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Iowa Presidential Watch's

The Bush Beat

Holding the Democrats accountable today, tomorrow...forever.

Official portrait of President George W. Bush.George W. Bush

excerpts from the Iowa Daily Report

November 16-30, 2003

Bush visit

Many political observers find it amazing that Tony Blair and President Bush are meeting this week and are loathe to find anything positive that can come out of the meeting. The President’s security is of concern -- especially since the Mayor of London has told all anti-Bush demonstrators to show up.

The Drudge Report has a developing story about how British newspapers are increasing their Bush bashing. (11/17/2003)

Bush likely to win

The Washington Post story investigates the pattern of Presidents running for re-election:

The pattern has repeated itself perfectly. Dwight D. Eisenhower, Richard M. Nixon, Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton all ran for re-election without major challenges from within their own parties -- and all easily won second terms. Gerald R. Ford, Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush faced primary challenges while seeking re-election -- and all were ousted in the general election. (11/18/2003)

The other English speaking people

President Bush is over in Great Britain and meeting with Royalty. He has started his first full day with discussion about terrorism:

"The hope that danger has passed is comforting, is understanding, and it is false," he said. "These terrorists target the innocent and they kill by the thousands. And they would, if they gain the weapons they seek, kill by the millions and not be finished. ... The evil is in plain sight. The danger only increases with denial."

"The failure of democracy in Iraq would throw its people back into misery and turn that country over to terrorists who wish to destroy us," he said. "We did not charge hundreds of miles into the heart of Iraq and pay a bitter cost of casualties and liberate 25 million people, only to retreat before a band of thugs and assassins."

Bush called on Israel to freeze settlement construction and dismantle outposts. He said the Palestinians should end any incitement to terrorists in their media, cut off funding to terror groups and establish normal relations with Israel. He asked European nations to do their part, as well, by refusing to support Palestinian leaders who maintain ties with terrorist groups and profit from corruption. (11/19/2003)

Red Coats red faced

One of England’s tabloid reporters broke into Buckingham Palace and has left the Palace staff embarrassed. The White House expressed its confidence in the British Security. The Palace is undertaking one of its famous investigations into the matter. (11/19/2003)

Cheney daughter joins campaign

Elizabeth Cheney, leader of the administration's Middle East democracy initiative, will leave her State Department job next month to join President Bush's re-election campaign. Cheney, daughter of Vice President Dick Cheney, said Monday that she expects to join a Washington think tank and continue to work on Middle East issues in the private sector while devoting most of her time to politics. As a deputy assistant secretary in the Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs, Cheney was given control of the Middle East Partnership Initiative, an evolving project designed to foster increased democracy and economic progress in a troubled region. (11/19/2003)

The Great Divide

The LA Times takes on the great divide in this country over President Bush and his subsequent re-election prospects.

On one axis, voters appear to be weighing generally positive assessments of his personal characteristics — from likability and leadership to honesty — against a more ambivalent view of his policies and their impact on the country.

Along another axis, the poll indicates voters are balancing the first flickers of optimism about the economy against growing anxiety over America's progress in Iraq.

Bush’s strength lies in his personal character according to the Times’ poll:

On several personal qualities, Bush scores well. Just over three-fifths of Americans consider him a strong leader; just under three-fifths say they consider him honest and trustworthy.

Beliefs that Bush does not care about the poor are what seeming divide the country:

Democrats lead Bush both among Americans earning less than $40,000 annually and families earning $60,000 to $100,000, the poll found. Bush leads strongly among families clustered right around the median income — those earning between $40,000 to just under $60,000 — and those who earn more than $100,000 a year. (11/20/2003)

First ad on terrorism

The GOP is running an ad for the first time in Iowa before the Democrat’s Debate on Monday. The party is spending $100,000 on the ad that runs until Tuesday.

The ad covers excerpts from Bush’s State of the Union speech, "Our war against terror is a contest of will in which perseverance is power," Bush says after the screen flashes the words, "Some are now attacking the president for attacking the terrorists." (11/21/2003)

Bush’s strength

The Associated Press in covering the story of the Republican ad on Democrats attacking Bush for fighting terrorism covers the question of Bush’s strength on the issue.

A new Los Angeles Times poll shows a majority of voters disapprove of the way Bush has handled Iraq, and don't think the outcome there has been worth the number of lives lost. Nevertheless, the opinion survey finds that voters trust Bush to make the right decisions in Iraq, and they give him high marks for his handling of the war on terrorism. (11/22/2003)

Bush’s belief

President Bush sent shock waves in the Christian right when he answered a British reporter’s question as to whether they worship the same god as Christians, according the Washington Post:

"I do say that freedom is the Almighty's gift to every person," the president replied. "I also condition it by saying freedom is not America's gift to the world. It's much greater than that, of course. And I believe we worship the same god."

The head of the Richard D. Land, president of the public policy arm of the Southern Baptist Convention:

We should always remember that he is commander in chief, not theologian in chief," Land said in a telephone interview yesterday. "The Bible is clear on this: The one and true god is Jehovah, and his only begotten son is Jesus Christ."

American Muslims had a different response:

Sayyid M. Syeed, secretary general of the Islamic Society of North America, responded to Bush's statement with a single word: Alhamdullah, Thanks be to God.

"We read again and again in the Koran that our god is the god of Abraham, the god of Noah, the god of Jesus," he said. "It would not come to the mind of a Muslim that there is a different god that Abraham or Jesus or Moses was praying to." (11/22/2003)

Speaking of PACs

MoveOn.org, is blasting President George Bush for losing jobs. MoveOn.org is the fastest growing independent political action committee and it’s non-profit. The organization has raised $5 million so far and likely will surpass its $10 million goal. Multibillionaire George Soros and Progressive Insurance founder Peter Lewis last week announced they would match contributions up to $5 million, meaning the ad fund potentially could reach $15 million.

The Washington-based group boasts a membership of about 1.8 million. The bash Bush ad is currently running in Washington D.C.

"George Bush is doing something Bill Clinton didn't do ... his father didn't do ... not Reagan, or Carter, or Ford, or Nixon ... Not LBJ, or JFK ... Not Eisenhower, or Harry Truman ... Not in any of FDR's four terms," an announcer says as pictures of the former presidents fill the screen.

The ad then says Bush is on track to be the first president since Herbert Hoover to end his term with a net job loss record.

"Didn't George Bush say his tax cuts would create jobs?" the announcer asks. (11/22/2003)

Time CNN Poll

A national poll shows Bush would win: In a direct run against Bush, Gen. Wesley Clark fares the best among registered voters (Clark 42%, Bush 49%), closely followed by Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry (Kerry 41%, Bush 49%).

Bush would beat any of three other Democrats, 52 percent to 39 percent, in a direct match: Missouri Rep. Dick Gephardt, Connecticut Sen. Joseph Lieberman, or Vermont Gov. Howard Dean. Against Bush, North Carolina Sen. John Edwards would lose, 38 percent to 52 percent.

When registered Democrats are asked which Democratic presidential nominee they would vote for, Dean edges out Clark 14 percent to 12 percent, followed Lieberman (11%), Kerry (9%), Gephardt (6%), then Edwards and the Rev. Al Sharpton (5%). (11/22/2003)

Security and money

The Campaign Manager Ken Mehlman for Bush Cheney says the campaign is about security and money in our pockets. Mehlman made the remarks at the Republican Governors Conference in Florida, according to the LA Times:

"Eleven months from now, we will choose between victory in Iraq or insecurity in America," he said. "Eleven months from now, we will choose between more money in the pockets of America's families or more money in the coffers of the federal government in Washington. And 11 months from now, we will choose between a leader of principle or a politician of protest, of pandering and of pessimism."  (11/23/2003)

Love him or hate him

The Time’s cover story about President Bush demonstrates the nation’s growing division:

For years pollsters said America was a 40-40-20 country—that is, 40% Republican, 40% Democrat and 20% independent. Now, they say, it's a 45-45-10 nation—with even fewer than that 10% truly up for grabs.

The article explains that for many the question of whether you like or hate Bush is about how you perceive him personally:

But for many, it's not so much Bush's policies or programs that make them adore or despise him, but the very way he carries himself—their sense of George Bush as a man. To some, the way that Bush walks and talks and smiles is the body language of courage and self-assurance, and of someone who shares their values. But to others, it is the swagger and smirk that signals the certainty of the stubbornly simpleminded. "I like Bush's manner," says Kathie Tenner, a retired teacher in Des Moines, Iowa. "To me, he's very quiet and sincere, just kind of down home, not really trying to put on a lot of airs." "He comes across as an idiot," says Chicago attorney Sue Zalewski. "I know that, technically, he's not an idiot. But the way he says things can really use some work. He can be so uncouth." (11/24/2003)

Bush happenings

Bush plans to sandwich fund-raising stops in Las Vegas and Phoenix with appearances at senior citizen centers in each city to tout the passage of legislation overhauling Medicare.

President Bush  pardoned two turkeys named Stars and Stripes and fired off a quip that the second one is on standby just like the Vice President. Before going to his ranch in Crawford, TX for Thanksgiving, Bush also took time to pay tribute to American soldiers at Fort Carson, Colo. He expressed the nation’s gratitude for the sacrifice that the military is making on behalf of democracy, tolerance and the rights and dignity of every people. The Washington Times reports that the President’s sentiments were heartfelt:

"Here, you have felt loss. Every person who dies in the line of duty leaves a family that lives in sorrow and comrades who must go on without them. The Fort Carson community said farewell to some of your best," he said.

But Mr. Bush said each soldier has "answered a great calling."

"You live by a code of honor, in service to your nation, for the safety and security of your fellow citizens… "You and I have taken an oath to defend America. We're meeting that duty together, and I'm proud to be the commander in chief of the greatest military, full of the finest people on the face of this earth."

The President singled out the loss of Staff Sgt. Daniel Bader by quoting his wife Tiffany.

"Tiffany Bader said this to a reporter recently, 'I'm going to wait until she is old enough to realize what happened, and I will tell her exactly what her daddy did for her. He died serving his country so that my little girl could grow up free.' "

Mr. Bush said the courage of Sgt. Bader and his wife "show the spirit of this country in the face of great adversity."

"And all our military families that mourn can know this: Our nation will never forget the sacrifice their loved one made to protect us all." (11/25/2003)

A study in something

The Washington Post has a story with a headline that compares President Bush to Richard Nixon and then goes on to say how much more like Ronald Reagan Bush is. The title of the article is after Roger Ailes’ book, The Making of the President with the twist Nixon Bush after it. The book shows how President Bush uses the centralized control method of Nixon (and it might be added, Franklin Roosevelt…) in managing his White House, but uses the style of Reagan to create policy and communicate. IPW would recommend that they review Stephen Hess’s work on this subject. (11/25/2003)

How sweet it is

President Bush received some extra sweets before his Thanksgiving dinner. The Medicare victory was sweetened by news that the economy surged at a blistering 8.2 percent annual rate in the third quarter, and that consumer confidence in November climbed to its highest level in a year. On top of that, Bush collected another $3 million for his campaign, bringing his re-election fund to at least $105 million. Bush also received news that he leads all Democrat candidates in Florida by 20 percent. The better news was that Brad Coker, director of Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc., said Mr. Bush's 54 percent approval on conduct of the war and 52 percent voter confidence on the economy means "it will be very difficult for the Democrats to win in Florida" next year.

So on the “Peace and Prosperity,” he seems that he should be moving ahead on half of it in more and more voters’ opinions. (11/26/2003)

The wayward brother

Reuters has a story about Neil Bush (the third child of George and Barbra Bush) that details his deposition in his divorce from wife Sharon.  It details his business deals and admission to extramarital sex with women in Asia:

According to legal documents disclosed on Tuesday, Sharon Bush's lawyers questioned Neil Bush closely about the deals, especially a contract with Grace Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp., a firm backed by Jiang Mianheng, the son of former Chinese President Jiang Zemin, that would pay him $2 million in stock over five years. (11/26/2003)

Message to Israel?

The Bush administration announced the reduction of U.S. loan guarantees to Israel by $289.5 million. Some believe that it is a way of registering its disapproval of Israeli actions on the West Bank. The cut will be made from $1.4 billion in U.S. guarantees due this year, the Israeli Embassy said. Overall, Israel has been due to receive $9 billion in guarantees over three years.(11/26/2003)

Pitchman Carville at it again

According to the Washington Times’ Inside the Beltway, the Democratic National Committee, in dire need of campaign cash, has enlisted CNN "Crossfire" co-host James Carville to call President Bush a liar.

Writing on behalf of the DNC, Mr. Carville says the president's re-election strategy will be to continue politicizing the September 11 terrorist atrocities while questioning the patriotism of Democrats — who he says only want answers about Mr. Bush's "State of the Union lies."

Mr. Carville says Mr. Bush dreams "about a country with no debate and no dissent," and calls another four years of his leadership "almost unimaginable." (11/26/2003)

Bush visits Baghdad

In a surprise move with heightened security that included a ruse to the media, President Bush sneaked out of Crawford, TX, to fly to Baghdad, Iraq, today.

"You are defending the American people from danger and we are grateful," Bush told some 600 soldiers who were stunned and delighted by his appearance, according to the Associated Press.

Bush spent only about two hours on the ground, limiting his visit to the airport dinner with U.S. forces. The troops had been told that the VIP guests would be L. Paul Bremer, the U.S. administrator in Iraq, and Lt. Gen. Ricardo Sanchez, commander of coalition forces in Iraq.

The Fox News report on the President’s Thanksgiving Holiday in Crawford, Texas, was still running on its home page -- while it had news of the President’s Baghdad visit as a “Breaking News” story. The report stated that:

·        A senior administration official, who spoke on condition of anonymity, confirmed that Bush would call "a number of" soldiers. The official did not provide specifics, but at least one of the intended recipients of the president's personal thanks is recovering in Germany from injuries suffered in the Iraq war.

·        The president's twin daughters, Barbara and Jenna, are visiting for the holiday, as are his parents, former President George H.W. Bush and his wife, Barbara.

·        On the table was to be a free-range turkey, turkey cornbread dressing, chipotle sweet potatoes, mashed potatoes, asparagus and a salad of Texas grapefruit, toasted walnuts and greens, White House spokeswoman Claire Buchan reported Wednesday. Alongside the "Prairie Chapel pecan pie" would be another classic dessert: pumpkin pie, she said.

·        First Lady Laura Bush will receive the official White House Christmas tree on Monday. (11/27/2003)

Why the trip?

President Bush offered explanations as to why he went to Baghdad for Thanksgiving Dinner:

"It's got to be a lonely moment for them," Bush said. "I thought it was important to send that message that we care for them (the troops) and we support them strongly, that we erase any doubts in their minds as to whether or not the people stand with them. ... Having seen the reaction of those troops, you know it was the right thing to do."

Bush said the soldiers "needed to see me." He added: "They don't get to see me all the time. Sometimes, you know, they read things, and they got to see me, and they saw my determination and my support and respect for what they're doing."  (11/28/2003)

Foreign Policy vs. campaign

A NY Times story covers the concerns of Bush’s foreign policy team over the Republican National Committee’s terrorism ad that ran in Iowa and scheduled to run before the Democrat debate in New Hampshire:

After spending months trying to recast President Bush as a man devoted to building international coalitions rather than the gun-slinging cowboy of European political cartoons, Mr. Bush's foreign policy team was stunned by the Republican National Committee's new advertising campaign. The spot hailed the president as a man who pre-empts first and asks questions later.

The problem for the administration is the historic conflict between a campaign and governing. Campaigns require simple communicative points and governing requires going through literally thousands of pages of a bill or trade agreement. So while Bush’s foreign policy team has been selling the image of cooperation and that pre-emption is the last option, meanwhile, the campaign is emphasizing that the Democrats want to leave our fate to others or to after the attack has already happened. The Times relates the problem:

In fact, what both the White House and the Republican National Committee wandered into was the gulf between George Bush the president and George Bush the candidate for re-election. Just shy of 12 months from Election Day, Mr. Bush's political team and his foreign policy team are emphasizing opposite messages, leading one senior State Department official to say this week, in exasperation, "Karl Rove ought to learn that any ad he broadcasts in Iowa gets rebroadcast in Italy." (11/28/2003)

Bush & Baghdad editorial

The Des Moines Register has an editorial that calls Bush’s trip to Baghdad inspiring, audacious and a political stunt. The editorial commends the President for bringing support to our troops. It sent a clear message that our nation supports them. However, it says, they are waiting for the real deal:

In the end, it is the symbolism that stands out. Now, the challenge is to transform symbolism into reality and put in place a well-conceived strategy for exiting Iraq and securing a better life for those 25 million Iraqis. (11/29/2003)

Full scale assault

A Washington Post article covers some of the Bush campaign’s plans for the election. It is clear Bush is ready to launch a full scale ground and air war against his opponent -- whoever they are:

Bush's campaign has an e-mail list totaling 6 million people, 10 times the number that Democratic presidential candidate Howard Dean has, and the Bush operation is in the middle of an unprecedented drive to register 3 million new Republican voters. The campaign has set county vote targets in some states and has begun training thousands of volunteers who will recruit an army of door-to-door canvassers for the final days of the election next November.

The surprising aspect of the Bush – Cheney campaign is its reliance on old fashioned campaign techniques at the grass root level:

"We live at a time of the greatest proliferation of communications technology in history, and in an ironic way, that technology has taken us back to the politics of an earlier time," said Ralph Reed, former Georgia GOP chairman and now a regional official in Bush's reelection campaign.

This effort is daunting and is best described by one supporter: "This party has no infrastructure," one Bush adviser said. "We have to build it from the ground up."

Registering new GOP voters is the best way to gain votes. Republicans are registering voters at NASCAR events and naturalization ceremonies, on college campuses and in targeted precincts. Voter registration is most intense in battleground states like Iowa and Oregon. Bush lost Oregon by 7,000 votes in 2000. The national committee's goal is to register 45,000 GOP voters by next year. (11/30/2003)

Gay marriage

A Washington Times article covers the possible effects of gay marriage on the election. According to a poll this month by Fox News Channel and Opinion Dynamics, homosexual "marriage" is opposed by 66 percent of Americans and supported by 25 percent. Respondents also opposed civil unions by a margin of 48 percent to 41 percent. The story characterizes the Republicans as having a position and the Democrats as trying to ignore it:

"This is a huge wedge issue," said Democratic consultant Michael Goldman of Massachusetts.

"It's a major, fundamental difference" between the way Mr. Bush sees the world and the way the Democratic candidates see the world,” he said.

"You've got one guy who looks like he's got a strong position and who's willing to stand up and say it," he added. "And then you've got the Democrats, who look like they're looking for an out, because they don't want to insult their constituency." (11/30/2003)

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