Howard
Dean
excerpts
from
the Iowa Daily Report
September
1-15,
2003
… Insurgent
Dean -- now acting like a team player – sends
out fundraising appeal for the DNC.
Subhead from “Washington Whispers” in U. S.
News & World Report: “Dean moves to end the
Democratic family feud” Report by Whispers
columnist Paul Bedard: “Howard Dean, long
on the Democratic establishment's
you-know-what list for dumping on party boss
Terry McAuliffe, has made nice. Insiders
tell Whispers that Dean, the
front-runner in opinion polls and fundraising,
has become the first--and only--of the nine
presidential candidates to help McAuliffe
raise cash for the Democratic National
Committee Presidential Trust. ‘For all those
who think Dean and Terry don't get
along,’ says a party insider, ‘here's the
proof that the feud is over.’ Another official
'fessed that Dean's plea to big donors
was ‘shocking,’ but added: ‘We love this guy
now.’ In one letter shown to Whispers, Dean
asks a donor to pony up the maximum $25,000
for the fund. Of course, party officials
say the effort isn't totally magnanimous; it
suggests that the candidate thinks he has the
nomination sewn up. The trust is the kitty
that goes to the eventual party nominee to
fight President Bush. ‘He's already
looking to the general election,’ says an
official who also noted that the
self-declared liberal has started to tout
himself as a moderate.”(9/2/2003)
… Report from the
Dean frontlines: 10,000 looked like a big
crowd in Seattle – until 15,000 showed at New
York City rally. Headline from Sunday’s
Miami Herald: “Dean faces the test of a
lifetime…The former Vermont governor’s off
to a great start, but can the dazzle last?”
Excerpts from report by the Herald’s Peter
Wallsten: “Howard Dean, the once-unknown
physician-turned-governor of a tiny state,
climbed to the podium in a downtown Seattle
park this week and looked out in amazement at
the scene below: 10,000 people, chanting his
name in unison. It was the largest crowd to
gather anywhere this year for a Democratic
presidential candidate -- until the following
night, when about 15,000 crammed into a park
near New York's Times Square to chant Dean's
name and boo President Bush. By all
measures, the events of the past month have
elevated Dean, 54, to the top of the heap of
Democrats seeking the nomination to challenge
Bush in 2004. He is raising more money,
generating more excitement and garnering
higher polling numbers than anyone --
surpassing the race's supposed heavyweight,
Sen. John Kerry of Massachusetts, in a
recent poll of New Hampshire voters by a 38-17
margin. Next week, Dean's campaign begins
airing ads in six states far from the
traditionally early battlegrounds of Iowa and
New Hampshire, thanks largely to an
unexpectedly fruitful three-month fundraising
period that strategists predict will total
more than $10 million by Sept. 30. It's
enough for Dean campaign manager, Joe Trippi,
a Diet Pepsi-swilling veteran of presidential
politics and the father of Dean's
Internet-based success, to declare this ‘the
most successful insurgent campaign in our
party's history.’ Or, as Dean puts it, ‘This
isn't just a campaign. It's a movement.’
But could this really be a real-life Josiah
Bartlet -- the liberal Democratic president
from a small New England state played by
Martin Sheen on TV's The West Wing -- for
2004? For all of the glory of his campaign's
surprising success, Dean is about to
undergo the test of a lifetime: The
scrutiny and scorn from opponents in his own
party, who view him as too liberal to pose a
potent challenge to Bush; from Republicans
seeking to discredit a potential Democratic
nominee; and from a national media eager to
dig into the life and times of an obscure
former governor of a largely white state with
a third the population of Miami-Dade County.
Dean's leading rivals are already charging
that his dazzle will not last, that he is
tapping an ‘anger vein,’ as one opposing
strategist put it, rampant in a limited set of
young, mostly white protester types.
Absent from Dean's base are substantial
numbers of blacks, Hispanics and labor union
activists. Dean supporters ‘represent a
particular and discrete demographic of people
who are very angry,’ said Chris Lehane, a
senior advisor to Kerry. ‘It's a
demographic that spends a lot of time on the
Internet.’(9/2/2003)
… Even when he’s
not in sight, Dean dominates latest wannabe
discussions. Headline from yesterday’s The
Union Leader: “Kerry, Lieberman fire at
front-runner Dean” Excerpt from AP report
– datelined Washington – by AP’s Jennifer C.
Kerr: “He wasn't even on the Sunday talk
shows, but Howard Dean got plenty of air time
as his Democratic rivals for the White House
took aim at the former Vermont governor.
‘Howard Dean has zero experience in
international affairs,’ said Massachusetts
Sen. John Kerry on NBC's Meet the
Press. ‘The presidency is not the place for
on-the-job training in this new security
world,’ he said. Dean has opened up a
wide lead over Kerry - by more than 20
points - in the latest poll in New Hampshire,
a key state because of its Jan. 27 primary.
Dean had been trailing Kerry earlier this
year. Kerry dismissed the new numbers,
saying, ‘I'm not concerned about it.’ He
added, ‘Summertime is not when presidential
races are won.’ Dean aides said their
candidate is gaining ground and that must be
making Kerry nervous. ‘For seven months
they ignored us, now they're attacking us,’
said campaign manager Joe Trippi. ‘I wonder
why that is?’ White House hopeful Joe
Lieberman also had Dean in the political
crosshairs. The Connecticut senator said Dean
is not the candidate to take on President
Bush: ‘I worry that he cannot win.’ On
CBS' Face the Nation, Lieberman also
accused Dean of flip-flopping on some of his
positions. ‘He's got to let the American
people know exactly where he stands,’ said
Lieberman.” (9/2/2003)
… “Labor
leaders look at Dean and see a combination of
George McGovern and Michael Dukakis. They see
the inspiration for a new generation of Reagan
Democrats.” – Sentences from Detroit News
commentary. Headline on Nolan Finley
commentary: “Howard Dean may inspire new
generation of Reagan Democrats” Excerpt
from Finley’s column in Sunday’s News: “What's
giving the bosses of Big Labor bellyaches as
the nation heads into another presidential
race? The prospect that Howard Dean might end
up carrying the Democrats' water next fall.
Dean is the folksy physician from Vermont,
a former governor who speaks to the heart of
die-hard Democratic lefties. He is inspiring
an army of aging hippies and youthful
idealists who find in his liberal ideals hope
for wresting America from the fat cats and
returning it to the people. Dean
grabbed all the press in the summer campaign
warm-up. His rallies were part tent revival,
part Phish festival. Polls now show him well
ahead of the rest of the Democratic pack in
the early primary states. And the money is
simply pouring in. Dean-ites look at their
man and see a John McCain-style straight
talker with Ralph Nader's playbook. Labor
leaders look at Dean and see a combination of
George McGovern and Michael Dukakis. They see
the inspiration for a new generation of Reagan
Democrats. A soft-on-defense, anti-war,
tax-and-spender who will send their members
rushing into the arms of George W. Bush. Labor
delivered the votes for Bill Clinton in 1996
and Al Gore in 2000, and that quieted
fears that the GOP had hijacked labor's core.
But union members are flag-wavers, much
more conservative on issues like national
security and gun control, and not likely to
fall in line behind an old school peacenik
like Dean. If they go in big numbers to
Bush and the GOP, it increases the possibility
that Republicans will win super majorities in
the Senate and House, clearing the way for
implementing the conservative agenda. So some
labor leaders are agitating for unification
behind a single Democratic candidate to
counter the Dean surge. The Teamsters
have already endorsed Dick Gephardt,
the Missouri congressman who has the best
defense credentials of any of the Democrats
except Sen. Joe Lieberman of
Connecticut. Several other unions are also
backing Gephardt. But Gephardt
shares the same affliction as most of the
other candidates. He's dull, boring, dry as
toast. Union members may give him their vote
-- but first they have to care enough
to come to the polls. Dean, on the
other hand, has the fire. He can speak to the
25 percent of voters who hate Bush and will
bring out college students who otherwise
wouldn't vote. And in a primary or caucus
clogged with candidates, that could be all it
takes to capture the delegation. That would
leave labor in a position it hoped never to be
in again -- using membership money to back a
candidate its members can't stomach. Labor
thinks it has a shot at Bush, even if national
defense remains a top shelf issue, if the
Democrats field a candidate able to articulate
the concern over a declining manufacturing
base and the loss of union jobs. Dean may
talk the talk on trade and job protection, but
union members are smart enough to know that
jobs don't come from that far left.
Privately, some union officials hint they may
effectively sit out the general election if
Dean wins the nomination. That may be the
safest position. Reagan Democrats may not be
as wild for Bush as they were for the Gipper,
but at this point, it's hard to see them
connecting with Howard Dean.” (9/2/2003)
… “With a
Pile of Money, Dean Ups the Ante…Primaries
are months away, but the other candidates are
pressed to make a move soon.” – headline on
Ronald Brownstein column in Sunday’s Los
Angeles Times. Excerpts from Brownstein’s
column: “After beginning the year as a
longshot, former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean
has surged past his rivals as the race for the
Democratic presidential nomination hits the
Labor Day milepost. Dean has raised
more money than any of his opponents in recent
months, rocketed to the top not only of polls
in Iowa and New Hampshire but some national
surveys of Democrats, and drawn much larger
crowds than usually seen at this point in the
nomination process. ‘Dean has dramatically
altered the race,” said Simon Rosenberg,
president of the New Democrat Network, a
centrist Democratic group. ‘He has become the
front-runner.’ Major tests await Dean,
including a series of candidate debates that
begin this week. And more twists and turns may
be inevitable, since relatively few Democrats
outside of the first states on the primary
calendar are paying close attention to the
contest. ‘No campaign has ever put a lock
on things in the summer,’ said Jim Jordan,
campaign manager for Sen. John F. Kerry
(D-Mass.). ‘This thing will be settled
somewhere in the snow.’ But with Dean
demonstrating so much strength, the pressure
is rapidly intensifying on the contest's eight
other candidates to slow his momentum or
increase their pace — or both. Although
the first voters won't cast ballots until
January, a wide range of Democratic
strategists say that if the other candidates
cannot change the race's trajectory in the
next three months, Dean may establish
advantages too large to overcome. ‘Whatever
third-quarter strategy they have been waiting
to unveil, it's time to unveil it now,’ said
Donna Brazile, who managed Democratic nominee
Al Gore's 2000 campaign. ‘If they have
something to offer the American people, I
don't know what they are waiting for.’
Dean appears on track to raise
significantly more money than his Democratic
rivals for the reporting period that ends
Sept. 30. That would send shock waves
through a Democratic establishment still
concerned that Dean's unrelenting opposition
to the war in Iraq might make him an easy
general election opponent for President Bush…That
imperative is likely to mean more attacks
on Dean in the weeks ahead, starting Thursday
in New Mexico at the first of several debates
sanctioned by the Democratic National
Committee. But finding ways to attract a
second look at their own campaigns may be even
more important for the other main contenders —
Kerry, Sen. Joe Lieberman of Connecticut, Sen.
John Edwards of North Carolina and Rep.
Richard A. Gephardt of Missouri, all of whom
have found themselves overshadowed by Dean.
‘There is plenty of time,’ said longtime
Democratic pollster Peter Hart, who is neutral
in the race. ‘The question is: Is there a
message or a persona by which one of the other
candidates can emerge? Part of the reason
Dean has emerged is that nobody else has
presented a very detailed or attractive
picture.’ With the war in Iraq and the
California gubernatorial recall dominating the
news and the 2004 election more than 14 months
away, presidential politics seem distant to
most Americans. But the calendar is already
pressing on the Democratic hopefuls.”(9/2/2003)
… “What’s the deal
with Dean?” – headline on Mark Silva’s
Sunday column in the Orlando Sentinel. Excerpt
from Silva’s column: “At least 10,000 people
pack shoulder to shoulder in a city park and
spill into the streets of downtown Seattle on
a Sunday night to see an awestruck Democrat
running for president, five months before any
state starts primary voting. ‘Can you hear me
all the way down that street over there?’
Howard Dean, the candidate, calls from
his platform. ‘This is unbelievable,’ says
Dean, ex-governor of a tiny and faraway state.
‘This crowd is so enormous, I'm a little
awestruck.’ Later, behind stage, Dean
is asked about the building momentum of his
campaign for his party's 2004 presidential
nomination. ‘It's pretty scary,’ he allows.
Dean, who came from backwater Vermont with
an audacious bid for the White House, has
scared more than himself. He has shaken up
a pack of established, Washington-based
Democrats, some complaining that Dean is too
liberal to wage a credible challenge against
President Bush. And, the GOP is reveling at
that prospect…Dean offers, on the
hustings, the seldom-seen inspiration of a
political leader courageous, combative and
powerfully intelligent. Fiercely critical
of Bush and the war with Iraq and refreshingly
optimistic about the possibilities for this
country: An economic revival and commitment to
health care ‘for every single American.’…’I
want an America based on hope,’ Dean, a former
family physician, tells growing and exuberant
audiences. ‘Not an America based on fear.’…Dean
may be riding a wave among progressive primary
voters in New Hampshire and antiwar
caucus-goers in Iowa this summer. But when the
presidential campaign heads South -- to the
war-supporting and self-described moralistic
region that Bush swept state-by-state in 2000
-- Dean's wave may well hit a reactionary
breakwater…With eyes on the West Wing,
Dean is striving to dispel the notion that he
inhabits the Left Wing. Dean, who balanced
the budget in a state whose constitution does
not demand fiscal prudence, who offered
businesses tax breaks as incentives for
development, who enjoys praise from the
National Rifle Association, says he stands
ready to dispatch American forces to die
abroad in the defense of his country.”(9/2/2003)
… Dean & The
Clintons I: Wall Street
Journal’s John Fund reports that the
“hostility of Team Clinton” could be one of
the obstacles blocking Dean’s route to the Dem
nomination. Hillary may not want the
nomination, but she doesn’t want Dean to get
it either. Headline on Fund’s column
yesterday on OpinionJournal.com: “The
Anti-Dean…Why Hillary opposes the
Democratic front-runner.” Excerpts from “John
Fund’s Political Diary”: “While
Hillary Clinton swears she isn't running for
president, she certainly isn't happy about
Howard Dean becoming the Democratic
frontrunner. The Clintons--along with Terry
McAuliffe, their hand-picked chairman of the
Democratic National Committee--could become
some of the biggest behind-the-scenes
obstacles to Mr. Dean's insurgent candidacy.
The fevered speculation last week that
Hillary, seeing polls showing softening
support for President Bush, just might make a
last-minute parachute entry into the 2004 race
was based on poor reading of the tea leaves.
The evidence was the fact that several e-mail
postings on Sen. Hillary Clinton's Web
site urged her to run now and the news that
she is meeting with political strategists
about her future. Then it turned out that the
meeting was one of a series she routinely
holds and Mrs. Clinton herself told reporters
on Friday: ‘I am absolutely ruling it out.’
Some of the media speculation about a Hillary
run is generated by potential Democratic
candidates who aren't running in 2004.
Hank Sheinkopf, a Democratic consultant who
worked on President Clinton's 1996 re-election
campaign, told the Associated Press ‘There
are those in my party who might like to see
her go, so she can get knocked off [by Mr.
Bush], opening up a different field in 2008.’
He added that ‘so long as she's in the way,
anybody who wants to run [in 2008] can't
consider it.’ Similarly, it's clear that
many of allies and supporters of Bill and
Hillary Clinton don't want Howard Dean to be
the party's 2004 standard bearer. Sen.
Evan Bayh of Indiana, chairman of the
Democratic Leadership Council, dismissed Mr.
Dean's fiery speeches against the Bush White
House by asking, ‘Do we want to vent or to
govern?’ Al From, the founder of the
moderate DLC, was instrumental in promoting
Mr. Clinton as a candidate back in 1992. He
now says that Mr. Dean belongs to the
party's ‘McGovern-Mondale wing’ and that he
would repeat their failed candidacies by being
swamped in the popular vote. The Clintons
may not be keen on a Democrat winning the
White House in 2004, but a Bush blowout might
weaken the Democratic Party for 2008 when Mrs.
Clinton is expected to run. But Clinton
supporters have other reasons to be leery of a
Dean candidacy. In June, the Drudge Report
noted that Mr. Dean had confided to
associates that he intended to change the
leadership of the Democratic National
Committee if he became the party's nominee…Anti-Bush
partisans may be having their joy ride with
Howard Dean, but it's clear they are secretly
pining for Hillary. Once they are absolutely
convinced she won't answer their calls, I have
no doubt many of them will grow tired and
skeptical of Mr. Dean. That doesn't mean
he can't win the nomination, just that the
obstacles blocking his way--including the
hostility of Team Clinton--will likely
remain.”(9/3/2003)
… Vilsack’s
“first tier” remains the same as it was weeks
ago: Dean, Gephardt and Kerry. Headline
from this morning’s Quad-City Times: “Vilsack’s
not ready to endorse candidate” Excerpt
from report by the Times’ Todd Dorman: “Gov.
Tom Vilsack was willing to handicap the
Democratic presidential race Tuesday, but
Iowa’s top Democrat said he is not ready to
hand out an endorsement just yet. With
Labor Day having signaled the start of a more
intense period in the campaign, Vilsack
said U.S. Rep. Richard Gephardt, D-Mo., former
Vermont Gov. Howard Dean and U.S. Sen. John
Kerry, D-Mass., make up the race’s ‘first
tier.’ Kerry formally announced his
candidacy Tuesday with a series of events that
included a speech in Des Moines. Recent
polls in Iowa, where the precinct caucuses
open the nomination process Jan. 19, show
Gephardt and Dean locked in a neck-and-neck
race with Kerry running third. U.S. Sens.
John Edwards, D-N.C., and Joe
Lieberman, D-Conn., trail the top three.
‘But there is opportunity for other candidates
to move into that first tier and to have a
successful caucus night,’ Vilsack said.
‘I think we’ll see a lot of activity the next
three or four months.’ The governor said he
expects Iowa Democrats to start paying more
attention to the race, partly because, he
says, they now see President Bush as
politically vulnerable. ‘We have a
situation in Iraq that clearly was not handled
very well. There was no plan for peace,’
Vilsack said. ‘With the economy, the
president talks about that fact that he
recognizes there is suffering, but he has no
plan.’ Vilsack, who chairs the Democratic
Governors Association, has hosted Edwards,
Gephardt, Dean and Lieberman at his Terrace
Hill residence. But the governor said he has
no plans at this time to endorse any of the
nine candidates. In 2000, Vilsack
remained neutral in the race between Vice
President Al Gore and former U.S. Sen.
Bill Bradley of New Jersey. The governor’s
wife, Christie Vilsack, endorsed Gore,
however. ‘I’ve left open the option for me to
endorse a candidate…I have no timeline,’ the
governor said. If he does pick a candidate,
Vilsack said he would do so to help
undecided voters make a decision. ‘It might be
an aid to people. I don’t think anyone’s
endorsement is a key for any candidate,’ he
said. As for undecided candidates, Vilsack
suggested Gen. Wesley Clark’s possible late
entry into the Democratic race would be
ill-advised. ‘He would clearly start
behind, and I think it would be very difficult
for him in the early states to catch up,’
Vilsack said.”(9/3/2003)
… Dean & The
Clintons II: Dean, inspired by
“Sleepless” tour and other successes, eyes
matching – or exceeding – Clinton’s
fundraising mark. Headline from
yesterday’s Washington Times: “Fruitful
tour spurs Dean to aim at Clinton’s record”
Coverage – an excerpt – by Waltraud Kaserer: “The
success of Howard Dean's cross-country tour
last week has inspired the former Vermont
governor to try to break a $10.3 million
Democratic fund-raising record set by Bill
Clinton in 1995, campaign organizers say. During
the three-day ‘Sleepless Summer Tour,’ Mr.
Dean visited 10 cities and raised more
than $1 million — the amount President Bush
collected in one recent fund-raising dinner.
The average contribution to Mr. Dean's
campaign was $58.60. The $10.3 million
aimed for the quarter ending Sept. 30 is the
amount Mr. Clinton raised during the similar
period in 1995 and was the best performance by
any Democratic presidential candidate in a
single quarter in the year before an election.
The rallies and various fund-raisers along the
6,100-mile route attracted more than 40,000
people. One of them, Cheryl Dehnt from
Leander, Texas, said she hadn't been
politically active until now. She came to the
fund-raiser in Austin because ‘Dean
is the first guy who gives us hope, that there
will be a chance…I saw him first on TV,
and he was the first one who was telling the
truth," she said…Although the campaign
tried to have blacks and Hispanics on the
podium in every city, the hands holding the
blue ‘Howard Dean for America’ placards were
mainly white.
Mr. Dean
considers as unfair the criticism from fellow
Democratic candidates and Republicans that he
can motivate only the ‘Birkenstock
liberals.’…’Nobody is asking those questions
to one of the other white candidates. It's
just because we are out and doing very well,’
he said. ’We are working on
diversity…Our prime message is very
powerful to the African-American community.
It's about health insurance, about jobs, about
education. The African-American community did
not support the war on Iraq.’…A few months
ago, the former governor was running behind
most of the other eight Democratic candidates
for the primaries, which kick off with the
District's primary in January. In the latest
Zogby poll, Mr. Dean leads New
Hampshire, with 38 percent approval from
likely Democratic voters, 21 percentage points
ahead of the second-best candidate, Sen. John
Kerry of Massachusetts. Critics say Mr.
Dean could peak too early. ‘We have
momentum,’ he said. ‘Keeping it is going to be
a struggle.’ Mr. Dean has about 339,000
supporters and wants to increase that number
to 450,000 by the end of the month. His
staff totals more than 120. Volunteers were
recruited mainly on the Internet. His next big
event will be the Democratic National
Convention's debate in Albuquerque, N.M., on
Thursday. ‘We are expecting to be attacked
there,’ Mr. Dean said. ‘But I will
handle that.’” (9/3/2003)
… Must read.
DeLay calls Dean “an embarrassment to the
democratic process and the Democratic Party.”
Under the subhead “DeLay vs. Dean,”
Greg Pierce reported yesterday in his “Inside
Politics” column in the Washington Post: “House
Majority Leader Tom DeLay yesterday condemned
the comments of presidential candidate and
former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean for saying
‘John Ashcroft is not a patriot.’…’Howard
Dean is a cruel and extremist
demagogue,’ Mr. DeLay said in a
statement. During a campaign appearance in New
Hampshire last weekend, Mr. Dean said Mr.
Ashcroft ‘is not a patriot’…’John Ashcroft
is a descendant of Joseph McCarthy," he said,
in a reference to the communist-hunting
senator of the 1950s. ‘John Ashcroft loves
America more than Howard Dean could ever
know.’ Mr. DeLay said. ‘John Ashcroft has
sacrificed for his country, and devoted his
life to serving it. He is as kind, generous,
and patriotic a man as I've ever met. And
Howard Dean is as ignorant on John Ashcroft as
he is on national security.’ The Texas
Republican added: ‘Howard Dean's
comments are an embarrassment to the
democratic process and the Democrat Party.
If this cruel, loudmouth extremist is the
cream of the Democrat crop, next November's
going to make the 1984 election look like a
squeaker.’ Mr. Dean's
communications director, Tricia Enright, fired
back, the Associated Press reports. ‘The
narrow ideological agenda of the DeLay-Ashcroft
wing of the Republican Party threatens basic
American freedoms that have been enshrined in
the Constitution for over 200 years. Those
policies are not only extreme, they are cruel,"
she said.”(9/4/2003)
…Post debate
analysis: “Democrats target Bush, not each
other, in debate that may favor front-runner”
– headline from this morning’s The Union
Leader. Excerpt from analysis by AP’s Ron
Fournier: “President Bush was an easy
target. Too easy for eight presidential
candidates who railed, in harmony, against
White House policies in Thursday night's
debate. In doing so, they failed to
distinguish themselves from each other. Their
hands-off approach may have best served Howard
Dean, the former Vermont governor who left the
debate relatively unscathed and still the
party's presidential front-runner. ‘Dean
kept his shine on,’ said Democratic strategist
Donna Brazile who managed Al Gore's
2000 presidential campaign. ‘Nobody took any
of the gloss from the type of message and the
type of campaign he's been running.’ Joe
Lieberman tried. The Connecticut senator
accused Dean of pressing for fair trade
standards that would scuttle existing treaties
and cost millions of jobs. ‘If that ever
happened, I'd say the Bush recession would be
followed by the Dean depression,’
Lieberman said. It was the type of shot
Democratic activists had expected since Dean
surged this summer to the head of the
nine-candidate field. A day before the
first major debate of the 2004 campaign, New
Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson spoke for the
entire party when he predicted verbal
‘fireworks.’ But there was more fizzle than
fireworks. Democrats targeted Bush, not
each other. Sen. John Kerry of
Massachusetts accused the president of a
‘failure of leadership’ in the world.
Lieberman said Bush has been a ‘powerful
failure’ on the economy. Sen. John Edwards
of North Carolina and Dean accused Bush of
refusing to tell the truth about the conflict
in Iraq -- both its costs and risks. But
voters already knew that the Democrats don't
like the president; they learned nothing new
Thursday night about why they should favor one
candidate over another. The campaigns are
unsure how to respond to Dean's rise. Some
strategists fear the former Vermont governor
will pull away with the nomination unless he
is confronted. Others worry that
aggressive tactics will make their candidates
look mean while firing up Dean's
backers. That may be why the most pointed
criticism came outside the University of New
Mexico's Popejoy Hall - in press releases
distributed by campaign aides and in
post-debate interviews. Away from the debate
spotlight, Lieberman said he would have
criticized more Dean policies if given the
opportunity during the 90-minute debate.
Arguments over strategies to confront Dean
have deeply divided Kerry's campaign.
The senator has criticized his own staff while
promising there will be no shake-ups. His
wife, Teresa Heinz Kerry, complained publicly
that the campaign waited too long to air its
first television ads. ‘They all have to be
careful’ about attacking each other, said
Kathleen Sullivan, head of the Democratic
Party in New Hampshire. ‘Their job tonight was
to introduce themselves to voters.’…’I
don't think anybody had to win or lose tonight
- and nobody did.’” (9/5/2003)
… Analysts say other
wannabes may have to confront Dean before he
pulls too far ahead of them. Headline from
yesterday’s Christian Science Monitor: “Democratic
race pivots on Dean…rivals may focus as
much on the Vermonter as on Bush.” (Editor’s
Note: The following report, obviously, was
written before last night’s Dem debate, but
the content and observations are worthwhile.)
Excerpt from coverage by the Monitor’s Liz
Mariantes: “With the battle for the
Democratic presidential nomination now in the
decisive fall campaign season, the growing
dominance of former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean
is changing the dynamics of the race. In a
field characterized for months by evenly
matched contenders - and no real stars - Dr.
Dean is suddenly setting the pace,
presenting his opponents with both a standard
and a target. Already, candidates such as
Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry are stepping up
their criticisms of Dean, even as they
scramble to adopt some of his tactics. The
attacks are likely to take a more pointed tone
beginning [last night], when all nine
candidates assemble in New Mexico for the
first of six fall debates. For rivals
looking to topple the surging Dean, the
debates may provide a singular opportunity
- as one famously did for Vice President
Walter Mondale in 1984 when he brought a halt
to Sen. Gary Hart's surging campaign with his
pointed line, ‘Where's the beef?’ Yet the
candidates face significant risks in trying to
bring Dean down - and most are likely to
approach the task with caution. Not only
can attacks easily tar the person launching
them as much as their intended object, they
could also inflame Dean's supporters.
Still, analysts say Dean's mounting
strength may well force his rivals to confront
him directly before he pulls too far ahead.
‘Right now, Dean has the momentum,
and it's not apparent that momentum can be
broken unless he screws up - or unless his
opponents raise or point to an issue that puts
him on the defensive,’ says Stuart
Rothenberg, a political analyst. Most rival
campaigns profess themselves unconcerned by
Dean's apparent strength. Although polls
show the former governor with widening leads
in key primary states such as New Hampshire
and Iowa, some argue much of this momentum can
be attributed to Dean's early spate of
TV advertising -- a move other candidates are
only now following. In national surveys,
however, Dean still trails the better-known
Sen. Joseph Lieberman and Rep. Richard
Gephardt among registered Democrats…Regardless
of which candidate is most threatened,
analysts agree that the rest of the field is
now essentially fighting to become the
alternative to Dean - which means the fight
will likely take a sharper turn. ‘It will
get a good deal more nasty because now the
battle is for second place,’ says Emmett Buell,
an expert on the primary process at Denison
University. The candidate who successfully
claims that position, Professor Buell notes,
‘might well have a better chance’ of winning
in the end, particularly if Dean
stumbles or is unable to convince voters of
his electability in a matchup with President
Bush.”(9/5/2003)
… Dean
apparently dazzles coffee house crowd in Santa
Fe – or at least one reporter believes he did.
Report – an excerpt – by the New Mexican’s
Steve Terrell: “Howard Dean wowed ‘em
again. The former governor of Vermont, who
in the last two months has become the surprise
front-runner for the Democratic nomination,
was interrupted by loud applause several
times Wednesday as he gave an off-the-cuff pep
talk to supporters who filled Tribes
Coffee House in downtown Santa Fe. About 100
people filled the Mideastern-decorated coffee
house. Another 150 or so lined up in the
covered pathway leading from Tribes to San
Francisco street, where they listened to his
talk over speakers. The crowd even spilled
over onto the sidewalk outside the hallway.
The appearance was at one of the monthly
‘meet-ups’ local Dean supporters
organized through the http://meetup.com Web
site…He was the only one of the nine
Democratic candidates to make a public
appearance in Santa Fe on the eve of the
Albuquerque debate. The crowd wasn’t quite
as large as the one Dean attracted to
the Plaza on a Saturday afternoon in late
June. But it wasn’t bad for a rainy
Wednesday night in Santa Fe. Dean,
who has taken some guff in the campaign
because he is not tall — spoke on a stage atop
what looked like a soap box wrapped in
campaign banners. But he appeared comfortable
talking to the crowd and later taking their
questions. He hit upon his standard themes,
ripping into President Bush for the war in
Iraq and what he said was deception the
administration used to justify the war. He
also blasted Bush for the economy and for
using racial ‘code words’ when the
administration intervened in the University of
Michigan affirmative-action case in the U.S.
Supreme Court.” (9/5/2003)
… “Dean stumps for
Davis in California” – headline from
report posted last night on CNN.com. Dean
blames recall situation on Bush, Karl Rove and
right-wing Republicans. Excerpt: “Presidential
candidate Howard Dean Saturday urged
Californians to vote against the effort to
oust Gov. Gray Davis, calling it part of a
plan by right-wing Republicans to subvert
democracy.
‘I think this is the fourth attempt to
undermine democracy in this country by the
right wing of the Republican Party since the
2000 elections,’ said Dean. Other
examples, he said, were the refusal by the
‘conservative-dominated United States Supreme
Court’ to order a recount of the votes in
Florida during the 2000 presidential election
and separate GOP-led redistricting efforts in
Colorado and Texas that could result in a loss
of seats currently held by Democrats. ‘I
believe the right wing of the Republican Party
is deliberately undermining the democratic
underpinnings of this country,’ Dean told
a news conference. ‘I believe they do not
care what Americans think and they do not
accept the legitimacy of our elections and
have now, for the fourth time in the fourth
state, attempted to do what they can to remove
democracy from America.’ Davis expressed
optimism that the voters would allow him to
serve out his term…Although Davis expressed
gratitude for Dean's support, he did not
reciprocate when asked whether he would
support Dean's bid for the Democratic
nomination for president. ‘I'm taking one
election at a time,’ he said. Only after the
October 7 recall vote will he decide whom to
support for the Democratic presidential
nomination, Davis said. But, he added about
the former Vermont governor, ‘he has
precisely the right experience to be
president.’ The recall effort picked up
steam when, shortly after he was elected to a
second term as governor last year,
Californians were told they faced a $38
billion deficit. Dean said it would be
unfair to hold Davis wholly responsible for
the state's budget deficit, which has
since been pared to $8 billion. ‘The
deficit that was incurred last year is
directly traceable to the president of the
United States' extraordinary financial policy
in which he managed to turn the largest
surplus in the history of America into the
largest deficit in the history of America in
only two-and-a-half years,’ he said. Davis
said that since George W. Bush became
president, the country has lost 3.3 million
jobs, equivalent to 3,500 jobs per day. Asked
whether his presidential bid might be
adversely affected by his support for Davis,
Dean responded, ‘I don't
care. My trademark is I say what I think, for
better or for worse.’ He added, ‘I'm tired
of having this country run by the right wing.
That is not where most people are in this
country, and I think we ought not to put up
with this anymore.’ Asked whether he believed
the White House was involved in the effort to
unseat Davis, Dean said, ‘Absolutely. I
think [Bush chief political adviser] Karl Rove
and George Bush have their hand in this.’
The White House has said it is not involved in
the race. Although Dean is the first of the
nine Democratic presidential candidates to
stump for Davis, all have signed a letter
opposing the recall effort and others will
soon follow Dean's lead, Davis predicted.
In addition, former President Clinton will
travel to California in the next week to 10
days to speak in support of Davis, he said.”(9/7/2003)
… “Dean
holds strong lead over Kerry in N. H. poll”
– headline from this morning’s Boston Globe.
Dean has a 12-point lead over Kerry,
Gephardt and Lieberman – former double-digit
wannabes in NH polls – each at 7%. Excerpt
from coverage by Globe’s Anne E. Kornblut: “Former
Vermont governor Howard Dean holds a strong
12-point lead over Senator John F. Kerry in
the New Hampshire primary race, but Democratic
primary voters are evenly divided over which
of the two men would better be able to defeat
President Bush, according to a new Boston
Globe and WBZ-TV poll. Underscoring his
front-runner status, Dean drew support from
38 percent of likely voters, compared with 26
percent for Kerry, who remains in second
place in the state. Potentially more
significant is Dean's appeal among voters who
backed Senator John S. McCain in 2000: 54
percent of those who supported McCain's
maverick candidacy -- and helped the Arizona
Republican soundly defeat George W. Bush in
the nation's first primary during the last
campaign cycle -- said they intend to vote for
Dean. Only 15 percent of McCain voters
said they were planning to support Kerry.
And in an increasingly polarized political
climate, Dean's supporters also showed
more enthusiasm for their candidate,
suggesting that the rage among Democratic
partisans has not subsided. While 32
percent of Dean backers say they will
‘definitely support’ him in the primary, 26
percent of Kerry's supporters say the same for
the Massachusetts senator…The poll of 400
likely Democratic primary voters, all of whom
said they were registered Democrats or
Independents, was conducted by KRC/Communications
Research of Newton on Tuesday and Wednesday,
just as the airwaves were filled with images
of Kerry officially declaring his
candidacy. It has a margin of error of plus or
minus 5 percentage points -- in other words,
Dean's level of support could be as high as
43 percent, or as low as 33 percent. Once
the presumed front-runner in a nine-way race
for the nomination, Kerry has struggled
to match Dean's pace in fund-raising
and his surge in the polls, although advisers
to Kerry's campaign and independent
analysts note that the Jan. 27 primary is
still months away…The other seven Democrats
in the race fell far behind the top two
candidates, failing to register in
double-digits in the state. Representative
Richard A. Gephardt of Missouri and Senator
Joseph I. Lieberman of Connecticut each
received 7 percent of the Democratic field,
while Senator John Edwards of North Carolina
received 6 percent. Nine percent of those
polled said they did not know who they would
support in the nomination race. But in an
unusually compressed nomination process that
has defied expectations so far, some of the
polling results suggested that the landscape
may shift again before the primary election.
Asked how they would vote if retired
General Wesley Clark entered the race, the
number of undecided voters jumped from 9
percent to 23 percent (and 5 percent said
they would probably vote for Clark, who
has said he will announce his intentions in
the coming weeks).”(9/7/2003)
… This
isn’t the first time Dean – known hereafter as
“Slippery Howie” – has attempted to evade
public finance commitment. Headline from
yesterday’s Boston Globe: “To Dean, finance
law if familiar dilemma” Coverage – an
excerpt – by the Globe’s Michael Kranish: “Six
years ago, then-Governor Howard Dean signed
legislation that he said would ‘change the way
campaigns are run’ in Vermont. The intent
of the law was to provide candidates for
governor who participated in a voluntary
system with a maximum of $300,000 in public
financing, and set a spending cap. Dean,
who at that time could attract donations more
readily than challengers for his job, said he
signed the law ‘even though I knew it was
going to be to my own disadvantage.’ But when
it came time for Dean to run for reelection in
2000, he rejected public financing and busted
the spending cap by 300 percent. The
governor cited several reasons for the
turnabout, including a court ruling that
enabled his Republican opponent, Ruth Dwyer,
to take large contributions from the national
party, as well as his need to offset money
funneled to Dwyer from what he called an
‘anti-homosexuality’ lobby intent on
unseating him because of his support for civil
unions. Whatever the reason for Dean's
change of mind, his reversal on campaign
spending in Vermont provides insights into
Dean's record on the issue at a time when he
is seriously considering reversing his
original decision to abide by a spending cap
in the Democratic presidential primaries. On
June 7, Dean wrote to the Federal Election
Commission that he will abide by spending
limitations in the primaries. The letter,
signed by Dean, said he ‘will not incur
qualified campaign expenditures in connection
with my campaign for nomination in excess of
the expenditure limitations.’ But Dean more
recently has said he might drop that pledge,
because he is concerned that President Bush is
not abiding by a spending limit and would be
able to financially ‘murder’ Dean next
summer should he secure the Democratic
nomination. Yesterday, Dean campaign
manager Joe Trippi said Dean's lawyers
have assured him that the FEC letter did not
put the campaign ‘past the point of no
return.’ He added that Dean will make a
final decision later this year. Some
opponents, including the campaign of Senator
John F. Kerry, question whether Dean should
be allowed to revoke his pledge. Kerry
campaign manager Jim Jordan said yesterday
that ‘Governor Dean's devotion to
campaign finance reform is only occasional and
only when it suits his political interests. We
would have to seriously consider our options
if Governor Dean decides to opt out and
the FEC allows him to.’ As governor, Dean
promised to enact campaign reform he called
‘the most far-reaching in the country.’
Funded by a tax on lobbyists, the law enabled
a candidate who collected a total of $35,000
from 1,500 people to get a campaign finance
grant bringing their total to $300,000.
According to the Vermont Secretary of State's
website, incumbents would get 85 percent of
that amount. In 2000, Dean said he would
participate in the system and qualified for it…Dean
became worried that Dwyer would try to surpass
him financially with large contributions from
the national Republican Party…Dean was
also quoted in an Aug. 13, 2000, Associated
Press report saying he had no doubt that the
"anti-homosexual lobby" would funnel money
through the GOP to Dwyer.”(9/7/2003)
… People Powered
Howard starts looking like he should be
hanging out on a pro wrestling tag team with
Jesse “The Body” Ventura – and now concedes
that he’s sometimes Howard “The Mouth” Dean.
Headline from yesterday’s The Union
Leader: “Dean says he has to watch
his mouth” Excerpt from report – dateline:
Phoenix – by AP political ace Ron Fournier: “Democratic
presidential candidate Howard Dean said Friday
he can be a bit too mouthy -- then went out
and proved his point The front-running
candidate in a field of nine said his
blunt-speaking ways may someday get him in
trouble. Rivals hope his campaign will
implode, and Dean said he knows one way that
could happen. ‘I do have a mouth on me,’ the
former Vermont governor said aboard a small
charter plane taking him here from
Albuquerque, N.M., site of the first major
debate of the 2004 race. ‘That is, I
generally say what I think so I get in
trouble,’ Dean said. Could he hurt
himself? ‘If I blew up in a debate or
something like that, yes,’ Dean said.
‘But I haven't done that in 16 years of
debates.’ Dean said he is learning to let
irksome questions from reporters roll off his
back, adding that it's actually easier to keep
his cool with the national media than it was
in Vermont, where reporters had greater access
to him. ‘I can get snippy,’ he said, ‘no
doubt about it.’ Less than an hour later,
Dean was visiting his new campaign
headquarters where he fielded more than a
dozen questions at an impromptu news
conference. As aides pulled him inside, Dean
was asked whether he was surprised that rival
John Kerry did not criticize him in Thursday's
debate. ‘I wish he'd say to my face what
he says behind my back,’ Dean said
before disappearing behind the door, a grimace
on his face. Kerry had obviously gotten
under his skin. On a busy campaign day,
Dean had managed to underscore one of the
great dichotomies of his campaign: Blunt,
unscripted comments and a brash approach to
politics are drawing Democratic voters to
Dean, but those traits could also be his
undoing. He has already had to apologize
for at least two caustic comments leveled at
foes. In March, he accused Sen. John
Edwards of North Carolina of avoiding
talking about his support of the Iraq war
before an anti-war audience. In June, Dean
described Sen. Bob Graham of Florida as
‘not one of the top-tier candidates,’ a remark
he regretted. Watching his mouth is just one
of the ways Dean is trying to grow as a
candidate now that he is the front-runner, an
informal title that comes with greater
scrutiny, pressure and risks. He hopes to
cement his position atop the field by reaching
out to minorities and party leaders who have
been wary of his candidacy. With Kerry's stock
falling, Democratic leaders who had considered
the Massachusetts senator their front-runner
must now decide whether to side with Dean or
rally behind an alternative…Then
there's his mouth. Before leaving Arizona
for California, Dean realized he had
unintentionally created news with his crack
about Kerry. ‘I just wish he had given
me a chance to respond to all that stuff - the
zero experience on foreign affairs, the NRA
stuff, the tax cut stuff,’ Dean said.
In a television interview Sunday, Kerry
suggested Dean was not ready to be
commander in chief, linked him to the National
Rifle Association and criticized him for
wanting to repeal all of President Bush's tax
cuts. ‘I would have liked to have responded
to that in person,’ Dean said, relishing the
thought of getting mouthy with Kerry.”(9/7/2003)
… Team Dean
– in an apparent attempt to drive opposing
campaigns planners crazy – raises stakes
again: Drops $50K on SC radio buy aimed at
black audiences. From report by AP’s Will
Lester in yesterday’s The Union Leader: “Democrat
Howard Dean is launching radio ads in South
Carolina Saturday aimed at attracting black
voters, who could make up almost half the
electorate in the state's Feb. 3 presidential
primary. So far, the former Vermont
governor has drawn much of his support from
whites, prompting the campaign to step up its
efforts to reach out to minorities. The
initial $50,000 ad buy will play on radio
stations with a black audience, introducing
Dean as ‘a presidential candidate not afraid
to stand up to the president on economy and
jobs, even if it means standing alone.’
Dean campaign manager Joe Trippi said the
ad may be introduced in other markets later. ‘We
will be going on the air soon in Latino and
African-American communities in key states,’
he said. In late August, Dean began airing
a television ad in selected markets in
Arizona, New Mexico, Oklahoma, South Carolina,
Washington state and Wisconsin. He also
has been running TV ads in Iowa, where he's
tied for the lead with Rep. Dick Gephardt
of Missouri, and in New Hampshire, where he
has holds a double-digit lead over Sen. John
Kerry of Massachusetts. He has run ads
in Austin, Texas, as well. Once the campaign
moves past January contests in Iowa and New
Hampshire, the ability of candidates to
attract support from minority voters will
become crucial, with several contests in
states with larger minority populations. The
60-second radio ad in South Carolina will run
for more than a week in all of the state's
major markets, said Tricia Enright, a campaign
spokeswoman.” (9/7/2003)
.. For everyone wondering
when Kerry would begin attacking
Dean, they have misjudged the situation.
Dean, in a phone interview with Des Moines
Register Reporter Thomas Beaumont, has Dean
blasting Kerry for mimicking his position
of bringing in the U.N and specifically Arabic
speaking peace keepers. Kerry spokesperson
David Wade counters the claim of mimicking
Dean by siting a Senate speech of Oct. 9, 2002
where Kerry calls for post-war assistance from
nations in the region. Dean further lays claim
to the fact that Kerry is copying his position
at the same time he is claiming he has no
foreign policy experience. In the article,
reaction from Polk County Democrat Party
Chairman Tom Henderson is as follows: “I
just don’t think they [caucus attendees]
listen to that [spats]. There is no copyright
on ideas.”(9/8/2003)
… “The Tortoises and
Dr. Dean” – headline from Christian
Science Monitor commentary. Editorial says
Dean looks formidable, but it would be foolish
to write off other wannabes. Excerpt: “Election
pundits are out in full force, what with Labor
Day past and Sen. John Kerry of Massachusetts
officially launching his campaign for the
Democratic presidential nomination. (What
exactly was he doing before Tuesday?)
Unfortunately for the candidates, the
public has yet to pay much attention.
According to a new CBS News poll, two-thirds
of those questioned couldn't even name one
Democratic presidential candidate. That public
apathy (not unusual at this point in a race)
makes the constant speculation over who's the
front-runner the political equivalent of a
sports-radio call-in show. And the
California recall is stealing whatever
limelight the national contenders might have.
According to the CBS poll, Sen. Joseph
Lieberman of Connecticut draws the most
support from registered Democrat voters --with
14 percent. Former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean
and Rep. Richard Gephardt of Missouri
are the only other candidates garnering double
digits. (Of course, there is no national
primary.) But for the inside-the-Beltway
crowd, Dr. Dean is the real front- runner.
He's so far out front in fundraising that he
may dispense with public financing. His
hard-line position against the war in Iraq and
tough criticism of President Bush warm the
hearts of liberal-activists. He's also surged
to statistical leads in key-state polls --
outdistancing previous favorites Kerry in New
Hampshire and Gephardt in Iowa. Even so, the
race remains wide open. At this point in
1996, Republican Sen. Bob Dole held a wide
lead in New Hampshire, yet lost to Patrick
Buchanan on primary day. Dean could peak
too soon. He could falter in a barrage of
negative press coverage. Events could overtake
his campaign themes. Another candidate (Gen.
Wesley Clark?) could enter the race and
upset the poll numbers. At present, the
Vermonter appears formidable. But to write
off the others would be foolish - and
unhealthy for a democracy's political market.”(9/8/2003)
…
Sharecroppers, milkman, anti-Bush, courage –
The themes for the initial flight of media
spots being seen by the initial players in the
2004 nominating contests. Washington Post
media guru Howard Kurtz says the wannabes are
projecting the image that they feel best suits
them in early TV spots. Headline from
today’s Post: “Media Primary Commences as
Democrats Run First Ads” Excerpts from
Kurtz’ report: “ John Edwards talks about
hailing from a family of sharecroppers. Dick
Gephardt says his father was a milkman. Howard
Dean says he's the man to stand up to
President Bush, unlike many timid Democrats in
Washington. John Kerry talks about the courage
of Americans -- while using a flag-bedecked
backdrop that may remind viewers of his own
courage in Vietnam. The initial television
ads of the Democratic presidential candidates,
even at this early stage, shed considerable
light on how they want to present themselves
to primary voters in the only format they
fully control. If you get just one chance
to make a good first impression, these
30-second snapshots are an important clue to
each man's media strategy. Despite their
stylistic differences, the commercials,
running mainly in Iowa and New Hampshire, all
trumpet the need for jobs and, almost as
often, expanded health care -- an issue about
which Democrats had been skittish since the
Clinton health plan crashed and burned in
1994. The ads all strike an us-vs.-them
tone in which the candidates sell themselves
as champions of the middle class. ‘I'm not
sure how much it does with voters,’ said
former Clinton White House spokesman Joe
Lockhart. ‘But the unwritten rule is if you
don't do well in the media primary, you may
not get to the real primary. Obviously,
Dean has passed the test, so he's in a
different place than everyone else. But
several of the others have to move numbers to
keep reporters from dismissing them.’
Republican media consultant Don Sipple agreed
that ‘the shelf life of early advertising is
very short. But these candidates need to show
movement in key early states in order to raise
money around the country.’…Dean, the
front-runner in polls in the early states,
doesn't talk about his family or where he grew
up (perhaps because a childhood in the
Hamptons with a stockbroker father doesn't
quite fit the log-cabin genre). Instead,
he portrays himself as the anti-Bush, saying
he wants ‘to change George Bush's reckless
foreign policy, stand up for affordable health
care and create new jobs…Has anyone really
stood up against George Bush and his policies?
Don't you think it's time somebody did?’
(9/8/2003)
… “Democrat Dean
Attracts Few Faces of Color” – headline
from this morning’s Kansas City Star. Excerpt
from report by AP’s Will Lester: “Democrat
Howard Dean has drawn new faces to politics,
many of them young, middle-class Web surfers.
Few of those faces are of color. The
presidential candidate has seized the momentum
in the nine-way primary race with an
Internet-driven campaign that has attracted
thousands of supporters and millions of
dollars. But Dean's success with
minorities, a crucial constituency for any
Democratic candidate, has been limited and
political analysts wonder whether he can
broaden his appeal. ‘I think it's going to
be difficult for him to connect,’ said David
Bositis, a political analyst at the Joint
Center for Political and Economic Studies, a
think tank focused on black issues. ‘He
doesn't have any history with blacks.’ Dean,
a Park Avenue-raised, Yale-educated internist,
practiced in Burlington, Vt., and later served
as the state's governor for 11 years. Vermont
has a population that is nearly 98 percent
white, according to the latest Census data.
Throughout the campaign, much of Dean's
support has come from the Internet, either
through his own Web site or Meetup.com, a
point of contact for those looking for Dean
gatherings. Extensive computer use, according
to recent surveys, is more common among whites
than minorities. More than six in 10
whites describe themselves as Internet users,
while about half of blacks say they use it,
according to Lee Rainie, director of the Pew
Internet and American Life Project. Among
frequent Internet users, the digital divide
widens between whites and minorities, with 60
percent of whites and 40 percent of blacks who
go online saying they do so often. Beyond
the source of support, two issues that could
prove problematic for Dean are his opposition
to expanding gun-control laws and his
decision, while governor, to sign a
civil-unions bill. Gun control is popular
among inner-city residents faced with high
crime rates. And while some equate
discrimination based on sexual orientation
with racial discrimination, many blacks do not
see those prejudices in the same terms,
viewing the matter through the prism of
religion. A recent Pew poll showed blacks were
more likely than whites to oppose gay marriage
-- 64 percent to 51 percent. ‘That might be a
sticking point,’ said Alan Smith-Hicks, a
black electrical engineer attending a Meetup
session for Dean in Baltimore last week.
‘They're concerned he's too liberal, that he's
going to make gay marriage a federal law.’
Minority support for the candidates will be at
the forefront Tuesday night as the nine
Democrats gather in Baltimore for a
presidential debate sponsored by the
Congressional Black Caucus and Fox News.”(9/9/2003)
… Slippery Howard
I: Beware of People Powered Howard:
Club for Growth’s Steven Moore says
Republicans “shouldn’t get carried away” and
begin salivating over a possible Bush-Dean
contest. Headline on commentary in the
9/15 issue of The Weekly Standard: “The
Appeal of Howard Dean” Excerpt from
Stephen Moore’s op-ed: “Part of Dean's star
appeal has been the refreshing genuineness of
his campaign rhetoric, even when his ideas are
cockeyed. By pledging to repeal the entire
Bush tax cut--a move that would raise the
average tax burden on middle income families
with three kids by about $2,500 a year,
Dean is attempting to prove that voters
will swallow higher taxes to get more
government largesse. In a recent debate, he
confidently asserted that when working class
voters saw his universal government-run health
care plan, they would gladly pay for it. ‘If
we're going to have a system of universal
health care in America, we will have to pay
more taxes,’ he said...God save the country
if voters actually buy into Dean's health care
socialism, but at least he is honest about the
sacrifices required. This is not a man who
believes in the mythical free lunch. Ever
since that first meeting with Howard Dean
some five years ago, I've been trying to think
of what politician he most resembles. The
former governor of a small state, he is
charismatic, good looking, wonkish, craving of
the spotlight, and capable of telling a room
full of people precisely what they want to
hear. The obvious answer recently hit me: Dean
is Bill Clinton, but without the
skirt-chasing. Republicans are said to be
salivating over the prospect of a Bush-Dean
match-up. They shouldn't get carried away.
Howard Dean, warns John McClaughry [of the
Ethan Allen Institute, Vermont's sole
dispenser of free-market views], has been
‘underestimated throughout his political
career. He has an uncanny knack for finding
where the political capital is stored and
walking off with it.’ The trick for
Dean is to ensure that the ultra-liberal
positions he has taken in the primaries, which
contradict his sometimes centrist record,
don't cripple his ability to reach out to
Middle American voters in a general election
-- should he make it that far. If he does,
and then finds a way to zig-zag back toward
the center, Howard Dean could be George W.
Bush's worst nightmare.”(9/9/2003)
… In new
Iowa TV ads, Dean hits “Washington
politicians” – such as guys named Kerry,
Lieberman, Gephardt, Graham, Edwards and
Kucinich. Excerpt from report by AP’s Iowa
caucus-watcher Mike Glover: “Democratic
presidential candidate Howard Dean has
launched his second wave of television ads in
Iowa, with spots that focus on his health care
record during his tenure as governor.
‘Washington politicians talk about the
problem,’ a narrator says, ‘but a governor
named Howard Dean did something about it and
today virtually every child in Vermont has
access to quality health care.’ The
commercial will air in nearly every media
market in the state for an undetermined amount
of time, Dean aides said. The
commercial is the same one the candidate has
been airing in six states. Dean became the
first of the Democratic hopefuls to begin
airing commercials in Iowa earlier this
summer, but he has plenty of company as the
fall campaign picks up. Sens. John Kerry
of Massachusetts, Sen. John Edwards of
North Carolina and Rep. Dick Gephardt
of Missouri also are on the air with ads in
Iowa. Dean has sounded an anti-Washington
theme, and his latest spot follows that
message. ‘If we can do that in a small
rural state and still balance the budget, we
can do that for every American,’ he said.”
(9/9/2003)
…
Slippery
Howard II:
“Dean’s
ignorant stand on trade”
– headline on editorial in yesterday’s Rocky
Mountain News. Editorial excerpt: “Howard
Dean has a Catch-22 idea that would be a sure
formula for keeping impoverished nations
impoverished.
The former
Vermont governor, now a Democratic
presidential candidate, says the United States
should not trade with these poor countries
unless they enact the same sorts of labor and
environmental standards as exist here.
But of
course they are incapable of doing that until
they get richer, and one of the few ways they
will get richer is through trade with us,
which he would rule out. Tough luck, poor
people. As Sen. Joseph Lieberman of
Connecticut pointed out in an Albuquerque,
debate of the candidates last week, it's not
just the poor nations that would suffer. So
would the United States, which would lose
export markets and millions more jobs. Want
another recession? Dean is the man to bring it
our way, Lieberman observed. As
Lieberman observed, ‘He said he would not
have bilateral trade agreements with any
country that did not have American standards.
That would mean we would not have trade
agreements with Mexico, with most of the rest
of the world. That would cost us millions of
jobs.’ And the net result? According to
Lieberman, ‘The Bush recession would be
followed by the Dean depression.’ Dean
is pretty much an unknown quantity in the
country at large, but he will become known in
a hurry if he is sitting on top of the
Democratic heap after the initial primaries,
as some are predicting. In the meantime, he
might want to acquaint himself with the field
of economics.”(9/9/2003)
… Least surprising
report of the day: Dem hopefuls take turns
blasting Bush’s Sunday night speech.
Headline from yesterday’s Chicago Tribune: “Candidates
offer sharp criticism over holes in Iraq plan”
Excerpt from coverage by Trib national
correspondent Jeff Zeleny: “The leading
Democratic presidential candidates, already
relentless in their criticism of the Bush
administration's handling of postwar Iraq,
said the president's address to the nation
Sunday night did little to ease concerns about
achieving stability in the region. "We
have trapped ourselves in Iraq because the
president was impetuous in his decision and
the Congress wouldn't stand up to him," said
Howard Dean, the former governor of
Vermont, whose presidential candidacy ascended
with his strident opposition to the war.
‘It is beginning to remind me of what was
happening with Lyndon Johnson and Dick Nixon
with the Vietnam War,’ Dean said while
campaigning in California. ‘The government
began to feed misinformation to the American
people in order to justify an enormous
commitment of American troops, which turned
out to be a major policy mistake.’ (9/9/2003)
… This
should be real reassuring for most Iowa Dems
and rural Americans: Dean to be endorsed by
the majority of the DC council. What’s next –
endorsements from the councils in Detroit, LA,
Chicago and NYC? Excerpt from AP report: “Democratic
presidential hopeful Howard Dean is poised to
pick up endorsements from a majority of
Democrats on the District of Columbia council.
‘His campaign has reached out to us, and
frankly nobody else really has,’ said
Councilman Jack Evans, adding that the Dean
campaign has been courting local Democratic
operatives for at least two months. The
District of Columbia holds a nonbinding
primary on Jan. 13, six days ahead of the Iowa
caucuses and two weeks before the New
Hampshire primary. It is considered a
‘beauty contest’ rather than a true primary
because delegates will not be selected until
caucuses on Feb. 14. The support of at
least five and possibly seven of 11 Democrats
on the 13-member city council could boost
Dean's candidacy, Evans said. Dean won
favor by coming out early in support of the
city's successful effort to establish a
presidential preference contest before Iowa
and New Hampshire. Evans has been working
to persuade several of his colleagues to back
Dean, citing his support of issues
important to city Democrats. ‘It's almost
like we did with Bill Clinton back in 1991,’
said Evans, who expected Council colleagues
Sharon Ambrose, Jim Graham, Adrian Fenty and
Kathy Patterson to join him Tuesday to make
their formal endorsement.” (9/9/2003)
* IOWA PRES
WATCH SIDEBAR: In yesterday’s “Best of the Web
Today” column on OpinionJournal.com, James
Taranto wrote “the Jerusalem Post quotes
Dean as uttering one of those bloopers that
the media would trumpet as proof of his
stupidity if he were a Republican. Asked
about his views on the Israeli-Arab conflict,
here's what he said: ‘The two-state solution
is a solution that I support and I believe is
the ultimate way to peace in the Middle East.
And we're going to have to be the honest
broker. The Americans are the only people who
can broker that, and I wish the president had
spent more time on the Middle East and less
time on Iraq.’ More time in the Mideast and
less time in Iraq? That's like saying you
should get out of Indianapolis and go to the
Midwest.” (9/10/2003)
… “Democrats
court union with anti-Bush themes” –
headline from yesterday’s Washington Times.
Excerpt from coverage by the Times Stephen
Dinan: “The Democrats seeking the
presidency tried to win approval of the
nation's largest and fastest-growing union
yesterday by portraying President Bush as the
worst option for union members and for the
nation as a whole. ... former
Vermont Gov. Howard Dean criticized the
president for opposing the University of
Michigan's undergraduate and law school
affirmative action programs, and particularly
objected to Mr. Bush's characterization of
them as quota programs. ‘This president played
the race card, and for that alone he deserves
to go back to Crawford, Texas,’ Mr. Dean
said. ... Mr.
Dean said he wouldn't impose new taxes but
would go back on the tax cuts Mr. Bush has
pushed through Congress. ‘I think most people
would be happy to pay the taxes they paid when
Bill Clinton was president of the United
States,’ he said. …In
addition to the SEIU, the Democratic
candidates met privately with leaders from the
American Federation of State, County and
Municipal Employees, which is the nation's
second-largest union. The SEIU's leaders
will meet [Wednesday] to decide whether they
have enough information to make an
endorsement. SEIU President Andrew Stern
said the union has committed 2,004 members to
work full time on politics for the nine months
leading up to the November 2004 election, and
plans to have 50,000 members volunteer to make
phone calls and campaign door to door.”
(9/10/2003)
… Crowd chants
“No more lies” and “Bush must go” as Dean
attracts about 3,700 at University of
Maryland. Excerpt from report by Lori
Montgomery in yesterday’s Washington Post: “Former
Vermont governor Howard Dean brought his
high-energy campaign for the Democratic
presidential nomination to Maryland yesterday,
gathering endorsements from nearly three dozen
local officials and drawing close to 4,000
fans to the University of Maryland at College
Park. The rally, Dean's first in
Maryland and his second in the Washington
region, was held in an outdoor amphitheater
overflowing with a mix of college students and
area supporters of all ages. The crowd
cheered Dean's assault on President Bush's tax
cuts and what he called ‘lies’ about the Iraq
war. ‘When I was your age, the government
didn't tell us the truth about Vietnam,
either,’ Dean said, urging them to
follow his generation's footsteps. ‘You're
going to change presidents, and you're going
to change foreign policy in this country.’
The audience delighted in Dean's rhetoric,
chanting ‘No more lies’ and ‘Bush must go,’
drowning out a handful of Republican hecklers.
‘I'm happy to hear a Democrat who's not afraid
to sound like a Democrat,’ said Claire
Schuster, 30, of Silver Spring. Her mother,
Michelle Schuster, 56, agreed. Dean
‘hit the points that hit home to me. I was
moved by him talking about the sense of
community we've lost.’…With about four months
left until the first primary, Dean has
pulled far ahead in fundraising, is the clear
frontrunner in New Hampshire and is building
impressive operations in other key primary
states. In Maryland, Democrats will not cast
their ballots until March 2. But that hasn't
dimmed the fervor of Dean partisans in the
state. Terry Lierman, Dean's Maryland
coordinator and co-chairman of his national
finance committee, boasted that Dean
already has 6,000 volunteers, many of them
drawn to nearly two dozen Internet-driven
‘meet-ups’ that gather across Maryland. ‘No
one else is even on the radar screen compared
to that.’ Lierman said.” (9/10/2003)
… “Dean
asks Clark to join campaign” – headline
from this morning’s The Union Leader. Coverage
– excerpt – by AP’s Ron Fournier: “Democrat
Howard Dean has asked retired Army Gen. Wesley
Clark to support his presidential campaign if
Clark decides not to enter the race. The
pair met in California on Saturday to discuss
the presidential race that Clark is
expected to enter as early as next week,
becoming the 10th Democratic candidate.
Dean, the current front-runner, asked Clark
for his support on the outside chance that
Clark doesn't seek the presidency on his own.
‘They've gotten together several times,’ said
Joe Trippi, Dean's campaign manager.
‘They talk about a lot of issues. Every time
the governor talks to him he asks for
Clark's support. I don't think there's any
news in that. I hope every Democrat is asking
for support.’ Trippi and Clark's top
political adviser, Mark Nichols, talk
frequently about the race. Officials
familiar with the conversation say neither
Trippi nor Dean have asked Clark or his
advisers to stay out of the race. News of
the meeting, first reported by The Washington
Post, raised questions about whether Dean
was trying to strike an alliance with Clark
early in the nomination fight, perhaps
promising him a spot on the presidential
ticket should Dean be nominated.
Officials close to Dean said there is no such
agreement in the works. The meeting took
place on the sidelines of Dean's public
embrace of California Gov. Gray Davis, who is
fending off a recall effort. Clark, a
former NATO commander, has never run for
political office. Other candidates have
also courted Clark, including Sen. John Kerry
of Massachusetts, who spoke to the retired
general in the past couple of weeks seeking
his support. Dean's advisers,
recognizing that the former Vermont governor's
lack of foreign policy experience could be a
liability, have long been intrigued by the
idea of drawing the retired general into
Dean's inner circle. Both Dean and
Clark opposed the war in Iraq, and both are
producing excitement on the Internet with
grass-roots activists. Still, Dean's
advisers hold out little hope that Clark
will do anything other than seek the
presidency himself.” (9/11/2003)
… Daily Iowan
(University of Iowa) editorial: Dean “isn’t
really trying to reach minorities, at least
not in Iowa.” Excerpt of commentary by the
DI Editorial Board: “During Howard Dean's
visit to Iowa City, Daily Iowan
reporters asked the front-running Democratic
presidential candidate about his campaign's
lack of minority supporters. He said, ‘When
you have a rally like that in Iowa, it's a
little tougher.’ While his statement was
likely intended to reference Iowa's relatively
small minority population, it still reflected
a cavalier attitude toward recruiting
much-needed minority support to his campaign.
Pointing to Iowa's demography is not only
off-base but is wholly ignorant. It also shows
he isn't really trying to reach minorities, at
least not in Iowa. Dean needs to realize
the fault lies in the messenger, not the
audience. Iowa boasts a strong minority
population in some places. West Liberty,
which is just a short jaunt down U.S. Highway
6 from Iowa City, has a sizable Latino
population: more than 1,300 people in the town
of just over 3,000… If Dean continues to
say it's ‘tougher’ to get minorities, he will
only alienate important constituents for any
Democratic candidate and hurt his campaign.
Dean's failure to broaden his reach so
far is hurting him in other areas, most
notably labor. Andy Stern, the president of
the Service Employees International Union,
said on Monday that Dean needs to
broaden his support to gain labor backing. All
nine candidates are in a tight race for labor
endorsements, and there were signs early this
week that Dean is getting the message.
During his speech to the service-workers union
Monday, Dean touted the Supreme Court for
upholding the University of Michigan Law
School's enrollment policy. Dean has done a
good job shoring up support from previously
ignored voting blocs, particularly students.
His unprecedented Internet recruiting has
propelled him into an early lead. His
e-backers, however, are mostly white
upper-middle-class computer users. He needs to
garner more minority support in order to win
the nomination. If his campaign turns a
corner and becomes serious about that goal,
Iowa minorities will be the first to notice.
That's when Dean will acknowledge them
rather than fall back on the perception of a
homogenous Iowa population.” (9/11/2003)
… Tough day
for Dean: He’s not only under fire – as usual
– from other wannabes, but now House Democrats
give the anti-Washington hopeful a taste of
real world DC politics. Letter criticizing him
for Israel comments gets support from Kerry
and Gephardt supporters – as well as Jewish
lawmakers. Headline from this morning’s
The Union Leader: “Pelosi, other Democrats
knock Dean on Israel” Excerpt from
AP report: “Democratic presidential
candidate Howard Dean drew fire from House
Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi and several
Jewish lawmakers on Wednesday over his remarks
concerning Israel. ‘This is not a time to
be sending mixed messages,’ Dean's
critics said in a letter circulated by Rep.
Howard Berman, D-Calif., and signed by Pelosi
and more than two dozen other Democratic House
members who are supporting other candidates. ‘On
the contrary, in these difficult times we must
reaffirm our unyielding commitment to Israel's
survival and raise our voices against all
forms of terrorism and incitement.’ Last
week at a rally in Santa Fe, N.M., Dean said
an ‘enormous number’ of Israeli settlements
must go to make progress in the
Israeli-Palestinian conflict. ‘It's not our
place to take sides,’ he said…New York Rep.
Jerrold Nadler, a Dean supporter who is
Jewish, said he was comfortable with Dean's
position, although Dean initially used some
language that could concern some pro-Israelis.
But Nadler said Dean's clarifications
since then should have cleared that up. ‘This
is sent out by Gephardt supporters and
it should be seen for what it is -- a
political document trying to exploit his
statement before he has a chance to clarify
it.’ Nadler said. Pelosi spokesman Brendan
Daly said she did not sign the letter because
of her endorsement of Gephardt, but because
she was concerned about Dean's comments on
Israel. "It is unacceptable for the U.S.
to be evenhanded on these fundamental issues,’
the letter said. During the debate Tuesday
night, Dean defended himself by saying
he and former President Bill Clinton held the
same view on the issue -- that the United
States must have the trust of both sides to
negotiate between the two countries. He
repeated that argument during an appearance
Wednesday on CNN's ‘Wolf Blitzer Reports.’…’I
believe the position that I take on Israel is
exactly the position the United States has
taken for 54 years,’ he said on the show.
But he acknowledged that saying there should
be an ‘evenhanded policy’ toward the Israelis
and the Palestinians may have been a poor
choice of words. ‘I have since learned that is
a sensitive word to use in certain
communities,’ he said. ‘So perhaps I could
have used a different euphemism. But the fact
of the matter is, at the negotiating table, we
have to have the trust of both sides.’”
(9/11/2003)
… Kerry vs. Dean:
Wannabes find new area for battle as Kerry
suggests he may break federal spending cap.
Headline from this morning’s Boston Globe:
“Kerry says he might exceed spending limit…Would
follow suit if Dean rejects public
financing” Excerpt from report by the Globe’s
Michael Kranish: “Senator John F. Kerry
said yesterday that he would break a federal
spending cap, reject public financing for the
presidential primaries, and possibly use his
personal funds if Howard Dean's fund-raising
strength leads the former Vermont governor to
go beyond the federal spending limit. Dean
sent a letter to the government in June saying
he would abide by the limit, but is now
considering exceeding the cap. ‘If Howard
Dean decides to go live outside of it, I'm not
going to wait an instant,’ Kerry said in an
interview at his campaign headquarters.
‘Decision's made. I'll go outside. Absolutely.
I'm not going to disarm.’ As recently as
Aug. 31, the Massachusetts Democrat expressed
indecision on the matter, saying only that he
would ‘reserve the right’ to exceed the cap if
Dean did so. No major Democratic
candidate has rejected public financing and
the spending cap since the voluntary program
became law after the Watergate scandal. If
Kerry and Dean exceed the cap, it would also
enable them to break the spending limit of
$729,000 in New Hampshire, setting off a
financial arms race that could dramatically
alter the way the campaign is run in the
first-primary state, said Larry Noble,
executive director of the Center for
Responsive Politics, which studies money and
politics. ‘It would probably signal the
demise of the public financing system, at
least as it is presently constituted,’ Noble
said. ‘If the calculation is that you can't
win if you take public funding and the limits
that come along with it, the serious
candidates are going to have to figure out a
way out of that system.’ Kerry bristled
when asked about the possibility that Dean may
break the cap, pointing out that Dean had
pledged in a letter to the Federal Election
Commission that he would abide by the spending
cap. The issue prompted Kerry to use
some of his strongest language yet about Dean,
criticizing the former Vermont governor for
changing his positions on a variety of issues.
‘Somebody who wants to be president ought to
keep their word,’ Kerry said. ‘I think
it goes to the core of whether you are a
different politician or a politician of your
word or what you are.’ Dean campaign
manager Joe Trippi said in a telephone
interview that he didn't want to respond
directly to Kerry's criticism of
Dean. But Trippi said that ‘the facts have
changed’ since Dean said he intended to
abide by spending limits, observing that
Dean has surprised people by collecting so
many small donations from so many Americans.
‘I think a couple of million Americans
giving $77 is totally within the spirit of our
democracy,’ Trippi said. ‘I don't think
writing a check to yourself or collecting
bundled money is.’ He was alluding to the
practice of prominent fund-raisers collecting
contributions to one candidate from a number
of associates…In the interview, Kerry
was asked repeatedly whether he would use
personal funds if Dean exceeds the cap.
‘Whatever's legal under the law,’ Kerry
responded. He is married to one of the
country's wealthiest women, Teresa Heinz
Kerry, but there are restrictions that
probably would prevent the senator from
tapping her wealth. Kerry probably
could tap half of their jointly owned assets,
including a Beacon Hill townhouse that may be
worth around $7 million. In his 1996 Senate
race against William F. Weld, Kerry
used jointly owned assets as collateral to pay
for loans for campaign advertising.”
(9/11/2003)
… Service
Employees International delays decision as
Edwards gains – and Kerry stumbles – in the
endorsement derby. Excerpt from report by
AP’s Leigh Strope: “The largest union in
the AFL-CIO decided Wednesday to delay making
a presidential endorsement, although John
Edwards surged from unknown to contender while
John Kerry stumbled. Service Employees
International Union officials said members
weren't ready to commit to one of nine
Democrats vying to challenge President Bush
next year. An endorsement probably won't
come until November, said President Andy
Stern. Even so, the top contenders shuffled
slightly after 1,500 state and local union
leaders heard from the candidates Monday.
Edwards, the North Carolina senator,
catapulted into the top three, pushing out
Kerry, the Massachusetts senator. Former
Vermont governor Howard Dean and Rep. Dick
Gephardt of Missouri, the traditional labor
favorite, remained on the list, Stern said.
He would not disclose rankings and vote
totals…SEIU members before Monday didn't know
much about Edwards. But he
‘introduced himself powerfully, and moved from
having almost no support to being one of the
top three candidates that the members leaving
this conference are interested in,’ Stern
said. Several SEIU members said they liked
Edwards' populist message and his John F.
Kennedyesque good looks. In nearly every
speech he gives, and Monday's was no
different, he highlighted his working-class
background as the son of a mill worker.
Stern cautioned that Kerry, who has lost his
front-runner status to Dean, still had a lot
of support in the union, with the rankings
reflecting just the views of the 1,500 leaders
at this week's conference. Conference
participants were asked to rank their two
favorites before and after they heard the
candidates. Many arrived already
enthusiastic about Dean, and after hearing
him, ‘their enthusiasm is unabated,’ Stern
said. ‘I think Howard Dean is making a series
of statements that are very important and
powerful,’ he said. Gephardt, who
has been plagued with concerns about his
ability to excite Democratic voters,
increased his support, Stern said, noting that
members responded favorably to his fiery and
passionate speech. He too emphasizes his
blue-collar roots and his Teamster father in
his speeches. Gephardt has staked his
presidential ambition on support from
organized labor, and has received 12 union
endorsements so far. No other candidate has
won backing from an international union. But
Gephardt's support is mostly from trades and
industrial unions, reflecting the common
divide in organized labor between traditional,
blue-collar unions and public and service
sector unions. SEIU is the nation's
fastest growing union and among the most
liberal and racially diverse, making it an
enticing prize for Democrats seeking labor
support. Its members are janitors, nursing
home workers, home health care workers,
hospital nurses and government employees. Many
are Hispanic. Gephardt, who stumbled in
his 1988 bid, must convince leaders like Stern
that the lectern-pounding, red-faced,
emotional candidate of Monday is for real if
he is to have a shot at a laborwide, AFL-CIO
endorsement next month. It's a difficult
task made even tougher by Dean, who is wooing
labor leaders with the large crowds he has
attracted and his successful Internet
fund-raising. The wild card remains Wesley
Clark. Stern said his union would take a
serious look at the retired Army general who
has been flirting with a run. Clark
was invited to this week's conference, but was
unable to attend. SEIU leaders hope to meet
with him in the next week or two, Stern said.
Meanwhile, Clark has promised to reveal
his presidential plans by the end of next
week.” (9/11/2003)
… TV
viewing guide: Keep the kids away tonight –
Dean to be on “K Street” with Carville and
Begala. Report in yesterday’s Washington
Post: “Howard Dean is willing to be
depicted as the tool of handlers -- and has a
sense of humor to boot. In Sunday night's
premiere of the HBO show ‘K Street,’ Dean
is seen being coached for this week's
presidential debate by Democratic strategists
James Carville and Paul Begala (who says he
did the scene without the script). ‘What about
heat and passion on TV?’ Dean asks, and
‘can a potential president of the United
States get away with that?’ Talk about
surreal: Dean even tries out a line about
being the only candidate willing to talk about
race to white audiences -- which caused a flap
when he actually delivered it in the real,
non-HBO debate. ‘K Street’ is bipartisan,
though; Carville keeps feuding with his wife,
Mary Matalin, a former aide to Vice President
Cheney, and Republican Sens. Don Nickles
(Okla.) and Rick Santorum (Pa.) make cameo
appearances.” (9/14/2003)
… “Double-talk
could derail Dean machine”
– headline on Deborah Orin’s column in
Thursday’s New York Post. Column excerpt: “Democratic
2004 front-runner Howard Dean is starting to
get a reputation for talking out of both sides
of his mouth – and not just on Israel.
That could become a big problem for a guy
who's running on a ‘tell it like it is’
platform --- it may be the first hint of an
Achilles heel that might slow Dean's
surge to the Democratic nomination.
For instance, Dean called for raising
the Social Security retirement age, then
denied it, then belatedly admitted it -- but
said he wasn't for it any more. Last week,
he said U.S. troops ‘need to come home’ from
Iraq -- now he says we shouldn't pull out.
He demanded that all U.S. trading partners
meet U.S. labor and environmental standards --
when reminded that would halt trade with
countries like Mexico, Dean said he
only meant the far lower international
standards. But that's not what Dean
told the Washington Post or the online
magazine Slate, which wrote that Dean
emphatically took the ‘exact opposite’
position this summer. Dean said ‘it's
not our place to take sides’ in the Mideast --
but then took sides on settlements, saying
Israel must give up an ‘enormous number.’
Under fire, Dean now insists he takes sides in
favor of a ‘special relationship’ with Israel.
In most campaigns, doublespeak hurts big
time --just look at how Dean has zapped Sen.
John Kerry (Mass.) for his Iraq doublespeak
since Kerry voted yes on the war and now
blasts it. But some say double talk won't
bother Dean's true believers. ‘Dean
isn't running a traditional campaign. It's a
cross between a populist campaign and a
movement,’ says Democratic strategist Donna
Brazile, who managed Al Gore's 2000
race. ‘It may not matter to the Dean
constituency because it's not a traditional
constituency. You may be playing into his
hands by saying he's flip-flopping,’
Brazile adds -- meaning criticism just makes
Dean fans more intense. True enough.
Dean fans sent more money -- not less --
when he had a disastrous time on NBC's ‘Meet
the Press.’ But the question now is whether
doublespeak stops Dean from lining up new
recruits. That would be big trouble.”
(9/14/2003)
… And the
anti-Dean beat – and Dean beating – goes on.
Besides Gephardt, the Dem hopefuls are almost
lining up – Kerry, Sharpton, Lieberman,
Edwards – for shot at the Wannabe
Wonder. More – an excerpt – from Iowa AP
political ace Glover’s coverage: “While
Gephardt was challenging Dean, Sen. John Kerry
of Massachusetts took issue with Dean's call
to repeal all of President Bush's tax cuts.
Although Kerry didn't mention his rival by
name, it was clear who he was referring to
during an appearance Friday at Benedict
College in Columbia, S.C. ‘Middle class
families are taking too many hits already --
their health care costs are rising, housing
payments are higher, their jobs less secure,
and college is costing more and more…’
Kerry said. ‘Unfortunately, some in my
party want to repeal the tax cuts Democrats
gave middle-class families. This is wrong.’
Al Sharpton sent a letter to Dean Thursday,
challenging him to oppose a plan to allow
Internet voting in Michigan's presidential
primary. Sharpton said the plan would give an
advantage to voters who are wealthy enough to
have a computer and Internet access.
Earlier in the week, Sen. Joe Lieberman
of Connecticut criticized Dean's
comments on Israel in which the former Vermont
governor said ‘it's not our place to take
sides’ in the Mideast nation's conflict with
the Palestinians, a comment Lieberman
said broke with 50 years of U.S. policy. The
morning after Tuesday's Democratic
presidential debate, Sen. John Edwards
of North Carolina assailed Dean's claim
during the event that he is the only candidate
to talk about race with white audiences.
Edwards said Dean should know that virtually
all of his primary foes preach racial equality
on the campaign trail.”
(9/14/2003)
… “For
Dean, a Deeper Hole on Middle East…” –
subhead on roundup report in yesterday’s
Washington Post. Kerry charges Dean with
insulting the memories of innocents killed by
“these suicidal murderers.” The Post’s
Juliet Eilperin wrote: “Howard Dean, in a
hole for his statement that the United States
should not ‘take sides’ between Israel and the
Palestinians, keeps on digging. Under fire
from fellow candidates, Democratic lawmakers
and Jewish groups, Dean sought to
soften his claim that ‘it's not our place to
take sides’ in the Middle East. In an
interview with CNN on Wednesday, Dean
allowed that he only meant that the United
States should be an honest broker in
negotiations and that ‘perhaps I could have
used a different euphemism.’ But, in talking
about Israel's assassinations of leaders of
the Islamic Resistance Movement, known as
Hamas, Dean said: ‘There is a war
going on in the Middle East, and members of
Hamas are soldiers in that war, and,
therefore, it seems to me that they are going
to be casualties if they are going to make
war.’ U.S. politicians typically call
Hamas fighters ‘terrorists’ rather than
soldiers. Rival candidate Sen. John F.
Kerry (Mass.) yesterday said that in referring
to Hamas members as soldiers, Dean ‘insults
the memory of every innocent man, woman, and
child killed by these suicidal murderers.’
Dean, in a statement, said, ‘Of course,
Hamas is a terrorist organization,’ adding
that his rivals were guilty of ‘petty,
political gamesmanship.’ Fortunately for
Dean, he did not say ‘freedom fighters.’”
(9/14/2003)
…
Accelerated Iowa campaign effort highlighted
by four Dem wannabes taking to the TV
airwaves. Headline in yesterday’s
Quad-City Times: “Caucus field is opting
for TV” Excerpt from report by the Times’
Ed Tibbetts: “There’s still four months to
go before the Iowa caucuses, but Democrats
running for president have begun filling the
airwaves with television commercials. Four of
the candidates are already on the air, and one
says he’ll continue running commercials until
the Jan. 19 caucuses. Experts say the
advertising — which appears to be happening
earlier than in past Democratic caucus races —
is being prompted by the heavy slate of
candidates, peer pressure and the proximity to
Labor Day. And another says the ads are
spurred by a desire to look presidential to
political types beyond our borders. U.S.
Sens. John Kerry, D-Mass, John Edwards,
D-North Carolina, former Vermont Gov. Howard
Dean and U.S. Rep. Richard Gephardt,
D-Missouri, all are advertising on television.
In fact, Dean kicked it off with a $300,000
buy this summer. Edwards’ campaign says it
will continue with its commercials right up to
the caucuses. Like many of the happenings
on the campaign trail this year, Dean
appears to have been a catalyst for some of
the activity. ‘Dean upped the ante by
airing his ads,’ says Steffen Schmidt, a
political science professor at Iowa State
University.” (9/14/2003)
… IOWA PRES
WATCH SIDEBAR: Fox News reports that Dean
complicates his Middle East position by
referring to Hamas terrorists as “soldiers of
war.” Dean has been under fire for suggesting
the United States should not take sides in the
Middle East conflict and Israel should get out
of disputed territories of the West Bank.
While he has insisted that he backs U.S.
policy supporting Israel, statements made on
Wednesday about Hamas raise new questions.
‘There is a war going on in the Middle East,
and members of Hamas are soldiers in that
war,’ Dean said Wednesday. Dean condemned
terrorism but his description of Hamas --
designated by the United States as a terrorist
group -- as ‘soldiers in a war’ conflicts with
U.S. policy. The European Union also approved
last week the designation of Hamas as a
terrorist organization. (9/14/2003)
…
Washington Post: Most Dem wannabes are haunted
by their past records -- but Dean benefits
since he’s the one without a voting record on
the Bush agenda. Headline from Friday’s
Post: “Past Votes Dog Some Presidential
Candidates… Democrats Defend Siding With
Bush” Excerpt from report by Jim VandeHei: “Presidential
candidate John F. Kerry is bashing President
Bush's policies on Iraq, education and civil
liberties. What he rarely mentions, however,
is that his Senate votes helped make all three
possible. The Massachusetts Democrat is
not alone. Rep. Richard A. Gephardt
(Mo.) -- who is calling Bush's Iraq policy a
‘miserable failure’ -- led the House fight
last year to allow the president to wage the
war without the international help the
lawmaker now demands. Gephardt, then the
House Democratic leader, also voted for the
USA Patriot Act, which expands the
government's surveillance powers, and for
Bush's No Child Left Behind education program.
He often criticizes the policies now. Sen.
John Edwards (N.C.) is calling for Bush to
enlist the help of the United Nations in Iraq,
even though he, like Kerry and Gephardt, had
the opportunity to vote against the war
resolution and in support of one measure
demanding U.N. involvement during last fall's
congressional debate. Edwards is
also calling for changes to the Patriot Act,
for which he voted, and more funding for the
education plan, which he voted to authorize.
Sen. Joseph I. Lieberman (Conn.) voted with
Bush on all three, too. That these
lawmakers voted with Bush on key issues is
complicating their bids to win their party's
nomination, as fellow Democrats demand
explanations. As the campaign progresses,
it also could make it harder for them to draw
sharp distinctions with Bush on what are
shaping up as among the biggest issues of the
2004 campaign, according to political
strategists. Kerry, Edwards, Lieberman and
Gephardt contend that their votes for Bush's
agenda took place in much different political
climates and were predicated on their beliefs
the president would carry out each initiative
in a different manner than he has. In
Iraq, they say, they believed he would work
harder to win U.N. assistance. On the Patriot
Act, they believed the administration would
carefully protect citizens' privacy and civil
rights. And on education, they believed Bush
would fully fund the program. Moreover, a
large number of congressional Democrats voted
the same way they did. ‘Your votes are your
votes, and you need to stand and explain,’
Gephardt said. ‘You have to also describe
changes you would like to now make and also be
legitimately critical of where the
administration has done something’ wrong.
Still, their rivals are starting to use the
votes against the lawmakers, especially Kerry
and Gephardt. In Tuesday night's debate at
Morgan State University, Rep. Dennis J.
Kucinich (Ohio) -- the only House member
running for president who opposed the Bush
agenda in Congress -- and others repeatedly
accused their rivals of trying to have it both
ways, voting with Bush in Congress and bashing
him on the campaign trail, especially on Iraq.
The most stinging rebuke came when Al
Sharpton turned Gephardt's new favorite phrase
against the Missouri lawmaker, saying it was a
‘miserable failure’ for Gephardt and other
Democrats to have helped authorize the war.
The biggest beneficiary of all this appears
to be Howard Dean, who as a former Vermont
governor did not have to vote for or against
the president's agenda, party strategists
said. ‘He does get a break, because he didn't
have to lay it on the line with a vote,’ said
Gerald W. McEntee, international president of
the American Federation of State, County and
Municipal Employees. This has freed Dean to
become Bush's biggest critic of the war and
helped distinguish him from the Democratic
pack by allowing him to ridicule Bush's
domestic agenda without having to defend a
series of votes.” (9/14/2003)
…
People-powered Howard continues to backpedal
on Israel comments, says he had no intention
of suggesting U. S. abandon long-standing
relationship – urges Bush to “swallow his
pride” and send Bill Clinton to the Middle
East to rescue peace process.
Headline from CNN.com: “Dean
defends Middle East remarks”
Excerpt:
“Under fire for saying that the United States
should be even-handed in the
Israeli-Palestinian dispute, 2004 Democratic
presidential front-runner Howard
Dean Wednesday said he would not abandon the
long-standing policy of strong U.S. support
for Israel.
The former Vermont governor said criticism of
his remarks by presidential rival Sen. Joseph
Lieberman was a ‘despicable’ attempt to
divide the Democratic Party, which has long
enjoyed the support of many Jewish voters.
‘We do have a special relationship with
Israel. We would defend Israel if necessary. I
think that is well-known,’ he told CNN.
‘However, we are also the only country capable
of bringing peace to the Middle East, and when
we sit at the negotiating table, we do have to
have the trust of both sides or we will never
succeed.’ Dean also called on President
Bush to ‘swallow his pride’ and send former
President Bill Clinton to the Middle East to
salvage the peace process. ‘I think Bill
Clinton is the president who has come the
closest to bringing Israelis and Palestinians
together,’ he said. ‘Bill Clinton may just
be the person we need to put those
negotiations back on track.’ The
controversy began last week when Dean,
speaking about the Middle East, said he didn't
‘believe stopping the terror has to be a
prerequisite for talking. You always talk.’”
(9/14/2003)
… “Dean
calls for overhaul of mental health care”
– headline from yesterday’s Union Leader.
Excerpt from coverage – dateline: Lebanon – of
Dean’s remarks in New Hampshire by AP’s
Holly Ramer: “Complaining that jails and
prisons have become the largest providers of
mental health care, Democratic Presidential
hopeful Howard Dean yesterday proposed an
overhaul focused on early intervention and
integrating treatment with existing social
services. ‘The Los Angeles jail now
treats more patients than any psychiatric
hospital in the United States of America,’
Dean told an audience of doctors at
Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center. ‘Treating
mental health problems early is less
expensive, more effective and more humane than
waiting until people with serious mental
illness end up in a hospital or a jail cell,’
he said. Dean, who said his background as
a physician gives him a unique appreciation of
the problem, said the public mental health
system is in shambles and the federal
government does little to help the 11 million
American adults who struggle with mental
illness. ‘As access to health insurance
has declined for all but the wealthiest
Americans, mental health care has been pushed
to the bottom of the barrel. The result has
been treatable illnesses turning into serious
health crises, and too many working people
being driven into poverty and homelessness,”
Dean said. Dean promised to
improve school-based screening to identify
children who are at risk and proposed pairing
mental health treatment with programs that
address unemployment, homelessness and drug
addiction. ‘Too many children who need help
are going unnoticed and failing to address
their needs contributes to alarming suicide
and dropout rates,’ he said.”
(9/14/2003)
… Dean – an
admitted “big mouth” – learning that not all
words and phrases are favorable to his
candidacy. Report says “it is his casual --
some would say reckless -- use of language on
issues demanding precision that has landed
Dean in the hottest water.” Headline from
Friday’s Union Leader: “Dean finds words
can be a friend or foe” Excerpt from
coverage by AP political watcher Ron Fournier:
“Howard Dean is learning that his
words count -- and can count against him -- as
the Democratic presidential front-runner. From
the Middle East to race, Social Security and
campaign finance reform, the former Vermont
governor is getting singed by nearly every
hot-button issue he touches. His eight
Democratic rivals hope to slow Dean's
momentum by highlighting his policy flip-flops
and misstatements, probing every pronouncement
for the slightest sign of a gaffe. Dean has
given them plenty of ammunition, though his
foes have taken some liberties with his
record. ‘It's what the field typically
does to front-runners,’ Democratic strategist
Paul Begala said. ‘People attack you over
every minute difference.’ Dean holds a
precarious perch atop the Democratic field.
Casting himself as a straight-shooting,
anti-establishment candidate, he raised more
money than his rivals from April to June, drew
massive crowds at summer rallies and surged to
the lead in key-state polls. After they
were slow to recognize his summer ascent,
Dean's opponents opened the fall campaign by
questioning his foreign policy credentials and
attacking his positions on taxes and trade.
Rival campaigns also highlighted shifts in
Dean's policies, including: His denial
that he ever suggested raising the retirement
age, though he has…His vow to attack any
Democrat who opts out of the public finance
system, only to consider leaving it
himself…His softening of support for rolling
back the embargo on Cuba. Dean allies
argue that any open-minded politician evolves
on issues -- or gets caught musing aloud about
possible reversals, a habit Dean says he
picked up as governor. ‘Sometimes I think
out loud when I shouldn't,’ he said in a
recent interview. But it is his casual --
some would say reckless -- use of language on
issues demanding precision that has landed
Dean in the hottest water.” (9/14/2003)
… Gephardt pulls even in
Iowa. If anyone is wondering whether the
attacks on Dean by other candidates or
Dean’s weapon of mass destruction, his
mouth, had any effect on his standing in
the race for the nomination, they can quit
wondering. An Iowa Associated Press story by
Mike Glover showed that in a recent
Iowa poll Dean, the former Vermont
governor, and Gephardt, the Missouri
congressman, each received 19 percent
support, with Sen. John Kerry of
Massachusetts at 10 percent. The
largest group in the poll at 36 percent are
those who have not made up their minds about
the nine candidates seeking the party's
nomination. Sen. John Edwards of North
Carolina and Sen. Joe Lieberman of
Connecticut each had 6 percent, while
the rest of the field was at 1 percent. The
poll was commissioned by Davenport, Iowa,
television station KWQC and the
Davenport-based newspaper chain Lee
Enterprises. The telephone survey,
conducted by PMR Inc., a Davenport
research firm and was taken Aug. 26-Sept. 6
among 400 registered Democrats and
independents who said they were likely to
attend precinct caucuses Jan. 19. The
Iowa Precinct Caucuses allow anyone who
registers as a Democrat the night of the
caucuses to participate. This means
that independents and even Republicans can
attend the Democrat caucuses. However
there is no history of any significant
participation by Independents or Republicans
in the past. Likely attendance at the Iowa
Democrat Precinct Caucuses is 100,000.
(9/15/2003)
… Howard
Dean is going for the record. Phone record,
that is. In his quest to bravely go where
no man has gone before, Dean takes on the
Guiness Book of World Records. Here’s the
report, according to
WashingtonPost’s OnPolitics reporter
Brain Faler. Headline: “Dean’s next
frontier: the conference call?” Excerpts:
“Having demonstrated his mastery of the
Internet, Democratic presidential candidate
Howard Dean is taking on . . . the
conference call? His campaign announced last
week that it will try to break the world
record for the largest-ever conference call.
That record, according to the good people at
the Guinness Book of World Records, was
set in September 2000, when 3,310 people rang
into a call hosted by the British teen-pop
group S Club 7. Dean will host his call
Sept. 29 -- the day before the deadline
for reporting third-quarter fundraising totals
-- when he will chat with supporters
attending house parties for the candidate
across the country. Campaign manager Joe
Trippi declined to estimate how many
people might join the call. But he promised to
shatter the world record. "It's not even going
to be close," Trippi said, appropriately
enough, in a conference call. The only
problem? "What we don't know is whether we can
hit -- do all the calls we want to do --
because we're not sure that, technologically,
it's possible," he said.” (9/15/2003)
… Showcasing once
again his “verbal bull in a verbal china shop”
approach to campaigning, Howard Dean attempts
to shatter his opponents’ attacks as “silly”
and “nitpicky.” In an article in today’s
WashingtonPost’s OnPolitics by staff
writer Dan Balz, Dean fights back against a
week of attacks. Headline: “Dean Jabs
At Rivals, Says No to Kerry Debate.”
Kerry and other Democrats accused Dean
of being naïve on foreign policy, a
soul mate of former House speaker Newt
Gingrich (R-Ga.) in the Medicare budgetary
battles of the mid-1990s, changing his
views on trade, and arrogant in saying
he is the only white candidate in the
nomination battle to talk regularly about
racial issues. Sen. John F. Kerry
(Mass.), challenged Dean to a series of
one-on-one debates to air their
differences. Dean's campaign manager, Joe
Trippi, rejected the proposal, calling it
"presumptuous." Dean was dismissive
toward the attacks, calling them "silly" and
"nitpicky." He argued they will strengthen his
candidacy, not weaken it. "That's what you
have to go through," he said. "If I'm
going to go up against George Bush, I'm
going to get much worse from [White House
senior adviser] Karl Rove than I am
from these guys." Dean continues to be
criticized for saying the United States should
not take sides in the Israeli-Palestinian
conflict and for using the word
"soldiers," rather than terrorists, to
describe members of the Islamic Resistance
Movement, known as Hamas. Dean
said that in labeling Hamas members as
soldiers, he was justifying the Israeli
policy of assassinating Hamas leaders. Calling
for evenhandedness in the Middle East,
he said, was his way of saying that the United
States needs to win the trust of both sides to
bring about a peace agreement, and was not
intended to advocate abandoning Israel in some
way. His critics were engaging in a classic
Washington insiders' game, Dean said. He
said that Kerry has claimed he was
misled by Bush before the Iraq war,
adding, "I could see through that [Bush's
intentions]." … The candidate said the
criticism won't force him to change much. "I
concede that I would be better off -- well I
wouldn't necessarily be better off, I would be
less controversial, if I didn't make absolute
statements." But he said he also "would be
less appealing." "As we get into this I
have to find balance," Dean said, "but if
I become too much like a Washington
politician, then I am a Washington
politician. Why not let somebody else do
this?" (9/15/2003)
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