston Globe columnist Scot Lehigh – “The names on the tombstones from campaigns past should be a warning. Names like Edmund Muskie and John Glenn and Bob Kerrey, men who also looked like strong presidential prospects on paper but who left voters cold.”…From Lehigh again – “Now, there's no doubt an element of whistling past the political graveyard in Kerry's profession of optimism.”…From Lehigh once more – “The notion that Kerry is already in some sort of political death spiral misjudges the very nature of presidential politics.

 CANDIDATES & CAUCUSES

Albuquerque Debate Preview: Wannabes rally tonight to focus on Hispanic issues – and voters.  Headline from CNN.com: “Debate gives Democrats chance to court Hispanic voters” Excerpt from advance report by AP’s Leslie Hoffman in Albuquerque: “The Democratic presidential debate is providing the party with a high-profile opportunity to deliver a simple message: ‘Queremos tu voto,’ which translates to ‘we want your vote.’ Hispanics represent the country's largest and fastest growing minority group and securing their votes in the 2004 election is crucial for both political parties. In recognition of that political reality, Democrats are holding Thursday night's televised debate involving the nine candidates in a state with a large Hispanic population - about 42 percent - and a Hispanic governor. Beyond location, the debate will include questions in English and Spanish. It is being co-produced by the country's largest Spanish-language network, Univision, which will air a translated version of the debate on Saturday. Public television will broadcast the debate live with a second audio track in Spanish…New Mexico Democrats hold their presidential caucus Feb. 3. President Bush has long courted Hispanics, often injecting Spanish into his campaign speeches and television ads. While previous Republican presidential nominees failed to break 30 percent among Hispanic voters, Bush secured 35 percent in 2000.”

Lieberman – pretending to be a viable candidate like Dean – tries to steal show before tonight’s Albuquerque debate by calling for immigration reform. The real question: Will any Hispanics – or Dem voters – notice or care? Headline from this morning’s The Union Leader: “Lieberman offers plan for immigration reform” Excerpt from report by AP’s Sam Hananel: “Courting Hispanics, Democratic presidential candidate Joe Lieberman pledged on Wednesday to overhaul immigration laws and offered a plan to grant legal status to some undocumented workers. The Connecticut senator announced his proposals ahead of Thursday's debate among the nine Democratic presidential hopefuls in Albuquerque, N.M…Lieberman's proposal would grant legal status to undocumented workers -- many of them Mexicans-- who have lived in the United States for five years and can pay their taxes, as long as they do not pose a security risk. ‘This is an important initiative to me because it is part of what defines us as Americans,’ Lieberman said in a conference call with reporters. ‘I think America gains strength from new Americans in every way, culturally and economically.’ The senator criticized President Bush for failing to resume immigration talks with Mexican President Vicente Fox that broke off after the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001. ‘Nobody believes that Mexican immigration is part of a terrorist threat to America,’ he said. Lieberman wants to create a temporary work visa program for unskilled and semiskilled workers to fill labor shortages in the construction and service industries. Lieberman said such a program would not take jobs from Americans but would reduce illegal immigration and stop the exploitation of undocumented workers. ‘The first reality that I want to address is that immigrants, particularly from Mexico and from elsewhere who are risking their lives to come to America are coming for economic opportunity and they are finding it,’ Lieberman said. ‘They are doing jobs that are otherwise unfilled.’ The grandson of immigrants, Lieberman said he wants to reduce the backlog of people waiting to join family members who are already legal residents in the United States. Lieberman said he would raise the cap on the number of spouses and minor children of lawful residents who are granted visas. Currently, a legal permanent resident must wait five years or longer to be reunited with family members from overseas. Lieberman promised to reduce government bureaucracy that has slowed the process of issuing immigrant visas, saying homeland security is being used as an excuse to slow down lawful immigration for refugees, spouses and children. Lieberman said greater protection is needed for undocumented immigrants unfairly swept up in the search for terrorists. He cited a Justice Department report criticizing the abuse suffered by many aliens imprisoned for months without access to lawyers or family members. He also proposed a public-private partnership that would raise money to create programs to teach English as a second language and expand existing ones in areas with the greatest need.

Boston report: Kerry’s candidacy announcement signals start of another round of Dean-Kerry encounters. Anticipation grows as the wannabes rally for today’s debate in New Mexico, but Dukakis – remember him? – downplays the Dean phenomenon. Headline from yesterday’s Boston Herald: “Kerry heads back to thwart Dean’s regional challenge” Report – an excerpt – by the Herald’s David R. Guarino:  “Suddenly an underdog in his own backyard, U.S. Sen. John F. Kerry today begins a breakneck fight to reclaim New Hampshire from an upstart fellow New Englander. Fresh from a campaign kickoff in front of a warship in South Carolina, Kerry returns to hometown turf -- where allies admit they worry a primary loss to Howard Dean could be a death knell. Dean strategists, relishing the latest poll that shows the former Vermont governor beating Kerry by 21 points, want a quick TKO.  ‘Kerry has a huge advantage here. If he can't turn that into something, that will mean something,’ said Dean New Hampshire adviser Debbie Butler, a prominent Democrat. ‘If he's not catching on with the people who know him second best, that's trouble.’ Kerry allies said they're not writing off New Hampshire - despite the buzz about Kerry's South Carolina announcement.  On the ground, they're exuding confidence and saying Dean loses because he can't win in the long run. ‘Gov. Dean is striking a chord. He's stirring up a lot of interest that we'll enjoy having in our campaign when we win,’ said William Shaheen, a Kerry adviser, longtime Democrat and husband of former Gov. Jeanne Shaheen. ‘Democrats are now looking at the guy who dislikes George Bush the most. In the end, that's not enough. You need the guy who will beat George Bush.’  Former Bay State Gov. Michael S. Dukakis downplayed the Dean phenomenon and said Kerry can still win the nomination - even with a Granite State loss.  ‘With two other New Englanders in the race, he has to do well but he doesn't have to win,’ Dukakis said. ‘This one is a long-distance race. You want to do well in Iowa and New Hampshire, but it's what happens afterwards that's critical.’”

Must read. DeLay calls Dean “an embarrassment to the democratic process and the Democratic Party.” Under the subhead “DeLay vs. Dean,” Greg Pierce reported yesterday in his “Inside Politics” column in the Washington Post: “House Majority Leader Tom DeLay yesterday condemned the comments of presidential candidate and former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean for saying ‘John Ashcroft is not a patriot.’…’Howard Dean is a cruel and extremist demagogue,’ Mr. DeLay said in a statement. During a campaign appearance in New Hampshire last weekend, Mr. Dean said Mr. Ashcroft ‘is not a patriot’…’John Ashcroft is a descendant of Joseph McCarthy," he said, in a reference to the communist-hunting senator of the 1950s. ‘John Ashcroft loves America more than Howard Dean could ever know.’ Mr. DeLay said. ‘John Ashcroft has sacrificed for his country, and devoted his life to serving it. He is as kind, generous, and patriotic a man as I've ever met. And Howard Dean is as ignorant on John Ashcroft as he is on national security.’ The Texas Republican added: ‘Howard Dean's comments are an embarrassment to the democratic process and the Democrat Party. If this cruel, loudmouth extremist is the cream of the Democrat crop, next November's going to make the 1984 election look like a squeaker.’ Mr. Dean's communications director, Tricia Enright, fired back, the Associated Press reports. ‘The narrow ideological agenda of the DeLay-Ashcroft wing of the Republican Party threatens basic American freedoms that have been enshrined in the Constitution for over 200 years. Those policies are not only extreme, they are cruel," she said.”

Kerry begins TV spots in six Iowa markets.  Excerpts from report – dateline, Des Moines – by AP caucus watcher Mike Glover: “One day after the official launch of his presidential candidacy, Democrat John Kerry unveiled ads for Iowa television that criticize President Bush's economic record. The commercials that will be broadcast in six major media markets in the state include excerpts from the rally Kerry held in Iowa Tuesday night as part of his four-state, two-day swing announcing his bid. Iowa holds its precinct caucuses Jan. 19. ‘Three million jobs lost, too many of them in the heartland,’ Kerry says in one ad. ‘That is an astonishing failure.’ Recent polls in Iowa show Kerry trailing rivals Howard Dean and Dick Gephardt. In one ad, Kerry focuses on his differences with Dean and Gephardt on repealing Bush's tax cuts. The former Vermont governor and Missouri congressman favor eliminating the cuts; Kerry would preserve some of the reductions. ‘If I am president I will roll back the tax cuts for the wealthy so we can invest in education, health care and the skills of our workers,’ the Massachusetts senator says in the ad. ‘We need to be on the side of America's middle class and a tax cut for them is the right way to strengthen our economy.’ Kerry, one of nine candidates seeking the party's nomination, formally announced his candidacy Tuesday in South Carolina and then traveled to Iowa for a series of campaign events. He planned appearances in New Hampshire and Massachusetts Wednesday. ‘I believe the resolve of Americans can break the grip of special interests and bring back jobs and finally open up health care to all,’ Kerry says in one spot that shows Kerry making his announcement to a cheering crowd in downtown Des Moines. Kerry is the fourth Democratic candidate to launch television commercials in Iowa. Dean, Gephardt and Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina have already aired spots in the state.”

OK, Wes Clark decides that he’s a Democrat – but who’s going to tell him it takes more than being an Arkansas guy and Rhodes scholar to become the Dem nominee? Headline from today’s The Union Leader: “Retired general pledges allegiance to Democrats Excerpt from report by AP political staffer Will Lester: “Wesley Clark still won't say definitively whether he will seek the presidency, but the retired Army general finally revealed his political affiliation Wednesday: Democrat. ‘As I looked at where the country is now domestically and look at our policies abroad, I have to say that I'm aligned with the Democratic Party, I like the message the party has. I like what it stands for,’ Clark said in an interview on CNN's ‘Inside Politics.’ For months, the former NATO commander has said he belongs to no political party and is not raising money, though many expected him to enter the Democratic presidential primary. In recent days, Clark has said he is getting closer to a decision and will make his intentions clear before a speech in Iowa Sept. 19. ‘I'm closer to working my way through it, I'm closer to understanding what partisan politics is about,’ he said Wednesday. ‘My family and I are moving toward closure on this issue.’ If Clark enters the race, he would be the 10th Democratic candidate. He would be far behind his rivals in organization and fund raising at this stage in the process, although he would bring an extensive military background and national security credentials. The 58-year-old Clark is a Rhodes scholar who graduated first in his class at West Point and served as NATO commander during the 1999 campaign in Kosovo. Clark now works as a businessman and consultant in Arkansas. Clark said he has talked to potential staffers and held discussions about money, but has not made a final decision. He said he hopes his announcement on party loyalty ‘helps clarify the situation,’ adding: ‘I am proud to be a Democrat.’”

As if Kerry didn’t have enough trouble getting his campaign moving forward – not to mention possibly being steamrolled by the Dean bandwagon – the Union Leader editorialists are after him, too. Headline on editorial in yesterday’s Union Leader – “Kerry’s courage: The reality, rhetoric don’t match” Editorial excerpt:  “Announcing his candidacy for the office of President on Tuesday, Sen. John Kerry wasted no time before mentioning that he was a Navy combat veteran in Vietnam. In fact, his service, as usual, was the first thing about himself that he highlighted. Kerry made his announcement in Mt. Pleasant, S.C., with the retired World War II aircraft carrier U.S.S. Yorktown as his backdrop, for two reasons: to be sure that no one who watched the speech live or on television could miss the connection between John Kerry and the U.S. Navy; and to collect votes for the South Carolina primary. The central buzzword of Kerry’s address, which seems destined to be the focus of his campaign, was ‘courage.’ He began by noting his courageous service in Vietnam, and segued to the courage that a President needs to deal with national security and the economy in today’s world. The unmistakable message: I am the right man for the job because I am the most courageous. This would be a good message for Kerry if his political courage were as undaunted as his physical courage. Unfortunately for him, it is not. Kerry was a courageous warrior, but he is a notorious political coward. His long history of equivocation makes him appear irresolute and wishy-washy. He loves to try to please everyone, and he has yet to realize that this indecisiveness has cost him a great deal of credibility and support. Much of that support has been shifted to Howard Dean, who gives the impression that he is nothing if not decisive. If Kerry wants to win this nomination, he must begin living up to his own rhetoric.

… “Kucinich wants new direction for America” – headline from yesterday’s Iowa State Daily. Coverage – an excerpt – of Kucinich’s stop on the ISU campus in Ames by the Daily’s Jennifer Martin: “Democratic presidential hopeful Dennis Kucinich campaigned on campus Tuesday and promised that if elected, he would take America in a new direction toward peace, jobs and justice. Kucinich, who is campaigning under the slogan of ‘The Progressive Vision,’ said this presidential campaign presents not just something new, but the possibility of reclaiming what the Founding Fathers had in mind for this country. Quoting playwright and essayist George Bernard Shaw, Kucinich asked, ‘Why not peace, education and jobs for all?’ Kucinich, who spoke to a crowd of approximately 125 in the Sun Room of the Memorial Union, said the Pentagon and the Department of Defense's budgets and policies are being driven by a fear of war and terrorism. He said he intends to implement a plan that would bring peace to the United States. ‘Americans should reject the lies that brought us into Iraq,’ he said. ‘America shouldn't be a home to fear.’ Kucinich questioned whether America was any safer, even with the amount of money being spent on defense. ‘We can't be secure by being an aggressor of the world,’ he said.”

Kerry’s Demise? – I: Washington Times columnist Tony Blankley writes that “politically speaking Kerry is campaigning while dead.” Blankley says Kerry’s “South Carolina strategy is nuts.” Headline from yesterday’s Times: “The trouble with Kerry” Excerpt: “Over a month ago (when John Kerry was known as the frontrunner), I predicted on the McLaughlin Group television show that by September, Mr. Kerry's campaign would be in crises. And here we are in the first week of September with Sen. Kerry in third place in Iowa (Dean-Gephardt- Kerry) and behind Howard Dean in almost home-state New Hampshire by 21 points…One of Mr. Kerry's Boston aides said that ‘We're in this no matter what happens in Iowa and New Hampshire.’ All but writing off New Hampshire by Kerry must be spooking his troops. After all, as recently as a month ago, New Hampshire was considered both safe and a must-win state for Mr. Kerry. Mr. Kerry explained Mr. Dean's lead in New Hampshire by claiming that Mr. Dean had ‘been out there, very visibly spending money on TV and elsewhere.’ But, according to pollster John Zogby, Mr. Kerry has visited New Hampshire 38 times, has eight regional offices there and flooded the state with TV ads during his recent Senate re-election campaign…If his supporters were spooked by the bad numbers in New Hampshire, they must be jumping out of the windows at the Post-Modern Literary Deconstructionist Department at Harvard once they heard the South Carolina strategy. I understood Nixon's and Mr. Reagan's southern strategies. I even understood father and son Bush's South Carolina firewall strategy. But Mr. Kerry's South Carolina strategy is nuts. (And he accuses President Bush of not being a good strategist.) I've been to South Carolina. In fact, I was there just a few weeks ago at a barbecue stand. There was a young man waiting for an order, dressed in full Confederate uniform. Inside, they were selling beautiful color tee shirts which portrayed General Robert E. Lee in battle uniform on his fierce white horse leading a magnificent confederate charge against the Yankee intruders. Down the road a piece from that stand was a restaurant named The Swamp Fox — which I believe invokes the fond memory of Confederate guerrillas sneaking up on Yankee encampments to deliver justice to the blue bellies from Maine, Michigan and Massachusetts. If ever their was a figure from Massachusetts, it is John F. Kerry. The Senator is a man who doesn't look all that comfortable dining at the Four Seasons in Georgetown. The thought of this quintessential moralizing, haughty, Boston Brahmin campaigning over drawn pork down at the Swamp Fox could persuade even a cheapskate to pay the price of admission. And what on Earth would he say to the South Carolina voters? Perhaps he would repeat a line he used on Meet the Press last Sunday regarding Iraqi policy: ‘I think this administration has made an extraordinary, disastrous decision not to bring the United Nations in in a significant way. I have said repeatedly that we must go to the United Nations, we must internationalize this effort’…South Carolinians only begrudgingly recognized the command authority of the U.S. Army. Somehow, I don't think calling, yet again, for the grand old dream of liberal internationalism is going to be a winner in South Carolina — even amongst its Democratic voters. Or perhaps he could repeat his support for Bill Clinton's affirmative action policy, or his equivocation on Bush's tax cuts? South Carolina is not going to be John Kerry's firewall — but a firestorm. A strategy for a New England liberal to lose in New Hampshire and win in South Carolina is not a strategy at all. It is a delusion. Politically speaking, Sen. Kerry is campaigning while dead. Johnny boy, we hardly knew ya.

Edwards takes a North Carolina hit for his missed Senate votes, but he’s not even the worst culprit. Headline on AP report that appeared in yesterday’s The Union Leader: “Edwards misses third of summer’s votes” Excerpt: “North Carolina Sen. John Edwards returned Tuesday to Washington as Congress reconvened after a monthlong summer recess in which he campaigned without needing to balance his presidential ambition with representing the state. Edwards, like other presidential hopefuls who serve in Congress, regularly misses roll-call votes as he campaigns. Edwards skipped 38 votes of the 119 tallies cast during June and July, Senate records show. That's a better attendance record than most of his Democratic rivals for the White House.  Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry missed nine out of every 10 votes during the two summer months that Congress was in session, the News & Record of Greensboro reported. Connecticut Sen. Joseph Lieberman did slightly better by missing about eight in 10 votes. Sen. Bob Graham, D-Fla., was away for half of the votes. Edwards was similarly better at attending Senate voting sessions earlier this year. Kerry missed nearly four out of every 10 votes between January and mid-April, not counting the two that came when he was recuperating from prostate surgery in February. Lieberman failed to vote on 22 percent of the 134 Senate roll-call tallies during that period. Edwards missed 16 percent. Graham missed 2 percent, but the total didn't include the 16 votes he failed to cast during his heart surgery and recovery in February. So far this year, Edwards has missed 69 votes out of 321, or 21 percent of the time, spokesman Michael Briggs said…In the House of Representatives, the two members who want the presidential nomination have different voting records. Missouri Rep. Dick Gephardt skipped almost every tally during July, when his chamber held about the same number of votes as did the Senate during that month and June combined. Ohio Rep. Dennis Kucinich, considered one of the long-shot candidates, missed no votes. The other three Democratic candidates - the Rev. Al Sharpton of New York, former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean and former Illinois Sen. Carol Moseley Braun - do not hold elective office.”

 Kerry’s Demise? – II: Boston Globe columnist Scot Lehigh writes that Kerry’s announcement “signals that after long months of skirmishing, the struggle for the hearts and minds of Democratic voters has begun in earnest.” Headline from yesterday’s Boston Globe: “Kerry’s battle just beginning” Excerpt: “It’s hardly the sort of send-off a candidate wants as he begins his grand announcement tour. John Kerry has failed to connect, says The Washington Post. The Massachusetts senator is sinking from the top tier in the Democratic field, judges The New Republic. He's only a distant fourth nationally, notes CNN. The surging Howard Dean is the next Jimmy Carter, declares the Economist. Yesterday evening found Kerry denying that a shake-up of his campaign staff might be imminent. And, as any number of interviewers have reminded Kerry, a new poll shows Dean, the former Vermont governor, leading him by 21 points in New Hampshire, a must-win state for the senator. So how does Kerry feel? ‘Absolutely spectacular,’ he said on Monday. ‘As we go into the next month, you are going to see a lot of things change’ in the campaign's dynamic, he predicted. Now, there's no doubt an element of whistling past the political graveyard in Kerry's profession of optimism. The names on the tombstones from campaigns past should be a warning. Names like Edmund Muskie and John Glenn and Bob Kerrey, men who also looked like strong presidential prospects on paper but who left voters cold. Still, the notion that Kerry is already in some sort of political death spiral misjudges the very nature of presidential politics. It's true the last month has not been a particularly good one for Kerry…Meanwhile, it's been Dean who has spoken to the passions of the party's liberal base with his vehement opposition to the war in Iraq and his call for repealing the entirety of the Bush tax cuts. But credit Kerry with this: He has largely resisted a panicked impulse to slide leftward to contest Dean, preferring instead to stake out defensible general election ground…In his announcement speech, Kerry also served not-so-subtle notice he will go after Dean for his leave-it-to-the-states stance on gun control. Now, one can occasionally read commentary counseling the Democrats not to criticize each other. That's unrealistic. Primary campaigns are ultimately about defining, explaining, and debating differences between candidates of the same party. And until that debate occurs, the primary campaign hasn't begun in earnest. Thus early leads have to be greeted with considerable skepticism. None of that is to say that Dean hasn't been impressive, nimble, and creative. He has. Just two months ago the Kerry campaign could say with some confidence that the senator had secured a spot in the top tier and that the real question was who would emerge as Kerry's chief rival. Today it's Dean who appears to have a lock on a top-tier spot. Yet the battle ahead still looks to be between Dean and Kerry. To count Kerry on a troubling trajectory before fall's first shot is fired is to forget that nominees are chosen not in the lazy days of an inattentive summer but in the intense combat that comes as the weather turns cool. And that, more than anything he said yesterday, is why Kerry's announcement is important: For all the predictable anti-Bush boilerplate, it signals that after long months of skirmishing, the struggle for the hearts and minds of Democratic voters has begun in earnest.

Kucinich’s Great Iowa Odyssey. The Quad-City Times’ Kathie Obradovich recounts Kucinich’s campaign effort, noting that he’s still engaged in a balancing act to attract caucus support. Headline from yesterday’s Times: “Kucinich has knack for beating the odds” Excerpt: “To the audience at the Iowa Federation of Labor’s first presidential forum of the year, Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich was putting on a table-pounding show of union solidarity. Kucinich, who had only recently begun to introduce himself to Iowa Democrats as a presidential contender, was making a strong first impression on the union leadership. He held up his membership card for the Camera Operators Union and declared he would make the White House ‘the address of Workers Local No. 1.’ Speaking louder and faster than any of the other candidates in attendance, he shouted, ‘This election is about your right to have a government that you can call your own — a people’s president. A workers’ White House!’ Iowa Federation of Labor President Mark Smith, sitting behind the podium, could see that more than union spirit was driving Kucinich’s almost manic performance. After learning that the Adventureland Inn was ill-equipped to download and print his speech, Kucinich had perched his laptop computer on the podium. Smith said he could see that the diminutive congressman was struggling to balance the computer and that the screen kept him from adjusting the microphone. To make matters worse, the battery alarm had begun to beep, forcing him to speed-read before losing his text. ‘I think he yelled because he was further from the mike than was comfortable,’ Smith said.  Six months later, Kucinich is still engaged in a balancing act. Democratic activists say he’s hitting the right buttons on issues such as peace, economic opportunity and health care, but they’re having trouble juggling concerns that he’s too liberal or too quirky to win the nomination, let alone wrest the presidency from Republican George W. Bush. Iowa First Lady Christie Vilsack admits that her first impression of Kucinich was formed by his antics at her husband’s annual fund-raising picnic. ‘I will always think of him as like, Rumpelstiltskin, because he was just waving his arms around and carrying on, because he really just got so emotional up there, so much that he burst into the Star Spangled Banner,’ she said. His campaign is as creative as it is low-budget. He’s known for handing out baseball cards featuring photos of himself and campaign issues that have become collectible memorabilia. His campaign office in Des Moines has corn stalks growing outside. Since he’s a vegan who doesn’t consume animal products, he held a campaign dinner with a vegetarian group. Some of those images have hurt Kucinich, political observers say. ‘In general, I think he’s among the best-loved of all the candidates, yet he is among those who they are least likely to caucus for. That’s kind of a conundrum,’ said David Loebsack, a Democratic activist and political science professor at Cornell College.”

A Report from the Iowa Front Lines: Headline from The New York Times – “In Iowa, the Field of Democratic Hopefuls Is Just a Blur” Excerpt from coverage – dateline, Marshalltown – by the Times’ Randal C. Archibold:  “The rib-eyes sizzled on the grill, and Mark Ohrt fumed. The Democratic Party, Mr. Ohrt said, has lost its way. Not enough empathy for the farmer and workers. Adrift from ‘family values.’ And with the first voting in the presidential race less than four months away, Mr. Ohrt is not certain where to turn. ‘There are too many candidates out there,’ he said, grilling steaks at a softball tournament in this small city a 45-minute drive northeast of Des Moines. ‘I wait till they get weeded out. Everybody who thinks about running is running. And whether they're saying what we want to hear or whether they're saying what they mean, heck, I don't know, either.’ All the talk is hard to sort out, Mr. Ohrt and other voters said in conversations over the weekend here [in Marshalltown] and in Indianola, Oskaloosa, Ames and other towns in this state in which the Jan. 19 caucuses are the first step in the nominating process. Not one of the nine Democratic hopefuls seems like a runaway hit, voters said, even though most hopefuls have been campaigning here for months. Iowans say they like to keep a studied detachment before opinions harden with the cornfields in winter. Few bumper stickers or lawn signs can be found. Two hopefuls have broadcast commercials, but it is difficult to find anyone who has seen them. ‘At this point, we like to listen,’ said Clay Benton, a grocery store clerk taking in a college football game. ‘We are like a jury.’ Even some people who closely follow the campaigns have had trouble distinguishing the candidates. ‘It's pretty homogenous’ Mick Stohr, a consultant who is active in the Democratic Party here, said. ‘The top six seem pretty similar.’ Mr. Stohr said he leaned to Senator John Edwards of North Carolina, but struggled to explain why, in part chalking up his leaning to having met Mr. Edwards. ‘It's a presence,’ Mr. Stohr said. ‘I guess it comes down to intangibles. I don't know. His tone, as opposed to what he was saying.’ But as they begin focusing more on the candidates, Iowans say the war in Iraq and, even more so, the economy weigh heavily, especially with a drought wilting corn and soy and making things tougher for farmers. For Rhonda Schwarzkopf, the men she lumps together as ‘the Southern candidates’ — Mr. Edwards, Representative Richard A. Gephardt of Missouri and Senator Bob Graham of Florida — might be a draw because ‘they care a lot about agriculture.’ But Mrs. Schwarzkopf hastened to add, ‘They are more geared to Southern crops than corn and beans.’…"My father is a small family farmer with 160 acres,’ she said. ‘The insurance premiums he has to pay are incredible, because he is self-employed.’ Mrs. Schwarzkopf said she found the Democratic field ‘all pretty equal right now.’…’It's kind of scary none of them are way out in front,’ she said. ‘After Hillary Clinton's book came out, people said they would rather vote for her than the candidates who are actually running. To me, that's a scary thought." Suffice to say, Mrs. Schwarzkopf is not a fan of Mrs. Clinton. But with or without Mrs. Clinton, who has said she does not plan to join the field, Mrs. Schwarzkopf and her husband, Dan, said they believed that Democrats had a shot at unseating President Bush because of the economy and the war. ‘It's time to do something,’ Mr. Schwarzkopf said about Iraq. ‘We can't let these poor guys get killed over there by these nuts with a gun in their hand. Of course, I don't know what the answer is. You don't know who to trust.’”


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