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John Edwards

excerpts from the Iowa Daily Report

August 1-15, 2003

… The Washington Times headline yesterday said it all: “Edwards is 4 months late on taxes” Excerpt from report by the Times’ Charles Hunt: Sen. John Edwards, North Carolina Democrat and 2004 presidential hopeful, is four months delinquent in paying the property taxes on his Georgetown mansion and owes the cash-strapped District more than $11,000, city records show. Mr. Edwards is worth somewhere between $12 million and $30 million after a successful career as a personal injury lawyer, according to his financial disclosure forms. He bought the eight-bedroom, 6,672-square-foot home in the tony neighborhood for $3.8 million in September. In February, the city sent Mr. Edwards a tax bill for $9,562.46, which he was supposed to have paid by March 31, according to tax records. As of 3:30 p.m. yesterday, Mr. Edwards owed $11,092.46 with interest and penalties, according to the city's tax collection office. Mr. Edwards' office was not aware of the unpaid taxes but at 7 p.m. yesterday issued the following response by e-mail after The Washington Times faxed a copy of the bill. The senator and his wife, Elizabeth, ‘had not received a bill. As soon as they received one, they paid it,’ the statement says. Mr. Edwards' delinquency came during a year in which the city faced a $323 million budget shortfall. The District was forced to cut funding for public education and a wide array of city services. The senator's tax bill is among the city's largest for private homeowners. ‘That's a lot of money,’ said Virginia Daisley, a spokeswoman for the city tax collection office. ‘There's no reason for not paying your tax bill,’ she said. ‘I guess if you're in the hospital or something, but still you have to pay your taxes.’ On the presidential campaign trail, Mr. Edwards often rails against President Bush's tax cuts as giveaways to wealthy people for whom tens of thousands of dollars is pocket change. For example, in a June speech at Georgetown University, Mr. Edwards criticized ‘tax-free tax shelters for millionaires that are bigger than most Americans' paychecks for an entire year.’ In the same speech, where he laid out his vision for revising the U.S. tax code, Mr. Edwards said, ‘In these times of national sacrifice, we should not be asking less of the most fortunate.’” Update: The News & Observer of Raleigh reported it the newspaper’s website yesterday that Edwards has paid $11,092.46 after the questions about his bill were raised by the Washington Times. (8/1/2003)

Edwards and Kerry discover common bond: Tax delinquencies. Kerry’s tax problem surfaces a day after the political world discovers Edwards’ haphazard record in DC and NC. Headline from Friday’s Boston Globe: “Bank error blamed for late tax payment on Kerrys’ vacation home” Excerpt from coverage by the Globe’s Glen Johnson: “A bank's lapse left more than $10,000 in property taxes owed on a vacation home overlooking Nantucket Sound shared by Senator John F. Kerry and his wife, Teresa Heinz Kerry. Mellon Financial Corp., the Pittsburgh bank that manages the trust owning the property, issued a statement yesterday saying it had failed to pay the fourth and final installment on the couple's 2003 tax assessment. That amount, $9,978.49, was due to the town's tax collector on May 2. When it went unpaid, the couple were assessed interest, leaving the Kerrys $10,326.79 in arrears…’It was our responsibility to make the payment and we are researching this matter to determine why the fourth installment was not paid in a timely way,’ said company spokesman Ron Gruendl. ''We have sent the payment in the overnight mail.’ The amount of delinquent taxes owed could be considered personally inconsequential to the couple, with Heinz Kerry as the heiress to a Heinz ketchup fortune assessed at more than $550 million. The senator is also a millionaire, according to his Senate financial disclosure form. The Nantucket home is one of five the couple share, although Heinz Kerry is considered the sole owner of all but one of them…Politically, the error could prove something of an embarrassment, coming at a time when Kerry, a candidate for the Democratic presidential nomination, is hammering President Bush over the fairness of his tax-cut policy. The news of Kerry's delinquency came the same day one of his rivals for the nomination, Senator John Edwards of North Carolina, conceded tax problems. Confirming a report in The Washington Times, the senator said he was delinquent on more than $11,000 in property taxes due on a house in Washington's Georgetown section. He also said he had been delinquent on several occasions on both property and automobile tax payments in his home state of North Carolina.” (8/3/2003)

 Edwards touches tricky issue for him – tort reform. His proposal was lost in coverage earlier in the week, but Concord Monitor staffer revives Edwards’ “broadside aimed at unethical lawyers.” Monitor headline from Friday: “Edwards adds tort reform to message…Subject tricky for former trial lawyer Excerpt from report by Daniel Barrick: Tucked inside the health care speech Sen. John Edwards delivered on Monday was a broadside aimed at unethical lawyers. Edwards's ‘three-strikes-and-you're-out’ policy, designed to discourage frivolous malpractice lawsuits against doctors, didn't attract much attention in coverage of the speech. But the senator, a former trial lawyer himself, included it for a reason. Republicans have vowed to make medical malpractice reform a key issue in the 2004 elections, linking large jury payments to the rising costs of health care. Edwards and other Democrats running for president are trying to blunt charges that they're in the pocket of trial attorneys, significant contributors to many of their campaigns. This is especially delicate territory for Edwards. The first-term senator from North Carolina made millions as a lawyer - including many medical malpractice cases - before jumping into politics in 1998. And more than half of the $7.4 million he raised in the first quarter of this year came from trial attorneys. For months, Republican critics have slammed Edwards for his ties to that community and have tried to make him the public face of the debate on malpractice reform…Edwards, like most Democrats in the presidential campaign, has tried to shift the debate away from jury award limits. He advocates a range of solutions for rising malpractice premiums: tightening professional standards for doctors, direct aid to doctors driven out by high premiums, limiting "price-gouging" by insurers. His ‘three strikes’ policy would require lawyers to swear that an expert doctor is ready to testify that malpractice had actually occurred before a case goes to court. Lawyers who file frivolous cases would face sanctions; three frivolous cases, and lawyers would be barred from bringing another suit for 10 years…Sen. John Kerry, another Democratic presidential contender, has advocated a similar panel system to screen out invalid cases. Former Vermont governor Howard Dean, a physician, has said he prefers leaving the issue to state legislators.” (8/3/2003)

Question of the weekend: Are the Edwards henchmen really drumming up support for his presidential bid – or keeping the political home fires burning until he drops out of the wannabe parade? From News & Observer online report: “U.S. Sen. John Edwards' presidential campaign announced Thursday that it will conduct a half-dozen town-hall meetings across North Carolina this month to drum up support for the Democrat's presidential run. The meetings will be led by Ed Turlington, a Raleigh lawyer who serves as general chairman of Edwards' campaign. Edwards is not scheduled to appear himself. ‘North Carolinians are the people that know Senator Edwards the best, and we're going to get them involved in the campaign,’ Turlington said. ‘This is the best group to show voters in other states where Senator Edwards comes from and what his values are.’ The first meeting takes places Monday in Wilmington.”(8/3/2003)

…  Edwards – with a February strategy – concedes he took a calculated risk by raising money first, but now anticipates airing first TV ads in Iowa and New Hampshire. Headline from yesterday’s Washington Post: “For Edwards, Time to Play Catch-Up…Democratic Candidate’s Rush to Raise Money Left Him Campaigning from Behind” Excerpt from report – datelined Nashua, NH -- by the Post’s Jim VandeHei:  “Sen. John Edwards (N.C.), after raising more money than all but one of his eight rivals for the Democratic presidential nomination, is struggling to turn money into momentum on the crowded campaign trail. Edwards's gamble to raise money first, campaign later has left him far behind the front-runners in recent polls conducted here and in Iowa, the first two key testing grounds in the Democratic primary. Nationally, the first-term senator barely shows a pulse in surveys so far dominated by seasoned veterans such as Sen. Joseph I. Lieberman (Conn.) and the antiwar, e-campaign of former Vermont governor Howard Dean. At town hall meetings here last week, Edwards sounded like a candidate playing catch-up -- yet one confident he can make a late break because so many voters remain uncommitted. ‘I spent the first six months of this year, a huge part of my time, raising money,’ he told a small group of Democrats at a town hall-style gathering in the woods of Greeley Park here last weekend. ‘Now my job is to make sure voters see me and hear me and know what I am about.’ Because he is the neophyte among the contenders, with only four years of experience as a senator, Edwards made a calculated risk to essentially go underground for the first six months of this year to prove his viability by raising presidential-caliber money. Edwards passed that test with flying colors: He raised more money than any other Democrat in the first three months and now has more cash to spend than everyone save Sen. John F. Kerry (Mass.), $8.1 million. Much of it came from fellow trial lawyers, but at this point in the contest, money is money, Democrats say. At the same time, though, he seemed to fade and allow the campaigns of Kerry, Dean and Rep. Richard A. Gephardt (Mo.) in particular to take root here and in Iowa and sprout large networks of supporters. The result: During recent interviews with dozens of voters in Iowa, few knew much if anything about Edwards, and none listed him as a top-tier candidate. Many of the most active Democrats have signed up to help other campaigns. In a primary that has more well-funded participants and is starting earlier than most in history, it is unclear how badly Edwards has hurt himself -- if at all -- by making a belated bid for the two earliest prizes. Polls show many Democrats are undecided on a candidate, and no one has emerged as a clear front-runner, which strategists say bodes well for EdwardsHe is planning to dip into his campaign bank soon to fund his first ads in Iowa and, perhaps, New Hampshire. With his good looks and a warm courtroom presence, Edwards, 50, comes across better than most candidates on television, according to Democratic strategists. This could provide Edwards a much-needed lift in the dog days of summer. At the least, it will give many Democrats their first look at the candidate… Edwards's advisers talk of a gradual rise up starting now and with high hopes of peaking later this year, when more voters start paying attention. In an interview, Edwards said that by the time voters make up their minds, ‘they will be looking for character, looking for vision and looking for person with solutions,’ which he thinks he provides. The Edwards campaign does not necessarily expect to win either Iowa or New Hampshire in January, but it hopes to place high enough to stay alive into February. At that point, the contest moves quickly to the South, to places such as South Carolina and Oklahoma and out West, where Edwards's emerging brand of southern centrism is an easier sell. While most successful campaigns of recent history relied on top three showings in Iowa and New Hampshire to build momentum, Edwards and Lieberman are banking on big momentum swings during the first seven days of February, when nine states hold their primaries. Edwards sees South Carolina, where he was born, as a must-win and is spending considerable time and money in Arizona and other states getting less attention now from the major candidates. Those states are ‘enormously important,’ he said. Edwards is trying to position himself as the centrist in the field, with a heavy emphasis on the personal and fiscal responsibility themes popularized by Clinton in 1992 and 1996. ‘Edwards's campaign is certainly going in a direction we'd like to see the party go,’ said Al From of the Democratic Leadership Council.” (8/4/2003)

…  Summer TV viewing takes a turn for the worse in Iowa and New Hampshire – Edwards begins buy featuring bio ads, but most IA observers say it’s too little too late given his low poll ranking in the two kickoff states. An excerpt from coverage by AP’s Iowa caucus-watcher Mike Glover: “Democratic presidential hopeful John Edwards planned to hit the airwaves Wednesday with his first round of television commercials in Iowa and New Hampshire. Determined to improve on his low single-digit showing in state and national polls, the North Carolina senator will use some of the millions he raised early in the campaign on advertising. The commercials - two 30-second spots and one 60-second spot - show Edwards and his family, and focus on his background as the son of a mill worker who was the first in his family to attend college. One features Edwards touting his plan to aid college students in paying tuition, and another in which he criticizes tax breaks, arguing that they encourage companies to leave the country. ‘My grandmother came from a family of sharecroppers,’ Edwards says in one ad. ‘My father worked in a cotton mill all his life, and I helped out in the summers.’ The spots also make the point that ‘George Bush, he comes from a very different place.’ David Axelrod, a Chicago-based media consultant advising the campaign, said the television drive is part of a strategy in which Edwards spent the first half of the year raising money and now will try to introduce himself to voters. Edwards raised $11.9 million in the first two quarters of fund raising, according to reports he filed with the Federal Election Commission, placing him second behind Sen. John Kerry of Massachusetts. Edwards has $8.5 million on hand. ‘We've always had a plan from the beginning to spend the first half of this year raising the money we need to communicate with the American people and the second half of the year communicating with the American people,’ Axelrod said. The campaign will begin rotating three separate commercials in Iowa and New Hampshire, beginning as early as Wednesday night. Axelrod declined to put a dollar figure on the effort. ‘I would call it a substantial buy,’ he said. With his move, Edwards becomes the second Democratic presidential candidate to take to the airwaves in key early states. Former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean launched a similar drive earlier this summer.”(8/7/2003)

Just what the Dem campaign needs – Edwards outlines his “real solutions” for America in a pamphlet. Headline from yesterday’s The Union Leader – “Summer reading: Edwards offers 65-page policy booklet” Coverage – datelined Concord – by AP’s Holly Ramer. An excerpt: “Democratic Presidential hopeful John Edwards wants New Hampshire teachers to hit the books before they head back to the classroom.  The North Carolina senator plans to distribute copies of his 60-plus-page booklet ‘Real Solutions For America’ at a meeting Wednesday of the National Education Association of New Hampshire. Copies also will be available at two ‘Town Hall’ meetings later in the day. ‘America deserves a President who will offer real solutions to the problems people face in their everyday lives. I have a responsibility to tell you not just what I'm against, but what I'm for,’ Edwards wrote in the booklet's introduction, which was provided along with excerpts to The Associated Press.  In a crowded field of nine Democrats, Edwards has sought to distinguish himself with a steady stream of policy proposals. The booklet is divided into 11 chapters on everything from job creation to health care to foreign policy. A section titled ‘Help Working Americans Build Their Wealth’ includes Edwards' plan to provide a matching tax credit of up to $5,000 for first-time homeowners, cut capital gains tax rates for middle-class families and create matching retirement savings accounts for those with incomes up to $50,000.  Though Edwards has been touting the proposals for months, packaging them together provides a detailed look at the candidate's ideas, what they'd cost and how he'd pay for them, said Colin VanOstern, Edwards' New Hampshire spokesman.  The booklet isn't exactly beach reading, but VanOstern said he expects the crowds at the Town Hall forums to pick them up. ‘People are really starting to be engaged,’ he said.  Edwards is not the first Presidential candidate to package his ideas in a booklet - Sen. Bob Graham of Florida has a 50-page pamphlet on his economic policy alone.” (8/7/2003)

Edwards unable to respond to question on standardized tests at NH NEA convention – and the Union Leader hits him with an editorial. Headline on Friday editorial – “Cram time: Edwards fails a practice test” Editorial excerpt: “Sen. John Edwards had a ‘duh’ moment in Bartlett on Wednesday. Edwards was there to hand out copies of his 60-page booklet detailing his policy agenda for the nation. The first line of his booklet reads, ‘I’ve spent the last year putting together a detailed plan to get our country moving again.’ Handing out the booklet in Bartlett, he said, ‘I want you to know where I stand on everything.’ Then the head of Derry’s teachers’ union asked Edwards what he would do to improve standardized testing. His answer? He didn’t know enough about the subject to give an answer. The man spent the past year crafting a ‘detailed plan’ for the country, and he has no opinion on standardized testing, one of the hottest subjects in America in the past two years? Looks like Sen. Edwards is trying to take one of the most important tests in the country without having finished his homework.” (8/10/2003)

NC poll: By 48-47 margin, home state voters disapprove of his White House bid. Numbers below 50% in possible Senate re-election bid – and Bush would carry the state 54-40 in a head-to-head matchup. Under the subhead “Edwards malaise,” Jennifer Harper reported in the “Inside Politics” column in Friday’s Washington Times:  “Democrat John Edwards, whose presidential campaign has been going nowhere, is running well behind President Bush in his home state of North Carolina. The senator's re-election prospects are looking shakier, too, if he decides to seek a second term. The president would defeat Mr. Edwards 54 percent to 40 percent, according to a Research 2000 North Carolina Poll conducted July 13-16. Voters also said by a margin of 48 percent to 47 percent that they disapproved of Mr. Edwards' White House bid, though he leads in the state Democratic primary with an underwhelming 43 percent. In a trial matchup against Republican challenger Rep. Richard M. Burr, Mr. Edwards leads 47 percent to 39 percent, ‘a poor showing for an incumbent this early in the election cycle,’ election analyst Hastings Wyman said in the Southern Political Report. ‘Moreover, Edwards' Senate margin is decreasing — in mid-May, he led Burr 47 percent to 36 percent.’”(8/10/2003)

As if Edwards didn’t have enough problems trying to pretend to be a credible Dem contender, the locals back home are now pressuring him to decide on his Senate future. Weekend headline from the Boston Globe online edition: “N. C. party presses Edwards for decision: White House or Senate race?” Excerpt – datelined Raleigh – from AP report by Scott Mooneyham: “Fight all the way for the White House or return home and run for reelection to the Senate? North Carolina Democrats are pressuring John Edwards for an answer now, arguing that the longer he delays, the better the chances of Republicans reclaiming his seat in 2004. Edwards could try for a political double of pursuing the party's nomination while running for a second Senate term. State law allows him to do both, but not even Edwards's confidants expect him to try. So North Carolina Democrats nervously watch the Republicans charge ahead. ‘It is just time for some decisions to be made, and they need to be made now,’ said state Representative Mickey Michaux, a 13-term House member from Durham. ‘If John is not going to run, then John ought to say that he is not going to run and let other people know that. If he is going to run, then he ought to be gearing up his campaign to run for Senate.’ The Democrats' biggest fear is that he will proceed with his presidential bid and eventually drop out of the Senate race, but take so long to decide that he leaves potential Democratic Senate candidates at a disadvantage. The Edwards campaign said he has no timetable for making a decision. ‘I think the longer this situation remains in doubt, the weaker our candidate will be,’ said Tony Rand, the state Senate majority leader and a Democrat from Fayetteville. Democrats' fears have been heightened by Representative Richard Burr's emergence as the Republican front-runner. With backing from the White House, Burr has raised $1.8 million this year for the Senate race and transferred $1.7 million from his House campaign account, according to Federal Election Commission reports. Democrats poised to run if Edwards should choose a presidential bid are former White House chief of staff Erskine Bowles and former state House speaker Dan Blue… Questioned about the race, Jennifer Palmieri, Edwards's presidential campaign spokeswoman, reiterated what the candidate has said: ‘He is running for president, and he hasn't made a decision on the Senate seat.’ Democrats expressed concern that he has hurt his chances with North Carolina voters by spending so much time on the presidential campaign trail.” (8/11/2003)

Edwards tries to make point on education – and criticizes Bush – with visit to slave school in South Carolina. Excerpt of AP coverage by AP’s Bruce Smith in yesterday’s Greenville News: “Democratic presidential contender U.S. Sen. John Edwards visited the site of the nation's first school for freed slaves Saturday and attacked President George Bush's education record. ‘In many ways we still have two public school systems in America - one for the haves and one for the have-nots,’ Edwards, the North Carolina Democrat, told a crowd of about 100 people gathered at the Penn Center on this sea island near Beaufort, S.C. ‘The president has talked about his slogan no child left behind. But I have served on the Education Committee and my concern is this president is actually leaving millions of children behind,’ Edwards said to loud applause and hoots from the audience. Edwards was campaigning before South Carolina's first-in-the-South Democratic presidential primary next February. The Penn Center, which runs a number of community outreach programs for island residents, began in 1862 as a school for freed slaves after Union forces captured the area early in the Civil War. Edwards said the president has failed to provide enough money to even pay for his own education plan. ‘We have to address the serious needs in our public schools, particularly narrowing the gap between the two public school systems in America,’ Edwards said. Edwards called for a national initiative to boost teacher pay and for pay incentives to encourage good teachers to teach in poorly performing schools. He also said there needs to be more investment in early childhood education programs and in after-school programs. After-school programs can provide students with a place to go so they are off the streets and productive, Edwards said. ‘The president's solution was to cut half a million after-school slots,’ said Edwards. ‘This is not what he values. This is not what he puts his priorities on. For the president, public education is a slogan. It's a political issue.’ Then Edwards added: ‘For me, this is personal.’”(8/11/2003)

…  Edwards, striving to improve on second place showing in latest SC poll, goes with standard Bush-honors-wealth theme during weekend appearances. Headline from yesterday’s Charleston Post and Courier: “Edwards describes Bush as out of touch” Excerpt from report by Michael Gartland: “In a four-stop tour of the Lowcountry, Democratic presidential contender Sen. John Edwards argued Saturday for health care reform and cast President Bush as out of touch with Americans' core values. ‘The pharmaceutical industry has an absolute stranglehold on Washington,’ Edwards said before an audience of about 40 at the Master Chef restaurant in North Charleston. ‘There are more lobbyists for these industries than live in my hometown.’ The problem, he said, has worsened under Bush's leadership. Edwards, a native South Carolinian who is a U.S. senator from North Carolina, accused Bush of pandering to corporate interests and ignoring the needs of ordinary workers. ‘In the world he comes from, wealth is inherited, not earned,’ said Edwards to the mostly black audience. ‘He honors and respects one thing: wealth. And he wants to make sure that whoever has it, keeps it.’ His tour, which also included stops at St. Helena Island, Walterboro, and Summerville, came six months before South Carolina's Democratic presidential primary next February, the first primary in the South. Edwards also focused his attack on Bush's tax cuts, which he described as more beneficial to the rich than to anyone else. He later emphasized that he would support tax cuts that would benefit working people. ‘He wants to get rid of the dividends tax. He wants to get rid of the estate tax,’ said Edwards, 50. ‘I take this very personally.’”(8/12/2003)

So, where are they doing well? Senator-wannabes Edwards and Graham can’t crack the Wannabe Top Four – and now the Washington Times reports they are fading in home states too. Headline from yesterday’s Times: “Home support falls for hopefuls Graham, Edwards” Excerpts from report by the Times’ Stephen Dinan and Charles Hunt: “The two Democrats running for president next year who are also up for re-election to the Senate are losing support back home because of positions they have taken on the national campaign trail. Sen. Bob Graham of Florida and Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina have cast votes and made statements unpopular back home, and polls suggest both could be vulnerable if they choose to run again for their Senate seats. A Mason-Dixon poll last week showed Mr. Graham with his lowest approval rating in more than a decade, while in North Carolina, Rep. Richard Burr, a Republican running to unseat Mr. Edwards, has steadily closed the gap between himself and Mr. Edwards in Raleigh News-Observer polls during the last six months. Mr. Edwards and Mr. Graham have time before public pressure or, in the case of Mr. Graham, state law, forces them to choose between their presidential or Senate bids. And with the election more than a year away, they have time to rebuild from what they say is a natural dip in the polls at home anytime a senator from a moderate state campaigns among the country's more liberal Democratic primary voters. But Republicans are tallying up the votes and public statements and awaiting their campaigns. ‘[Bob Graham] has given so many 30-second ads we wouldn't know what to do with them,’ said Chris Paulitz, spokesman for Rep. Mark Foley, a Florida Republican who is running for the Republican nomination for the Senate seat. He pointed to Mr. Graham's support for a filibuster to block the confirmation of the first Hispanic federal appeals court judge and the senator's opposition to the Medicare bill that passed the Senate. And then there are Mr. Graham's rhetorical attacks on President Bush, in which he questioned the president's honesty and suggested he should be impeached for misleading the nation into war. ‘The people of Florida are starting to realize that the man running for president is not the same guy that was a two-term governor and a sitting senator that a broad cross-section of Floridians were voting for,’ said Paul Seago, political director for Bill McCollum, another Republican seeking the seat. Last week's Mason-Dixon poll showed Mr. Graham with 53 percent job approval — down from 63 percent last year. For his part, Mr. Edwards faces similar poll numbers and the same questions about votes and rhetoric. Visiting the site last week of the shuttered Pillowtex Corp. textile mill in Kannapolis, N.C., where 4,000 jobs were lost, Mr. Edwards had to defend his vote made several years ago to grant permanent normalized trade relations with China. Workers blame free-trade agreements for sending textile jobs overseas in recent years. Mr. Edwards said he stood by his vote and urged that federal money be expedited to the laid-off workers. But few episodes more clearly show the divergence between the national and local audiences than when Mr. Edwards told the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People's annual convention last month he was ‘tired of Democrats walking away from President Bill Clinton, who did an extraordinary job of lifting up and reaching out to all of the American people.’ Ferrell Blount, the new chairman of the North Carolina Republican Party, said Mr. Edwards can expect to see that used in a campaign: ‘Bill Clinton — I don't know if I'd go so far to say despised, but he certainly is not a revered individual in the state.’”(8/13/2003)

Another bad day – and more unfavorable commentary – for Edwards as his chances for Dem nod fade and reports say GOP “smells blood” in the NC political water. Under the headline “The Fight Of John Edwards’ Life,” a RealClearPolitics.com commentary noted that things aren’t looking up for the NC wannabe. Excerpt: “The way things are shaping up, John Edwards could really be screwed. Despite raising tons of trial lawyer money he's been unable to make any headway in the polls over the last few months. In national surveys he's averaging about 5% (slightly behind Al Sharpton), and running sixth out of the nine candidates in the field. In key primary states Edwards is fairing even worse, running a distant fourth in Iowa (5%) and almost off the radar screen in New Hampshire (2%). The only bit of good news Edwards has gotten recently came from an ARG poll of South Carolina released this week showing him moving into second place at 10%, even though Zogby's last SC poll in late July had him generating a paltry 5% support and running behind Lieberman, Gephardt, and Sharpton. Meanwhile, back in North Carolina things aren't any better. State Democrats have become increasingly nervous and frustrated by Edwards' unwillingness to commit to either running for reelection to the Senate (by pulling the plug on his Presidential run or running concurrent campaigns) or to stepping aside and clearing the way for somebody else. They have good reason to be nervous. Edwards poll numbers in his home state are atrocious: he's sporting a 32% reelect, a 41% unfavorable, and a majority of voters (51%) disapprove of his running for president. Oh, and by the way, in a hypothetical matchup Edwards loses his home state to Bush by 18 points...An inability to hold on to a vast majority of the African-American vote in North Carolina spells certain doom for Democrats. It doesn't help matters that the party's lone Senator is off campaigning around the country instead of mending fences at home. On the other side, the GOP smells blood in the water. Republican Congressman Richard Burr already has $3 million in the bank and trails Edwards by only 11 points in the latest polls. Edwards knows he's in dire straits. This past week he launched ads in both Iowa and New Hampshire to try and boost his sagging numbers. But if he can't turn around his campaign for president, or if he hangs on too long trying and does irreparable harm to his Senate reelection bid, the best Edwards can hope for is that a Northeastern liberal like Dean or Kerry wins the nomination and picks up the phone to round out the ticket. John Edwards is in the fight of his life: either he will become the next Vice-President of the United States or his political career will be over.”(8/14/2003)

In Iowa – where pro-trade policies are pushed by farmers and commodity groups – Edwards and Gephardt brag about leading the fight against trade. Headline from this morning’s The Union Leader: “Democrats court key labor vote” Excerpts of coverage from Iowa Federation of Labor convention in Waterloo by AP’s Mike Glover:   Six Democratic presidential candidates sketched out differences on health care and trade Wednesday as they competed for the backing of organized labor, which is key to securing the party's nomination. North Carolina Sen. John Edwards and Missouri Rep. Richard Gephardt bragged that they've led the fight against trade deals, saying the deals resulted in American jobs being shipped overseas and declining wages. The two men criticized their rivals who have supported trade pacts in the past. ‘Most of them were for those treaties when they were before Congress,’ said Gephardt, wagging his finger. Added Edwards: ‘There are a lot of Democrats have never seen a trade agreement they didn't like.’ Trade is a key issue for organized labor because an effort to expand the North American Free Trade Agreement is pending before Congress. Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry conceded that he had voted for trade agreements during the Clinton administration, but argued that he now opposes expansion of those agreements. ‘During the Clinton years I voted for trade, but we have seen a sea change over those years,’ Kerry said. Florida Sen. Bob Graham said he would push for protections in any trade agreements negotiated with other countries. ‘If we have a level playing field, we can win,’ he said. Kerry, Graham and Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman all voted in favor of the original NAFTA, but Kerry and Graham argued that it is now time for additional protections. Former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean said he supported NAFTA because it was good for his state. Dean now wants labor and environmental standards added to it. Ohio Rep. Dennis Kucinich said he would pull out of the World Trade Organization and cancel NAFTA altogether. ‘Anyone who talks about changing it doesn't know what he's talking about,’ he said. Kerry and Graham argued that Gephardt's $200 billion-plus plan to expand the nation's health care system was too expensive, although all of the candidates have their own plans to fix the system.” (8/14/2003)

Without Snow White, seven Dem dwarfs show up at Drake University to discuss their health care plans (for probably the 4,850th time) and attack the president (for probably the 629,382nd time). Headline from this morning’s Union Leader: “Democratic rivals joust on health care” Coverage – an excerpt datelined Des Moines – by AP’s Mike Glover: “Seven Democratic presidential nominees used an Iowa political forum Thursday to offer deeply personal pitches for revamping the nation's health system and to bash President Bush and large pharmaceutical companies. Most of the major Democratic candidates have offered plans to expand the nation's health care system, and would finance their efforts by repealing various portions of the tax cut the president pushed through Congress. ‘America has a choice, it can have tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans or health care for all Americans,” Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry told the gathering of health care advocates. Kerry used his recent bout with prostate cancer and the expensive treatment he got for the disease as an example of why the system needs to be changed. ‘We must stop being the only industrial nation in the world that does not understand that health care is not a privilege, it is a right,’ he said. Florida Sen. Bob Graham has health issues of his own, undergoing major heart surgery before he entered the race. ‘Clearly one of the challenges facing America is making health care affordable and accessible to all,’ Graham said. ‘That is a goal to which we all should be committed.’ Missouri Rep. Richard Gephardt pointed to his son's bout with cancer, and called health care a ‘moral issue.’…’It is immoral in this country to have people not have health care,’ Gephardt shouted. Former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean, a doctor, said he wanted the whole country to have health care like Vermont, which has health coverage for all youngsters and subsidized care for the working poor. ‘It can pass,’ Dean said. ‘I'm tired of having Democrats tilt at windmills.’ Dean later had one of his more colorful days on the campaign trail, as 200 people packed a local blues club to watch him play harmonica and guitar. Dean accompanied two other performers on two songs, including one written specifically for his campaign. He quietly sang along with lyrics like ‘Dean for America’ and ‘losing my mind from being left behind.’ Former Illinois Sen. Carol Moseley Braun and Ohio Rep. Dennis Kucinich offered their pitch for a single-payer, government-run health care system, where health coverage isn't tied to the workplace…North Carolina Sen. John Edwards touted his $53 billion plan to offer tax credits to help pay for insurance costs and argued that Bush's health care plans are likely dictated by political adviser Karl Rove…Gephardt also complained that giant pharmaceutical companies influence Bush's health care plans. ‘They put $70 million into the campaigns only of Republicans,’ Gephardt said. ‘It's time to kick the moneychangers out of the temples of government.’” (8/15/2003)

Life doesn’t get any easier for Edwards – especially with national AP reports that his campaign is at “a do-or-die stage.” Headline from this morning’s The Union Leader: “Edwards readies do-or-die presidential campaign” Excerpts from report – dateline Charles City – by AP’s Ron Fournier: “Though one of the most inexperienced candidates in the nine-person Democratic field, Edwards comes equipped with some of the tools that vaulted Bill Clinton to the presidency - Southern charm, an up-from-the-bootstraps biography, good looks and ability to convince voters that he feels their pain. But his candidacy has not caught onHis campaign is at a do-or-die stage as he tries to improve his standing. This is when the millionaire trial lawyer, second among the field's fund-raisers, must translate his advantages into support. ‘The next two or three months are critical,’ Edwards said aboard his huge campaign bus that is carrying his wife and two kids through Iowa and New Hampshire the next two weeks. This month he began airing about $500,000 worth of ads in Iowa and New Hampshire, the states where Democrats will make their first choices early next year. The ads, scheduled to run for about four weeks, focus on his working-class upbringing, his policies to help the middle class and his argument that President Bush favors wealth over hard work. When the ads run their course, another round is likely to follow. ‘I want to make sure the voters know me, where I'm from and what my vision is,’ Edwards said. ‘For the first time, I'm communicating with voters in Iowa in New Hampshire.Edwards barely registers in national and state polls, and suffers from a perception among some Democrats that he offers nothing more than a slick presentation. He is combating the criticism with a set of policy initiatives that may be the most creative and detailed of the field. Edwards wants to offer free tuition to freshman college students willing to work 10 hours a week. Parents would be required to insure their children under a health care plan that offered them tax incentives. Both initiatives trace Clinton's effort to appeal to the Democrats' middle-class roots by offering new government programs while assuring swing voters that accountability comes with the spendingThe fall buildup includes Edwards' formal announcement in mid-September. He also is expected to soon announce his intentions for his Senate seat, which is up for election in 2004. Party leaders in North Carolina are pressing him to make way for a Democrat to seek his seat. Edwards wouldn't tip his hand Thursday, but he sounds and acts like a man willing to let another Democrat try for the Senate as he shoots for the presidency. ‘I'm in this for the long haul,’ he said.” (8/15/2003)

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